Pre-tourney Rankings
Baylor
Big 12
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.2#26
Expected Predictive Rating+13.6#38
Pace63.1#311
Improvement-0.5#220

Offense
Total Offense+9.7#17
First Shot+6.7#39
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#24
Layup/Dunks+1.6#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#17
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#87
Freethrows-2.1#302
Improvement-2.3#287

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#48
First Shot+4.3#58
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#80
Layups/Dunks+11.3#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#345
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#340
Freethrows+1.1#108
Improvement+1.7#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 92.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 92.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.6% n/a n/a
First Round89.6% n/a n/a
Second Round45.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.2% n/a n/a
Final Four1.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 111 - 11
Quad 1b4 - 15 - 12
Quad 27 - 112 - 13
Quad 31 - 113 - 14
Quad 45 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 10   @ Gonzaga L 63-101 26%     0 - 1 -16.2 -1.3 -14.7
  Nov 09, 2024 38   Arkansas W 72-67 58%     1 - 1 +18.1 +12.9 +5.6
  Nov 12, 2024 178   Sam Houston St. W 104-67 95%     2 - 1 +33.2 +22.3 +9.3
  Nov 17, 2024 273   Tarleton St. W 104-41 98%     3 - 1 +54.0 +31.5 +21.9
  Nov 21, 2024 9   St. John's W 99-98 2OT 35%     4 - 1 +20.1 +18.4 +1.5
  Nov 22, 2024 6   Tennessee L 62-77 30%     4 - 2 +5.7 +9.5 -6.0
  Nov 27, 2024 353   New Orleans W 91-60 99%     5 - 2 +14.6 +16.5 +0.8
  Dec 04, 2024 30   @ Connecticut L 72-76 42%     5 - 3 +13.3 +15.8 -3.1
  Dec 09, 2024 215   Abilene Christian W 88-57 96%     6 - 3 +25.3 +22.7 +4.6
  Dec 11, 2024 191   Norfolk St. W 94-69 96%     7 - 3 +20.5 +18.3 +2.2
  Dec 31, 2024 69   Utah W 81-56 82%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +30.5 +3.5 +24.8
  Jan 04, 2025 11   @ Iowa St. L 55-74 26%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +2.7 -1.9 +3.2
  Jan 07, 2025 48   Cincinnati W 68-48 74%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +28.4 +13.1 +18.7
  Jan 11, 2025 75   @ Arizona St. W 72-66 OT 68%     10 - 4 3 - 1 +16.3 +5.1 +11.2
  Jan 14, 2025 13   @ Arizona L 70-81 28%     10 - 5 3 - 2 +10.3 +8.6 +1.3
  Jan 19, 2025 74   TCU L 71-74 83%     10 - 6 3 - 3 +1.8 +6.8 -5.1
  Jan 22, 2025 59   Kansas St. W 70-62 78%     11 - 6 4 - 3 +14.9 +18.3 -1.7
  Jan 25, 2025 69   @ Utah W 76-61 66%     12 - 6 5 - 3 +26.0 +18.2 +9.7
  Jan 28, 2025 19   @ BYU L 89-93 OT 35%     12 - 7 5 - 4 +15.2 +22.1 -7.0
  Feb 01, 2025 18   Kansas W 81-70 56%     13 - 7 6 - 4 +24.7 +9.8 +14.0
  Feb 04, 2025 8   @ Texas Tech L 59-73 25%     13 - 8 6 - 5 +8.2 -1.8 +9.0
  Feb 08, 2025 71   Central Florida W 91-76 82%     14 - 8 7 - 5 +20.4 +21.6 -0.8
  Feb 10, 2025 4   @ Houston L 65-76 16%     14 - 9 7 - 6 +15.0 +19.9 -7.3
  Feb 15, 2025 47   West Virginia W 74-71 OT 73%     15 - 9 8 - 6 +11.6 +6.0 +5.5
  Feb 17, 2025 13   Arizona L 67-74 48%     15 - 10 8 - 7 +8.8 +2.0 +6.6
  Feb 22, 2025 76   @ Colorado L 74-76 68%     15 - 11 8 - 8 +8.2 +10.4 -2.3
  Feb 25, 2025 48   @ Cincinnati L 67-69 55%     15 - 12 8 - 9 +11.9 +14.6 -3.0
  Mar 01, 2025 93   Oklahoma St. W 71-61 87%     16 - 12 9 - 9 +12.9 -2.4 +14.7
  Mar 04, 2025 74   @ TCU W 61-58 68%     17 - 12 10 - 9 +13.3 +9.2 +4.7
  Mar 08, 2025 4   Houston L 61-65 30%     17 - 13 10 - 10 +16.5 +11.7 +4.0
  Mar 12, 2025 59   Kansas St. W 70-56 70%     18 - 13 +23.7 +14.4 +11.2
  Mar 13, 2025 8   Texas Tech L 74-76 34%     18 - 14 +17.4 +19.1 -2.0
Projected Record 18 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 92.5% 92.5% 9.7 0.0 0.2 5.8 29.7 41.0 15.5 0.2 7.6 92.5%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 92.5% 0.0% 92.5% 9.7 0.0 0.2 5.8 29.7 41.0 15.5 0.2 7.6 92.5%