Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Missouri Valley
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#143
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#163
Pace63.1#312
Improvement-1.4#252

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#190
First Shot+0.6#150
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#248
Layup/Dunks-0.8#210
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#245
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
Freethrows+2.2#63
Improvement-2.6#306

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#130
First Shot+1.2#137
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#173
Layups/Dunks-2.0#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#9
Freethrows-0.3#208
Improvement+1.2#117
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 22 - 63 - 7
Quad 35 - 78 - 14
Quad 47 - 315 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 62   @ Pittsburgh L 68-83 15%     0 - 1 -2.8 +0.5 -3.5
  Nov 16, 2024 118   @ Middle Tennessee W 88-67 32%     1 - 1 +26.7 +21.0 +6.4
  Nov 20, 2024 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-61 96%     2 - 1 -0.9 +2.9 -2.4
  Nov 22, 2024 111   Utah Valley L 75-77 50%     2 - 2 -1.1 +6.8 -8.0
  Nov 26, 2024 223   Texas Arlington W 79-66 67%     3 - 2 +9.5 +0.9 +8.3
  Dec 03, 2024 244   Evansville W 63-61 78%     4 - 2 1 - 0 -5.3 -5.0 +0.0
  Dec 08, 2024 210   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-53 73%     5 - 2 +14.5 +10.0 +7.3
  Dec 14, 2024 160   @ Western Kentucky L 76-81 OT 43%     5 - 3 -2.2 -5.2 +3.8
  Dec 18, 2024 197   @ Indiana St. L 74-84 51%     5 - 4 1 - 1 -9.2 -1.7 -7.4
  Dec 22, 2024 57   Nebraska L 49-66 19%     5 - 5 -6.9 -15.1 +7.0
  Dec 23, 2024 237   Charlotte L 90-94 2OT 69%     5 - 6 -8.3 +2.3 -10.1
  Dec 25, 2024 104   Loyola Chicago W 71-68 38%     6 - 6 +7.1 +6.7 +0.6
  Jan 02, 2025 137   Illinois St. L 68-74 59%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -7.3 -0.2 -7.8
  Jan 05, 2025 68   @ Drake W 66-59 17%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +18.0 +12.0 +7.4
  Jan 08, 2025 105   @ Northern Iowa W 71-68 29%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +9.8 +12.1 -1.9
  Jan 11, 2025 206   Valparaiso W 58-47 73%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +5.7 -11.6 +18.5
  Jan 15, 2025 172   @ Illinois-Chicago L 93-97 2OT 46%     9 - 8 4 - 3 -1.9 +1.7 -2.8
  Jan 18, 2025 96   Bradley L 61-74 45%     9 - 9 4 - 4 -10.7 -6.8 -4.8
  Jan 22, 2025 193   @ Southern Illinois W 74-64 50%     10 - 9 5 - 4 +10.9 +7.0 +4.7
  Jan 25, 2025 128   Belmont L 77-95 57%     10 - 10 5 - 5 -18.8 +5.6 -25.3
  Jan 29, 2025 244   @ Evansville L 74-78 60%     10 - 11 5 - 6 -5.8 +12.4 -18.6
  Feb 01, 2025 230   @ Missouri St. L 56-77 57%     10 - 12 5 - 7 -22.0 -14.0 -8.5
  Feb 04, 2025 68   Drake L 45-55 33%     10 - 13 5 - 8 -4.5 -5.4 -3.4
  Feb 08, 2025 206   @ Valparaiso W 74-56 53%     11 - 13 6 - 8 +18.2 +7.0 +12.7
  Feb 11, 2025 172   Illinois-Chicago W 63-53 66%     12 - 13 7 - 8 +6.6 -1.4 +9.6
  Feb 17, 2025 105   Northern Iowa L 67-74 38%     12 - 14 7 - 9 -2.9 -2.1 -1.0
  Feb 19, 2025 193   @ Southern Illinois W 62-60 50%     13 - 14 8 - 9 +2.9 -5.0 +8.0
  Feb 22, 2025 96   @ Bradley L 83-85 OT 25%     13 - 15 8 - 10 +5.8 +8.6 -2.7
  Feb 25, 2025 197   Indiana St. W 85-75 71%     14 - 15 9 - 10 +5.3 +8.7 -3.3
  Mar 02, 2025 128   @ Belmont L 60-70 36%     14 - 16 9 - 11 -5.3 -14.1 +9.1
  Mar 06, 2025 244   Evansville W 74-53 70%     15 - 16 +16.5 +9.9 +8.8
  Mar 07, 2025 96   Bradley L 62-70 34%     15 - 17 -2.9 -1.5 -2.3
Projected Record 15 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%