Pre-tourney Rankings
Drake
Missouri Valley
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.2#68
Expected Predictive Rating+13.6#37
Pace52.9#364
Improvement+0.0#192

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#78
First Shot+4.0#76
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#198
Layup/Dunks+3.7#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#250
Freethrows+3.1#33
Improvement+0.0#192

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#67
First Shot+3.9#67
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#129
Layups/Dunks-3.0#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#29
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#3
Freethrows-2.3#327
Improvement+0.1#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round21.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b2 - 02 - 0
Quad 24 - 06 - 0
Quad 311 - 317 - 3
Quad 411 - 028 - 3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 280   Stephen F. Austin W 66-51 94%     1 - 0 +5.3 +2.5 +5.0
  Nov 16, 2024 184   Florida Gulf Coast W 63-61 87%     2 - 0 -2.2 -5.9 +3.9
  Nov 21, 2024 174   Miami (FL) W 80-69 81%     3 - 0 +10.1 +12.8 -1.2
  Nov 22, 2024 114   Florida Atlantic W 75-63 68%     4 - 0 +15.3 +6.3 +9.8
  Nov 24, 2024 52   Vanderbilt W 81-70 39%     5 - 0 +22.0 +10.5 +11.3
  Nov 30, 2024 255   Georgia Southern W 61-47 92%     6 - 0 +6.3 -10.0 +17.6
  Dec 05, 2024 206   @ Valparaiso W 66-60 78%     7 - 0 1 - 0 +6.2 +2.4 +4.7
  Dec 17, 2024 59   @ Kansas St. W 73-70 OT 34%     8 - 0 +15.4 +13.5 +2.1
  Dec 21, 2024 334   Green Bay W 72-62 97%     9 - 0 -4.0 +6.3 -8.1
  Dec 29, 2024 128   Belmont W 65-46 80%     10 - 0 2 - 0 +18.2 +2.4 +19.6
  Jan 01, 2025 172   @ Illinois-Chicago L 70-74 72%     10 - 1 2 - 1 -1.9 +10.9 -13.6
  Jan 05, 2025 143   Murray St. L 59-66 83%     10 - 2 2 - 2 -8.8 -2.3 -7.9
  Jan 08, 2025 96   @ Bradley W 64-57 52%     11 - 2 3 - 2 +14.8 +3.1 +12.7
  Jan 11, 2025 244   Evansville W 63-40 92%     12 - 2 4 - 2 +15.7 +4.3 +16.8
  Jan 15, 2025 137   Illinois St. W 66-62 82%     13 - 2 5 - 2 +2.7 +12.0 -8.0
  Jan 18, 2025 197   @ Indiana St. W 71-53 76%     14 - 2 6 - 2 +18.8 +2.8 +17.7
  Jan 22, 2025 206   Valparaiso W 81-71 89%     15 - 2 7 - 2 +4.7 +13.6 -7.9
  Jan 25, 2025 230   @ Missouri St. W 69-62 OT 81%     16 - 2 8 - 2 +6.0 +8.3 -1.2
  Jan 29, 2025 105   Northern Iowa W 66-52 75%     17 - 2 9 - 2 +15.3 +11.1 +7.8
  Feb 01, 2025 193   @ Southern Illinois W 75-65 76%     18 - 2 10 - 2 +10.9 +13.0 -0.7
  Feb 04, 2025 143   @ Murray St. W 55-45 67%     19 - 2 11 - 2 +13.7 +8.5 +9.5
  Feb 08, 2025 197   Indiana St. W 85-81 OT 88%     20 - 2 12 - 2 -0.7 +3.1 -4.0
  Feb 12, 2025 137   @ Illinois St. W 84-77 65%     21 - 2 13 - 2 +11.2 +16.6 -4.8
  Feb 16, 2025 96   Bradley L 59-61 72%     21 - 3 13 - 3 +0.3 +0.8 -0.9
  Feb 19, 2025 172   Illinois-Chicago W 74-57 86%     22 - 3 14 - 3 +13.6 +13.8 +3.1
  Feb 23, 2025 105   @ Northern Iowa W 64-58 OT 56%     23 - 3 15 - 3 +12.8 +0.0 +13.3
  Feb 26, 2025 244   @ Evansville W 65-61 83%     24 - 3 16 - 3 +2.2 +3.9 -1.1
  Mar 02, 2025 230   Missouri St. W 68-60 OT 91%     25 - 3 17 - 3 +1.5 +7.0 -3.9
  Mar 07, 2025 193   Southern Illinois W 70-53 83%     26 - 3 +15.1 +9.6 +8.9
  Mar 08, 2025 128   Belmont W 57-50 73%     27 - 3 +9.0 -6.4 +16.7
  Mar 09, 2025 96   Bradley W 63-48 62%     28 - 3 +20.1 +10.0 +14.3
Projected Record 28 - 3 17 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.8 0.1 1.2 20.8 77.9 0.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.8 0.1 1.2 20.8 77.9 0.0