Pre-tourney Rankings
Memphis
American Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#54
Expected Predictive Rating+17.0#16
Pace75.6#25
Improvement-4.9#341

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#76
First Shot+2.4#108
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#82
Layup/Dunks-0.2#189
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#146
Freethrows+2.0#73
Improvement-4.5#344

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#39
First Shot+6.4#24
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#174
Layups/Dunks+4.5#46
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#252
Freethrows+0.9#113
Improvement-0.3#220
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round36.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 13 - 1
Quad 1b3 - 06 - 1
Quad 25 - 211 - 3
Quad 311 - 222 - 5
Quad 47 - 029 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 15   Missouri W 83-75 36%     1 - 0 +22.3 +8.7 +13.2
  Nov 09, 2024 94   @ UNLV W 80-74 60%     2 - 0 +14.0 +12.5 +1.4
  Nov 15, 2024 190   Ohio W 94-70 91%     3 - 0 +19.5 +11.1 +6.5
  Nov 21, 2024 64   @ San Francisco W 68-64 48%     4 - 0 +15.1 +1.4 +13.7
  Nov 25, 2024 30   Connecticut W 99-97 OT 35%     5 - 0 +16.5 +24.3 -7.9
  Nov 26, 2024 7   Michigan St. W 71-63 20%     6 - 0 +27.6 +17.4 +11.1
  Nov 27, 2024 3   Auburn L 76-90 11%     6 - 1 +9.8 +15.9 -6.7
  Dec 04, 2024 120   Louisiana Tech W 81-71 84%     7 - 1 +9.9 +9.9 +0.2
  Dec 08, 2024 98   Arkansas St. L 72-85 79%     7 - 2 -10.8 -9.6 +0.6
  Dec 14, 2024 21   @ Clemson W 87-82 OT 22%     8 - 2 +23.9 +18.5 +5.1
  Dec 18, 2024 99   @ Virginia W 64-62 63%     9 - 2 +9.3 +0.0 +9.4
  Dec 21, 2024 32   Mississippi St. L 66-79 47%     9 - 3 -1.7 -4.4 +3.0
  Dec 28, 2024 29   Mississippi W 87-70 45%     10 - 3 +28.9 +12.8 +14.7
  Jan 02, 2025 114   @ Florida Atlantic W 90-62 67%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +34.1 +14.3 +18.6
  Jan 05, 2025 81   North Texas W 68-64 73%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +8.2 +4.5 +4.0
  Jan 11, 2025 166   East Carolina W 74-70 90%     13 - 3 3 - 0 +0.8 -6.4 +6.9
  Jan 16, 2025 162   @ Temple L 81-88 78%     13 - 4 3 - 1 -4.5 +3.5 -7.7
  Jan 19, 2025 237   @ Charlotte W 77-68 87%     14 - 4 4 - 1 +7.5 +0.4 +6.8
  Jan 23, 2025 125   Wichita St. W 61-53 85%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +7.5 -9.4 +17.1
  Jan 26, 2025 100   UAB W 100-77 80%     16 - 4 6 - 1 +24.6 +10.6 +11.2
  Jan 30, 2025 133   @ Tulane W 68-56 72%     17 - 4 7 - 1 +16.6 +1.3 +16.1
  Feb 02, 2025 192   @ Rice W 86-83 82%     18 - 4 8 - 1 +3.9 +10.3 -6.5
  Feb 05, 2025 250   Tulsa W 83-71 94%     19 - 4 9 - 1 +4.6 +16.1 -10.3
  Feb 09, 2025 162   Temple W 90-82 89%     20 - 4 10 - 1 +5.0 +11.2 -6.3
  Feb 13, 2025 188   @ South Florida W 80-65 82%     21 - 4 11 - 1 +16.0 +1.6 +12.9
  Feb 16, 2025 125   @ Wichita St. L 79-84 OT 71%     21 - 5 11 - 2 +0.0 +2.2 -1.7
  Feb 23, 2025 114   Florida Atlantic W 84-65 83%     22 - 5 12 - 2 +19.6 +8.8 +10.7
  Feb 26, 2025 192   Rice W 84-72 91%     23 - 5 13 - 2 +7.4 +8.7 -1.2
  Mar 02, 2025 100   @ UAB W 88-81 63%     24 - 5 14 - 2 +14.1 +8.9 +4.9
  Mar 04, 2025 185   @ Texas San Antonio W 75-70 81%     25 - 5 15 - 2 +6.2 -3.1 +9.0
  Mar 07, 2025 188   South Florida W 84-68 91%     26 - 5 16 - 2 +11.5 +9.9 +1.4
  Mar 14, 2025 125   Wichita St. W 83-80 79%     27 - 5 +5.3 +2.9 +2.0
  Mar 15, 2025 133   Tulane W 78-77 80%     28 - 5 +2.8 +1.4 +1.3
  Mar 16, 2025 100   UAB W 84-72 73%     29 - 5 +16.4 +4.4 +11.4
Projected Record 29 - 5 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 8.6 0.0 0.3 4.5 39.0 48.8 7.2 0.2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 8.6 0.0 0.3 4.5 39.0 48.8 7.2 0.2