Pre-tourney Rankings
Rice
American Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#192
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#227
Pace64.6#276
Improvement-2.3#277

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#186
First Shot-0.7#194
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#154
Layup/Dunks-4.5#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#48
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#215
Freethrows+2.4#50
Improvement+1.2#127

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#222
First Shot-3.4#288
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#48
Layups/Dunks+2.1#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#325
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#235
Freethrows-2.4#331
Improvement-3.5#326
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 31 - 72 - 13
Quad 411 - 513 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 252   Florida International W 77-70 71%     1 - 0 -0.7 -1.2 +0.0
  Nov 09, 2024 87   Florida St. L 65-73 22%     1 - 1 -1.6 -4.3 +2.9
  Nov 12, 2024 344   Louisiana Monroe W 66-50 89%     2 - 1 +0.8 -9.6 +11.4
  Nov 16, 2024 245   Northwestern St. W 77-75 OT 70%     3 - 1 -5.3 +0.3 -5.6
  Nov 19, 2024 306   @ Louisiana W 83-61 65%     4 - 1 +16.2 +16.5 +1.6
  Nov 22, 2024 283   @ Houston Christian W 61-58 59%     5 - 1 -1.3 -4.4 +3.6
  Nov 29, 2024 218   Hofstra L 63-68 OT 55%     5 - 2 -8.2 -10.0 +2.1
  Nov 30, 2024 98   Arkansas St. W 75-67 26%     6 - 2 +12.9 +5.9 +7.1
  Dec 01, 2024 253   Iona W 70-66 62%     7 - 2 -0.9 -1.5 +0.6
  Dec 08, 2024 203   @ Texas St. L 66-75 42%     7 - 3 -8.7 +0.6 -10.8
  Dec 16, 2024 326   Alcorn St. W 77-75 85%     8 - 3 -11.0 -3.1 -8.0
  Dec 22, 2024 360   Prairie View W 64-46 94%     9 - 3 -1.0 -8.5 +10.2
  Jan 01, 2025 250   @ Tulsa W 70-64 50%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +4.1 +2.7 +1.9
  Jan 04, 2025 237   Charlotte W 68-55 69%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +6.0 +5.7 +3.1
  Jan 08, 2025 81   @ North Texas L 59-81 14%     11 - 4 2 - 1 -12.3 +6.6 -24.1
  Jan 11, 2025 162   Temple L 70-73 54%     11 - 5 2 - 2 -6.0 -9.3 +3.5
  Jan 14, 2025 185   Texas San Antonio L 84-90 59%     11 - 6 2 - 3 -10.3 +6.8 -17.0
  Jan 19, 2025 114   @ Florida Atlantic L 73-75 23%     11 - 7 2 - 4 +4.1 +8.0 -4.1
  Jan 25, 2025 133   Tulane L 71-82 46%     11 - 8 2 - 5 -11.9 -3.0 -9.0
  Jan 28, 2025 188   @ South Florida L 64-69 39%     11 - 9 2 - 6 -4.0 -5.7 +1.7
  Feb 02, 2025 54   Memphis L 83-86 18%     11 - 10 2 - 7 +4.9 +12.7 -7.7
  Feb 05, 2025 166   @ East Carolina W 73-60 34%     12 - 10 3 - 7 +15.3 +0.9 +14.4
  Feb 08, 2025 237   @ Charlotte L 75-78 49%     12 - 11 3 - 8 -4.5 +11.4 -16.4
  Feb 11, 2025 81   North Texas L 61-67 28%     12 - 12 3 - 9 -1.8 +6.4 -9.6
  Feb 15, 2025 133   @ Tulane L 78-81 27%     12 - 13 3 - 10 +1.6 +12.0 -10.7
  Feb 19, 2025 100   UAB L 89-90 37%     12 - 14 3 - 11 +0.6 +17.5 -16.9
  Feb 22, 2025 250   Tulsa W 71-50 71%     13 - 14 4 - 11 +13.6 +6.3 +10.5
  Feb 26, 2025 54   @ Memphis L 72-84 9%     13 - 15 4 - 12 +1.4 +7.4 -6.1
  Mar 02, 2025 185   @ Texas San Antonio L 56-84 38%     13 - 16 4 - 13 -26.8 -15.1 -12.8
  Mar 06, 2025 125   Wichita St. L 59-63 45%     13 - 17 4 - 14 -4.5 -7.7 +2.9
  Mar 12, 2025 237   Charlotte L 61-64 59%     13 - 18 -7.3 -9.4 +1.9
Projected Record 13 - 18 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%