Pre-tourney Rankings
American Athletic
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
54 Memphis 100.0%   9   29 - 5 16 - 2 29 - 5 16 - 2 +10.6      +4.1 76 +6.5 39 75.6 25 +17.0 16 +12.5 1
81 North Texas 0.1%   22 - 8 14 - 4 22 - 8 14 - 4 +6.9      +1.6 134 +5.4 49 55.5 362 +7.8 73 +8.5 2
100 UAB 0.0%   21 - 12 13 - 5 21 - 12 13 - 5 +4.4      +7.3 37 -2.9 264 71.4 86 +3.4 116 +7.6 3
114 Florida Atlantic 0.0%   17 - 15 10 - 8 17 - 15 10 - 8 +3.3      +3.9 77 -0.6 190 71.5 82 +2.4 133 +2.8 5
125 Wichita St. 0.0%   18 - 14 8 - 10 18 - 14 8 - 10 +2.3      +0.1 172 +2.2 107 70.7 106 +2.8 125 -0.6 8
133 Tulane 0.0%   17 - 14 12 - 6 17 - 14 12 - 6 +1.8      +1.9 119 0.0 173 66.8 214 +0.6 154 +4.5 4
162 Temple 0.0%   16 - 15 9 - 9 16 - 15 9 - 9 -0.2      +2.6 103 -2.8 262 71.0 95 +0.3 159 +1.0 7
166 East Carolina 0.0%   17 - 14 10 - 8 17 - 14 10 - 8 -0.4      +0.5 158 -0.9 200 66.2 224 +0.6 155 +1.9 6
185 Texas San Antonio 0.0%   10 - 19 6 - 12 10 - 19 6 - 12 -1.5      +0.4 163 -2.0 229 73.3 55 -3.7 226 -3.2 11
188 South Florida 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 12 12 - 19 6 - 12 -1.7      -2.7 242 +1.0 144 70.1 118 -3.2 216 -2.3 9
192 Rice 0.0%   13 - 18 4 - 14 13 - 18 4 - 14 -1.8      -0.3 186 -1.5 222 64.6 276 -3.7 227 -6.5 12
237 Charlotte 0.0%   10 - 22 3 - 15 10 - 22 3 - 15 -4.3      -1.2 209 -3.1 268 63.1 310 -5.4 258 -8.2 13
250 Tulsa 0.0%   11 - 20 6 - 12 11 - 20 6 - 12 -4.7      -3.1 255 -1.5 221 65.9 237 -5.1 252 -3.1 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Memphis 1.0 100.0
North Texas 2.0 100.0
UAB 3.0 100.0
Florida Atlantic 5.0 100.0
Wichita St. 8.0 100.0
Tulane 4.0 100.0
Temple 7.0 100.0
East Carolina 5.0 100.0
Texas San Antonio 9.0 100.0
South Florida 9.0 100.0
Rice 12.0 100.0
Charlotte 13.0 100.0
Tulsa 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Memphis 16 - 2 100.0
North Texas 14 - 4 100.0
UAB 13 - 5 100.0
Florida Atlantic 10 - 8 100.0
Wichita St. 8 - 10 100.0
Tulane 12 - 6 100.0
Temple 9 - 9 100.0
East Carolina 10 - 8 100.0
Texas San Antonio 6 - 12 100.0
South Florida 6 - 12 100.0
Rice 4 - 14 100.0
Charlotte 3 - 15 100.0
Tulsa 6 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Memphis 100.0% 100.0
North Texas
UAB
Florida Atlantic
Wichita St.
Tulane
Temple
East Carolina
Texas San Antonio
South Florida
Rice
Charlotte
Tulsa


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Memphis 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 9   0.0 0.3 4.5 39.0 48.8 7.2 0.2
North Texas 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.1%
UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wichita St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tulane 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Temple 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
East Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tulsa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Memphis 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 36.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
North Texas 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wichita St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tulane 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Temple 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tulsa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.1
2nd Round 36.1% 0.4 63.9 36.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 4.0% 0.0 96.0 4.0
Elite Eight 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.3
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0