Pre-tourney Rankings
Evansville
Missouri Valley
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#244
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#235
Pace67.0#210
Improvement+3.3#61

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#311
First Shot-1.0#201
After Offensive Rebound-4.4#358
Layup/Dunks+0.0#180
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#153
Freethrows-1.4#273
Improvement+1.0#139

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#147
First Shot+0.5#163
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#140
Layups/Dunks-0.4#179
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#171
Freethrows+0.7#125
Improvement+2.3#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 35 - 96 - 16
Quad 44 - 510 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 81   @ North Texas L 63-80 10%     0 - 1 -7.3 +2.6 -11.5
  Nov 13, 2024 118   @ Middle Tennessee L 63-80 17%     0 - 2 -11.3 -9.7 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2024 167   Radford L 81-92 45%     0 - 3 -14.3 +12.8 -28.2
  Nov 19, 2024 40   @ Ohio St. L 30-80 4%     0 - 4 -34.4 -35.0 -1.2
  Nov 22, 2024 334   Green Bay W 98-81 81%     1 - 4 +3.0 +3.7 -3.0
  Nov 24, 2024 221   Campbell W 66-53 56%     2 - 4 +7.0 -3.8 +11.6
  Dec 03, 2024 143   @ Murray St. L 61-63 22%     2 - 5 0 - 1 +1.7 -4.0 +5.5
  Dec 07, 2024 160   Western Kentucky L 65-79 43%     2 - 6 -16.7 -7.9 -8.6
  Dec 12, 2024 116   Chattanooga L 67-75 32%     2 - 7 -7.8 -6.4 -1.8
  Dec 18, 2024 223   @ Texas Arlington L 54-80 36%     2 - 8 -26.7 -17.7 -10.6
  Dec 21, 2024 269   @ Ball St. L 43-80 46%     2 - 9 -40.4 -28.7 -15.0
  Dec 29, 2024 230   Missouri St. W 57-40 58%     3 - 9 1 - 1 +10.5 -9.7 +22.4
  Jan 01, 2025 193   @ Southern Illinois W 68-53 30%     4 - 9 2 - 1 +15.9 -1.9 +18.4
  Jan 04, 2025 197   Indiana St. L 62-66 51%     4 - 10 2 - 2 -8.7 -14.7 +6.0
  Jan 08, 2025 137   Illinois St. W 69-51 38%     5 - 10 3 - 2 +16.7 +1.8 +17.3
  Jan 11, 2025 68   @ Drake L 40-63 8%     5 - 11 3 - 3 -12.0 -17.7 +0.4
  Jan 14, 2025 105   @ Northern Iowa L 56-73 15%     5 - 12 3 - 4 -10.2 -14.5 +4.7
  Jan 18, 2025 128   Belmont L 82-85 36%     5 - 13 3 - 5 -3.8 +7.5 -11.3
  Jan 22, 2025 172   Illinois-Chicago L 67-78 46%     5 - 14 3 - 6 -14.4 -3.7 -11.4
  Jan 25, 2025 206   @ Valparaiso W 78-68 33%     6 - 14 4 - 6 +10.2 +0.9 +8.8
  Jan 29, 2025 143   Murray St. W 78-74 40%     7 - 14 5 - 6 +2.2 +14.6 -11.9
  Feb 02, 2025 128   @ Belmont W 80-75 19%     8 - 14 6 - 6 +9.7 +12.3 -2.3
  Feb 05, 2025 193   Southern Illinois L 59-68 50%     8 - 15 6 - 7 -13.6 -10.4 -4.2
  Feb 08, 2025 96   Bradley L 74-80 26%     8 - 16 6 - 8 -3.7 -0.1 -3.5
  Feb 12, 2025 230   @ Missouri St. L 54-71 37%     8 - 17 6 - 9 -18.0 -9.8 -10.5
  Feb 16, 2025 206   Valparaiso W 79-69 53%     9 - 17 7 - 9 +4.7 +6.1 -1.0
  Feb 19, 2025 197   @ Indiana St. W 79-74 30%     10 - 17 8 - 9 +5.8 +5.1 +0.8
  Feb 22, 2025 172   @ Illinois-Chicago L 77-82 26%     10 - 18 8 - 10 -2.9 +1.2 -3.9
  Feb 26, 2025 68   Drake L 61-65 17%     10 - 19 8 - 11 +1.5 +0.1 +0.8
  Mar 02, 2025 137   @ Illinois St. L 53-62 20%     10 - 20 8 - 12 -4.8 -20.8 +16.0
  Mar 06, 2025 143   Murray St. L 53-74 30%     10 - 21 -20.1 -12.9 -9.4
Projected Record 10 - 21 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%