Pre-tourney Rankings
BYU
Big 12
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.4#19
Expected Predictive Rating+16.3#22
Pace68.2#177
Improvement+5.0#17

Offense
Total Offense+12.0#8
First Shot+8.1#22
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#16
Layup/Dunks-0.2#188
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#134
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.3#4
Freethrows-0.6#218
Improvement+4.4#17

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#68
First Shot-1.4#223
After Offensive Rebounds+5.7#1
Layups/Dunks+9.8#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#361
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#353
Freethrows+1.1#102
Improvement+0.6#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 15.4% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 80.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round71.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen34.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight12.1% n/a n/a
Final Four4.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 7
Quad 27 - 214 - 9
Quad 34 - 018 - 9
Quad 46 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 343   Central Arkansas W 88-50 99%     1 - 0 +22.9 +9.4 +14.2
  Nov 08, 2024 150   UC Riverside W 86-80 95%     2 - 0 +3.8 +5.5 -2.1
  Nov 13, 2024 204   Queens W 99-55 97%     3 - 0 +38.7 +17.3 +19.2
  Nov 16, 2024 267   Idaho W 95-71 98%     4 - 0 +15.2 +12.1 +2.5
  Nov 23, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 87-43 99.9%    5 - 0 +12.7 +11.3 +6.8
  Nov 28, 2024 29   Mississippi L 85-96 OT 57%     5 - 1 +3.7 +7.7 -2.5
  Nov 29, 2024 109   North Carolina St. W 72-61 88%     6 - 1 +14.9 +8.0 +7.8
  Dec 03, 2024 92   @ Providence L 64-83 78%     6 - 2 -10.6 +2.7 -15.8
  Dec 11, 2024 259   Fresno St. W 95-67 98%     7 - 2 +20.0 +11.5 +6.1
  Dec 14, 2024 175   Wyoming W 68-49 94%     8 - 2 +18.0 +7.3 +13.8
  Dec 20, 2024 325   Florida A&M W 103-57 99%     9 - 2 +33.3 +14.3 +15.3
  Dec 31, 2024 75   Arizona St. W 76-56 86%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +24.8 +11.8 +14.6
  Jan 04, 2025 4   @ Houston L 55-86 18%     10 - 3 1 - 1 -5.0 +2.1 -10.7
  Jan 07, 2025 8   Texas Tech L 67-72 49%     10 - 4 1 - 2 +11.7 +9.1 +1.9
  Jan 11, 2025 74   @ TCU L 67-71 72%     10 - 5 1 - 3 +6.3 +6.7 -0.7
  Jan 14, 2025 93   Oklahoma St. W 85-69 89%     11 - 5 2 - 3 +18.9 +16.2 +2.8
  Jan 18, 2025 69   @ Utah L 72-73 OT 70%     11 - 6 2 - 4 +10.0 +0.1 +9.9
  Jan 21, 2025 76   @ Colorado W 83-67 72%     12 - 6 3 - 4 +26.2 +22.3 +4.9
  Jan 25, 2025 48   Cincinnati W 80-52 78%     13 - 6 4 - 4 +36.4 +26.9 +14.1
  Jan 28, 2025 26   Baylor W 93-89 OT 65%     14 - 6 5 - 4 +16.4 +24.5 -8.1
  Feb 01, 2025 71   @ Central Florida W 81-75 70%     15 - 6 6 - 4 +16.9 +4.3 +12.0
  Feb 04, 2025 13   Arizona L 74-85 52%     15 - 7 6 - 5 +4.8 +4.9 +0.3
  Feb 08, 2025 48   @ Cincinnati L 66-84 60%     15 - 8 6 - 6 -4.1 +8.9 -14.7
  Feb 11, 2025 47   @ West Virginia W 73-69 59%     16 - 8 7 - 6 +18.1 +17.8 +0.7
  Feb 15, 2025 59   Kansas St. W 80-65 82%     17 - 8 8 - 6 +21.9 +17.8 +4.9
  Feb 18, 2025 18   Kansas W 91-57 61%     18 - 8 9 - 6 +47.7 +24.4 +22.5
  Feb 22, 2025 13   @ Arizona W 96-95 32%     19 - 8 10 - 6 +22.3 +32.3 -10.1
  Feb 26, 2025 75   @ Arizona St. W 91-81 72%     20 - 8 11 - 6 +20.3 +18.1 +1.6
  Mar 01, 2025 47   West Virginia W 77-56 77%     21 - 8 12 - 6 +29.6 +19.9 +11.8
  Mar 04, 2025 11   @ Iowa St. W 88-85 2OT 30%     22 - 8 13 - 6 +24.7 +11.6 +12.6
  Mar 08, 2025 69   Utah W 85-74 85%     23 - 8 14 - 6 +16.5 +10.4 +5.5
  Mar 13, 2025 11   Iowa St. W 96-92 40%     24 - 8 +23.0 +35.4 -12.3
  Mar 14, 2025 4   Houston L 54-74 26%     24 - 9 +3.2 -0.8 +1.9
Projected Record 24 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.5 0.0 2.7 12.6 32.8 32.0 18.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.5 0.0 2.7 12.6 32.8 32.0 18.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%