Pre-tourney Rankings
Tennessee
Southeastern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.7#6
Expected Predictive Rating+22.3#5
Pace61.6#340
Improvement-3.4#310

Offense
Total Offense+9.4#19
First Shot+6.9#34
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#42
Layup/Dunks+4.1#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#99
Freethrows+1.5#88
Improvement+1.4#118

Defense
Total Defense+11.3#4
First Shot+9.8#4
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#69
Layups/Dunks+6.1#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#136
Freethrows+2.1#50
Improvement-4.7#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 2.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 25.7% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 92.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round97.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen70.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight46.0% n/a n/a
Final Four22.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game10.6% n/a n/a
National Champion4.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a8 - 68 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 111 - 7
Quad 25 - 016 - 7
Quad 35 - 021 - 7
Quad 46 - 027 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 271   Gardner-Webb W 80-64 99%     1 - 0 +7.0 +5.5 +2.0
  Nov 09, 2024 23   @ Louisville W 77-55 58%     2 - 0 +40.6 +16.5 +25.0
  Nov 13, 2024 155   Montana W 92-57 97%     3 - 0 +32.6 +17.6 +15.8
  Nov 17, 2024 277   Austin Peay W 103-68 99%     4 - 0 +25.6 +22.8 +1.9
  Nov 21, 2024 99   Virginia W 64-42 93%     5 - 0 +26.5 +2.5 +27.5
  Nov 22, 2024 26   Baylor W 77-62 70%     6 - 0 +30.2 +20.9 +11.5
  Nov 27, 2024 305   Tennessee Martin W 78-35 99%     7 - 0 +31.8 +9.8 +28.0
  Dec 03, 2024 103   Syracuse W 96-70 95%     8 - 0 +27.4 +22.8 +4.6
  Dec 10, 2024 174   Miami (FL) W 75-62 97%     9 - 0 +12.1 -0.6 +13.1
  Dec 14, 2024 20   @ Illinois W 66-64 56%     10 - 0 +21.1 +4.7 +16.5
  Dec 17, 2024 339   Western Carolina W 84-36 99.6%    11 - 0 +33.5 +1.5 +29.8
  Dec 23, 2024 118   Middle Tennessee W 82-64 96%     12 - 0 +18.2 +9.1 +9.0
  Dec 31, 2024 191   Norfolk St. W 67-52 98%     13 - 0 +10.5 +2.2 +10.7
  Jan 04, 2025 38   Arkansas W 76-52 83%     14 - 0 1 - 0 +34.3 +15.7 +20.4
  Jan 07, 2025 2   @ Florida L 43-73 24%     14 - 1 1 - 1 -2.0 -17.0 +13.9
  Jan 11, 2025 43   @ Texas W 74-70 71%     15 - 1 2 - 1 +18.9 +17.8 +1.6
  Jan 15, 2025 33   Georgia W 74-56 81%     16 - 1 3 - 1 +29.2 +13.6 +17.0
  Jan 18, 2025 52   @ Vanderbilt L 75-76 75%     16 - 2 3 - 2 +12.7 +14.7 -2.0
  Jan 21, 2025 32   Mississippi St. W 68-56 81%     17 - 2 4 - 2 +23.3 +9.0 +16.0
  Jan 25, 2025 3   @ Auburn L 51-53 29%     17 - 3 4 - 3 +24.6 -5.7 +30.1
  Jan 28, 2025 16   Kentucky L 73-78 74%     17 - 4 4 - 4 +9.1 +7.5 +1.3
  Feb 01, 2025 2   Florida W 64-44 43%     18 - 4 5 - 4 +42.5 +6.1 +38.4
  Feb 05, 2025 15   Missouri W 85-81 73%     19 - 4 6 - 4 +18.3 +18.5 +0.0
  Feb 08, 2025 37   @ Oklahoma W 70-52 67%     20 - 4 7 - 4 +34.0 +9.0 +26.5
  Feb 11, 2025 16   @ Kentucky L 64-75 54%     20 - 5 7 - 5 +8.6 +3.8 +3.7
  Feb 15, 2025 52   Vanderbilt W 81-76 87%     21 - 5 8 - 5 +13.2 +17.8 -4.1
  Feb 22, 2025 22   @ Texas A&M W 77-69 57%     22 - 5 9 - 5 +26.8 +19.8 +7.5
  Feb 25, 2025 86   @ LSU W 65-59 86%     23 - 5 10 - 5 +15.2 +8.7 +7.4
  Mar 01, 2025 5   Alabama W 79-76 58%     24 - 5 11 - 5 +21.6 +7.0 +14.4
  Mar 05, 2025 29   @ Mississippi L 76-78 63%     24 - 6 11 - 6 +15.4 +19.7 -4.6
  Mar 08, 2025 70   South Carolina W 75-65 92%     25 - 6 12 - 6 +15.4 +11.6 +4.5
  Mar 14, 2025 43   Texas W 83-72 79%     26 - 6 +23.1 +24.1 +0.2
  Mar 15, 2025 3   Auburn W 70-65 38%     27 - 6 +28.8 +16.0 +13.5
  Mar 16, 2025 2   Florida L 77-86 33%     27 - 7 +16.2 +16.6 -0.6
Projected Record 27 - 7 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.8 25.7 66.5 7.7 0.1 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.8 25.7 66.5 7.7 0.1 100.0%