Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern St.
Southland
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#245
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#198
Pace61.7#338
Improvement+1.0#152

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#252
First Shot-4.3#295
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#118
Layup/Dunks-1.8#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#291
Freethrows-2.9#334
Improvement+1.2#129

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#217
First Shot-2.4#247
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#105
Layups/Dunks+1.2#129
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#285
Freethrows-0.4#210
Improvement-0.1#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 34 - 34 - 11
Quad 410 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 8   @ Texas Tech L 65-86 2%     0 - 1 +1.2 +2.1 -1.5
  Nov 11, 2024 37   @ Oklahoma L 57-73 4%     0 - 2 +0.0 -8.5 +8.1
  Nov 16, 2024 192   @ Rice L 75-77 OT 30%     0 - 3 -1.1 +0.9 -2.0
  Nov 22, 2024 344   Louisiana Monroe L 63-65 84%     0 - 4 -17.2 -12.2 -5.1
  Nov 24, 2024 121   North Alabama W 71-58 34%     1 - 4 +12.7 +4.1 +10.0
  Nov 29, 2024 86   @ LSU L 53-77 11%     1 - 5 -14.8 -13.5 -1.5
  Dec 05, 2024 262   @ Incarnate Word W 72-70 43%     2 - 5 1 - 0 -0.7 +5.7 -6.2
  Dec 07, 2024 283   @ Houston Christian W 64-57 49%     3 - 5 2 - 0 +2.7 -0.1 +3.9
  Dec 14, 2024 108   @ California L 66-84 15%     3 - 6 -11.3 +0.9 -13.9
  Dec 29, 2024 43   @ Texas L 53-77 5%     3 - 7 -9.1 -3.0 -10.8
  Jan 04, 2025 179   Nicholls St. W 68-66 47%     4 - 7 3 - 0 -1.8 +0.7 -2.3
  Jan 06, 2025 65   McNeese St. L 69-92 17%     4 - 8 3 - 1 -17.4 +5.0 -24.6
  Jan 11, 2025 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-67 81%     5 - 8 4 - 1 -6.0 -1.7 -4.2
  Jan 13, 2025 176   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64-73 27%     5 - 9 4 - 2 -7.2 -2.7 -5.1
  Jan 18, 2025 214   SE Louisiana L 64-65 54%     5 - 10 4 - 3 -6.7 -0.6 -6.2
  Jan 20, 2025 353   New Orleans W 73-61 86%     6 - 10 5 - 3 -4.4 -6.2 +2.3
  Jan 25, 2025 280   @ Stephen F. Austin W 57-54 OT 49%     7 - 10 6 - 3 -1.2 -17.1 +15.8
  Jan 27, 2025 173   @ Lamar L 59-69 27%     7 - 11 6 - 4 -8.2 -1.1 -8.5
  Feb 01, 2025 335   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 50-72 65%     7 - 12 6 - 5 -30.5 -21.4 -10.8
  Feb 03, 2025 266   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-63 65%     8 - 12 7 - 5 +7.5 -4.7 +11.0
  Feb 08, 2025 65   @ McNeese St. L 50-65 8%     8 - 13 7 - 6 -3.9 -12.6 +7.2
  Feb 10, 2025 179   @ Nicholls St. W 72-60 27%     9 - 13 8 - 6 +13.7 +3.8 +10.5
  Feb 15, 2025 280   Stephen F. Austin L 68-70 69%     9 - 14 8 - 7 -11.7 -0.5 -11.3
  Feb 17, 2025 173   Lamar L 65-75 47%     9 - 15 8 - 8 -13.7 +4.6 -19.9
  Feb 22, 2025 353   @ New Orleans W 73-66 73%     10 - 15 9 - 8 -3.9 +5.5 -8.2
  Feb 24, 2025 214   @ SE Louisiana W 72-69 34%     11 - 15 10 - 8 +2.8 +7.4 -4.3
  Mar 01, 2025 283   Houston Christian W 61-56 69%     12 - 15 11 - 8 -4.8 -4.7 +0.8
  Mar 03, 2025 262   Incarnate Word W 73-57 64%     13 - 15 12 - 8 +7.8 +4.3 +5.6
  Mar 10, 2025 176   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 66-63 36%     14 - 15 +2.0 +3.3 -0.8
  Mar 11, 2025 65   McNeese St. L 64-83 12%     14 - 16 -10.7 +1.3 -13.9
Projected Record 14 - 16 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%