Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana
Big Sky
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#155
Expected Predictive Rating+4.8#101
Pace67.4#198
Improvement+4.9#18

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#102
First Shot+5.4#51
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#325
Layup/Dunks+4.4#43
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#237
Freethrows+2.4#51
Improvement+4.1#23

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#240
First Shot-2.4#248
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#185
Layups/Dunks-3.3#299
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#100
Freethrows-0.7#243
Improvement+0.8#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round3.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 21 - 21 - 6
Quad 34 - 35 - 9
Quad 417 - 022 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 34   @ Oregon L 48-79 7%     0 - 1 -14.4 -12.5 -4.2
  Nov 13, 2024 6   @ Tennessee L 57-92 3%     0 - 2 -11.6 -1.9 -10.5
  Nov 18, 2024 53   @ Utah St. L 83-95 12%     0 - 3 +1.4 +6.9 -4.7
  Nov 24, 2024 298   Denver W 83-73 85%     1 - 3 -0.6 +0.9 -2.1
  Nov 25, 2024 291   Utah Tech W 69-66 84%     2 - 3 -7.4 -6.2 -1.0
  Nov 27, 2024 115   Cal St. Northridge W 83-75 50%     3 - 3 +8.4 +3.2 +4.5
  Dec 04, 2024 135   South Dakota St. W 71-67 56%     4 - 3 +2.9 -6.1 +8.8
  Dec 07, 2024 131   @ St. Thomas L 81-88 34%     4 - 4 -2.3 +6.0 -8.2
  Dec 16, 2024 105   @ Northern Iowa L 76-104 27%     4 - 5 -21.2 +9.9 -32.2
  Dec 21, 2024 64   @ San Francisco L 67-71 16%     4 - 6 +7.1 +6.8 -0.1
  Jan 02, 2025 290   @ Eastern Washington W 92-81 69%     5 - 6 1 - 0 +6.2 +15.0 -9.1
  Jan 04, 2025 267   @ Idaho W 73-71 64%     6 - 6 2 - 0 -1.3 -3.4 +2.2
  Jan 09, 2025 243   Northern Arizona W 81-76 76%     7 - 6 3 - 0 -2.2 +0.9 -3.2
  Jan 11, 2025 122   Northern Colorado L 57-81 53%     7 - 7 3 - 1 -24.4 -18.3 -6.1
  Jan 16, 2025 285   @ Weber St. W 63-59 68%     8 - 7 4 - 1 -0.4 -1.7 +2.0
  Jan 18, 2025 211   @ Idaho St. L 61-86 52%     8 - 8 4 - 2 -25.1 -8.7 -18.1
  Jan 20, 2025 267   Idaho W 72-67 81%     9 - 8 5 - 2 -3.8 -2.8 -0.6
  Jan 25, 2025 186   Montana St. W 77-70 67%     10 - 8 6 - 2 +2.7 +10.5 -7.1
  Jan 30, 2025 200   Portland St. W 92-78 70%     11 - 8 7 - 2 +8.9 +25.4 -15.7
  Feb 01, 2025 336   Sacramento St. W 87-59 91%     12 - 8 8 - 2 +13.8 +19.8 -2.5
  Feb 06, 2025 122   @ Northern Colorado W 86-78 32%     13 - 8 9 - 2 +13.1 +15.6 -2.3
  Feb 08, 2025 243   @ Northern Arizona W 83-80 58%     14 - 8 10 - 2 +1.3 +18.7 -17.0
  Feb 13, 2025 211   Idaho St. W 81-68 72%     15 - 8 11 - 2 +7.4 +8.4 -0.3
  Feb 15, 2025 285   Weber St. W 65-58 83%     16 - 8 12 - 2 -2.9 -2.8 +1.0
  Feb 22, 2025 186   @ Montana St. W 89-85 47%     17 - 8 13 - 2 +5.2 +19.1 -13.8
  Feb 27, 2025 336   @ Sacramento St. W 60-54 81%     18 - 8 14 - 2 -2.7 -6.9 +5.1
  Mar 01, 2025 200   @ Portland St. L 76-79 OT 50%     18 - 9 14 - 3 -2.6 -0.6 -1.8
  Mar 03, 2025 290   Eastern Washington W 83-72 84%     19 - 9 15 - 3 +0.7 +10.0 -8.7
  Mar 09, 2025 243   Northern Arizona W 74-65 68%     20 - 9 +4.6 -4.0 +8.2
  Mar 11, 2025 267   Idaho W 78-55 73%     21 - 9 +17.0 +3.4 +14.9
  Mar 12, 2025 122   Northern Colorado W 91-83 42%     22 - 9 +10.4 +25.9 -14.8
Projected Record 22 - 9 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.6 0.0 1.1 40.9 57.8 0.2
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 1.1 40.9 57.8 0.2