Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#230
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#281
Pace61.5#344
Improvement-1.0#241

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#270
First Shot-4.3#296
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#144
Layup/Dunks-4.3#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#184
Freethrows-0.2#186
Improvement-1.6#261

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#172
First Shot+0.3#171
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#220
Layups/Dunks-2.9#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#24
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement+0.6#165
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 71 - 8
Quad 32 - 103 - 18
Quad 44 - 57 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 73   @ Butler L 65-72 10%     0 - 1 +3.5 -3.2 +6.4
  Nov 16, 2024 250   Tulsa W 111-106 3OT 64%     1 - 1 -2.4 -1.0 -3.0
  Nov 19, 2024 223   Texas Arlington W 78-68 60%     2 - 1 +3.8 -0.3 +4.0
  Nov 24, 2024 90   High Point W 71-61 18%     3 - 1 +15.9 +0.3 +16.2
  Nov 25, 2024 170   Boston College L 74-76 OT 38%     3 - 2 -2.6 -1.1 -1.4
  Nov 26, 2024 135   South Dakota St. L 55-75 30%     3 - 3 -18.4 -14.4 -5.3
  Dec 01, 2024 319   @ Oral Roberts W 72-67 62%     4 - 3 -1.8 +1.5 -2.7
  Dec 07, 2024 197   Indiana St. L 77-80 54%     4 - 4 0 - 1 -7.7 +0.6 -8.3
  Dec 14, 2024 119   @ Washington St. L 78-91 20%     4 - 5 -7.6 +6.1 -13.8
  Dec 22, 2024 148   UC Santa Barbara W 68-56 44%     5 - 5 +9.9 +8.7 +4.0
  Dec 29, 2024 244   @ Evansville L 40-57 42%     5 - 6 0 - 2 -18.8 -25.3 +4.3
  Jan 01, 2025 206   Valparaiso L 72-73 56%     5 - 7 0 - 3 -6.3 +7.3 -13.8
  Jan 04, 2025 96   @ Bradley L 60-69 14%     5 - 8 0 - 4 -1.2 -1.0 -1.4
  Jan 07, 2025 172   Illinois-Chicago L 63-80 49%     5 - 9 0 - 5 -20.4 -2.3 -20.6
  Jan 11, 2025 193   @ Southern Illinois L 78-88 OT 33%     5 - 10 0 - 6 -9.1 -0.3 -8.1
  Jan 15, 2025 193   Southern Illinois L 51-73 54%     5 - 11 0 - 7 -26.6 -20.9 -7.3
  Jan 18, 2025 137   @ Illinois St. L 68-74 23%     5 - 12 0 - 8 -1.8 +2.9 -5.4
  Jan 21, 2025 105   @ Northern Iowa L 68-79 16%     5 - 13 0 - 9 -4.2 +8.5 -14.3
  Jan 25, 2025 68   Drake L 62-69 OT 19%     5 - 14 0 - 10 -1.5 +1.9 -4.5
  Jan 29, 2025 197   @ Indiana St. L 67-72 33%     5 - 15 0 - 11 -4.2 -2.8 -1.8
  Feb 01, 2025 143   Murray St. W 77-56 43%     6 - 15 1 - 11 +19.2 +6.1 +13.6
  Feb 05, 2025 105   Northern Iowa L 61-66 31%     6 - 16 1 - 12 -3.7 -7.9 +4.0
  Feb 08, 2025 128   @ Belmont L 68-85 21%     6 - 17 1 - 13 -12.3 -1.6 -11.5
  Feb 12, 2025 244   Evansville W 71-54 63%     7 - 17 2 - 13 +9.7 +7.7 +4.4
  Feb 16, 2025 172   @ Illinois-Chicago L 58-63 29%     7 - 18 2 - 14 -2.9 -13.7 +10.8
  Feb 19, 2025 206   @ Valparaiso L 64-66 35%     7 - 19 2 - 15 -1.8 -3.1 +1.0
  Feb 22, 2025 137   Illinois St. L 68-70 41%     7 - 20 2 - 16 -3.3 -2.1 -1.3
  Feb 26, 2025 128   Belmont L 65-74 39%     7 - 21 2 - 17 -9.8 -7.5 -2.7
  Mar 02, 2025 68   @ Drake L 60-68 OT 9%     7 - 22 2 - 18 +3.0 +4.7 -3.2
  Mar 06, 2025 137   Illinois St. L 54-70 31%     7 - 23 -14.5 -15.0 -1.3
Projected Record 7 - 23 2 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18 100.0% 100.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%