Pre-tourney Rankings
Portland St.
Big Sky
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#200
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#192
Pace70.4#115
Improvement+2.9#74

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#291
First Shot-5.9#328
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#105
Layup/Dunks+2.3#98
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#270
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#309
Freethrows-2.3#313
Improvement-3.6#329

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#106
First Shot+2.4#99
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#210
Layups/Dunks+0.2#163
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#207
Freethrows+0.5#148
Improvement+6.5#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 53 - 8
Quad 413 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 119   @ Washington St. L 92-100 23%     0 - 1 -2.6 +7.7 -9.3
  Nov 12, 2024 311   @ San Diego W 85-76 65%     1 - 1 +2.7 -6.5 +7.4
  Nov 22, 2024 142   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-91 28%     1 - 2 -13.2 +3.1 -16.2
  Nov 23, 2024 131   St. Thomas L 65-91 34%     1 - 3 -24.1 -11.3 -12.3
  Nov 24, 2024 130   Wofford W 79-74 34%     2 - 3 +6.9 +7.2 +0.0
  Nov 30, 2024 291   Utah Tech W 71-68 78%     3 - 3 -7.4 -4.9 -2.4
  Dec 04, 2024 149   @ Seattle L 74-91 29%     3 - 4 -13.6 +8.7 -22.9
  Dec 07, 2024 298   Denver L 67-68 78%     3 - 5 -11.6 -1.2 -10.5
  Dec 18, 2024 288   @ Pacific W 81-75 59%     4 - 5 +1.2 +1.1 -0.3
  Dec 21, 2024 242   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 59-58 47%     5 - 5 -0.7 -15.3 +14.7
  Jan 04, 2025 336   @ Sacramento St. L 53-56 73%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -11.7 -14.0 +1.7
  Jan 09, 2025 290   Eastern Washington W 64-59 78%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -5.3 -15.0 +9.6
  Jan 11, 2025 267   Idaho W 75-63 73%     7 - 6 2 - 1 +3.2 -0.4 +4.5
  Jan 16, 2025 122   @ Northern Colorado L 69-72 24%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +2.1 -1.1 +3.2
  Jan 18, 2025 243   @ Northern Arizona W 80-69 47%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +9.3 +10.7 -0.7
  Jan 23, 2025 285   Weber St. W 74-56 76%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +8.1 +2.2 +7.4
  Jan 25, 2025 211   Idaho St. W 76-59 62%     10 - 7 5 - 2 +11.4 +1.1 +10.6
  Jan 30, 2025 155   @ Montana L 78-92 30%     10 - 8 5 - 3 -10.9 +8.8 -20.5
  Feb 01, 2025 186   @ Montana St. L 73-74 36%     10 - 9 5 - 4 +0.2 +5.2 -5.1
  Feb 06, 2025 267   @ Idaho W 76-69 54%     11 - 9 6 - 4 +3.7 -3.8 +7.4
  Feb 08, 2025 290   @ Eastern Washington L 67-72 60%     11 - 10 6 - 5 -9.8 -4.9 -5.2
  Feb 13, 2025 243   Northern Arizona W 58-46 68%     12 - 10 7 - 5 +4.8 -10.4 +17.0
  Feb 15, 2025 122   Northern Colorado W 82-71 42%     13 - 10 8 - 5 +10.6 +1.8 +8.1
  Feb 20, 2025 211   @ Idaho St. L 74-82 41%     13 - 11 8 - 6 -8.1 -0.3 -7.7
  Feb 22, 2025 285   @ Weber St. L 58-60 58%     13 - 12 8 - 7 -6.4 -11.6 +5.0
  Feb 27, 2025 186   Montana St. W 69-52 57%     14 - 12 9 - 7 +12.7 +8.4 +7.7
  Mar 01, 2025 155   Montana W 79-76 OT 50%     15 - 12 10 - 7 +0.6 -5.1 +5.5
  Mar 03, 2025 336   Sacramento St. W 59-56 86%     16 - 12 11 - 7 -11.2 -16.9 +5.7
  Mar 10, 2025 267   Idaho L 70-80 64%     16 - 13 -16.0 -11.8 -3.8
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%