Pre-tourney Rankings
North Texas
American Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#81
Expected Predictive Rating+7.8#73
Pace55.5#362
Improvement-3.1#301

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#134
First Shot-0.6#191
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#56
Layup/Dunks-3.3#298
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#188
Freethrows+3.5#23
Improvement-0.2#202

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#49
First Shot+3.3#73
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#43
Layups/Dunks+6.2#22
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#257
Freethrows-2.3#325
Improvement-2.9#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 24 - 24 - 5
Quad 39 - 213 - 7
Quad 49 - 122 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 244   Evansville W 80-63 90%     1 - 0 +9.7 +13.9 -2.6
  Nov 13, 2024 85   @ Minnesota W 54-51 41%     2 - 0 +12.2 -1.2 +14.2
  Nov 18, 2024 65   @ McNeese St. L 61-68 34%     2 - 1 +4.1 -1.3 +4.7
  Nov 25, 2024 89   Oregon St. W 58-55 64%     3 - 1 +6.1 -5.5 +12.3
  Nov 28, 2024 105   Northern Iowa W 68-48 61%     4 - 1 +24.1 +3.2 +22.6
  Nov 29, 2024 53   Utah St. L 57-61 36%     4 - 2 +6.7 -8.9 +15.2
  Dec 06, 2024 90   @ High Point L 71-76 43%     4 - 3 +3.6 -2.1 +5.8
  Dec 18, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 83-42 99.7%    5 - 3 +9.7 +10.1 +6.3
  Dec 20, 2024 180   Appalachian St. W 68-64 84%     6 - 3 +0.1 +13.6 -12.5
  Dec 22, 2024 283   Houston Christian W 62-46 93%     7 - 3 +6.2 +1.3 +9.0
  Dec 31, 2024 100   UAB W 78-75 69%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +4.6 +8.7 -3.8
  Jan 05, 2025 54   @ Memphis L 64-68 27%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +9.4 +4.1 +5.0
  Jan 08, 2025 192   Rice W 81-59 86%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +17.4 +24.1 -1.6
  Jan 14, 2025 166   @ East Carolina W 69-60 67%     10 - 4 3 - 1 +11.3 +7.7 +5.0
  Jan 18, 2025 185   @ Texas San Antonio W 72-57 71%     11 - 4 4 - 1 +16.2 +11.6 +7.3
  Jan 22, 2025 162   Temple W 76-67 82%     12 - 4 5 - 1 +6.0 +3.8 +2.8
  Jan 26, 2025 114   Florida Atlantic W 77-64 73%     13 - 4 6 - 1 +13.6 +14.3 +1.4
  Jan 29, 2025 125   @ Wichita St. W 58-54 57%     14 - 4 7 - 1 +9.0 +0.3 +9.6
  Feb 01, 2025 185   Texas San Antonio L 50-54 85%     14 - 5 7 - 2 -8.3 -17.2 +8.2
  Feb 03, 2025 100   @ UAB L 61-64 49%     14 - 6 7 - 3 +4.1 -7.3 +11.1
  Feb 08, 2025 133   Tulane W 76-66 77%     15 - 6 8 - 3 +9.1 +20.8 -9.2
  Feb 11, 2025 192   @ Rice W 67-61 72%     16 - 6 9 - 3 +6.9 +9.6 -1.3
  Feb 19, 2025 250   Tulsa W 63-44 90%     17 - 6 10 - 3 +11.6 -4.6 +18.6
  Feb 23, 2025 188   @ South Florida W 64-57 71%     18 - 6 11 - 3 +8.0 +0.6 +8.2
  Feb 27, 2025 114   @ Florida Atlantic W 71-61 53%     19 - 6 12 - 3 +16.1 +12.3 +5.6
  Mar 03, 2025 125   Wichita St. W 68-66 76%     20 - 6 13 - 3 +1.5 +7.5 -5.7
  Mar 06, 2025 237   Charlotte W 75-64 90%     21 - 6 14 - 3 +4.0 +9.5 -3.9
  Mar 09, 2025 162   @ Temple L 61-66 66%     21 - 7 14 - 4 -2.5 -3.5 +0.2
  Mar 14, 2025 250   Tulsa W 77-59 86%     22 - 7 +13.3 +12.1 +3.4
  Mar 15, 2025 100   UAB L 56-66 60%     22 - 8 -5.6 -10.7 +3.5
Projected Record 22 - 8 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.1%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.1%