Pre-tourney Rankings
Houston
Big 12
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+23.2#4
Expected Predictive Rating+24.3#3
Pace57.3#360
Improvement-0.1#198

Offense
Total Offense+10.9#12
First Shot+6.5#41
After Offensive Rebound+4.4#9
Layup/Dunks-1.0#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#30
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#69
Freethrows+0.5#145
Improvement-1.1#234

Defense
Total Defense+12.3#2
First Shot+12.3#2
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#186
Layups/Dunks+11.4#2
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#263
Freethrows-0.2#191
Improvement+1.0#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 19.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 72.7% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round99.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen80.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight60.4% n/a n/a
Final Four39.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game22.0% n/a n/a
National Champion11.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a7 - 37 - 3
Quad 1b6 - 013 - 3
Quad 27 - 120 - 4
Quad 35 - 025 - 4
Quad 45 - 030 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 260   Jackson St. W 97-40 99%     1 - 0 +48.9 +25.3 +25.5
  Nov 09, 2024 3   Auburn L 69-74 48%     1 - 1 +18.8 +14.1 +4.1
  Nov 13, 2024 306   Louisiana W 91-45 99.5%    2 - 1 +34.7 +12.4 +21.1
  Nov 22, 2024 218   Hofstra W 80-44 99%     3 - 1 +30.1 +17.7 +16.4
  Nov 26, 2024 5   Alabama L 80-85 OT 57%     3 - 2 +16.4 +8.6 +8.1
  Nov 27, 2024 95   Notre Dame W 65-54 94%     4 - 2 +16.2 +3.9 +13.9
  Nov 30, 2024 55   San Diego St. L 70-73 OT 88%     4 - 3 +7.5 +12.4 -5.2
  Dec 07, 2024 73   Butler W 79-51 94%     5 - 3 +33.0 +17.1 +19.9
  Dec 10, 2024 101   Troy W 62-42 97%     6 - 3 +21.6 +8.5 +18.5
  Dec 18, 2024 247   Toledo W 78-49 99%     7 - 3 +21.7 -5.7 +26.9
  Dec 21, 2024 176   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 87-51 99%     8 - 3 +32.3 +28.1 +10.4
  Dec 30, 2024 93   @ Oklahoma St. W 60-47 91%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +21.4 -3.4 +25.5
  Jan 04, 2025 19   BYU W 86-55 82%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +44.7 +26.0 +22.2
  Jan 06, 2025 74   TCU W 65-46 95%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +23.8 +10.3 +17.1
  Jan 11, 2025 59   @ Kansas St. W 87-57 84%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +42.4 +26.8 +16.9
  Jan 15, 2025 47   West Virginia W 70-54 91%     13 - 3 5 - 0 +24.6 +25.1 +4.1
  Jan 18, 2025 71   @ Central Florida W 69-68 87%     14 - 3 6 - 0 +11.9 +4.2 +7.7
  Jan 22, 2025 69   Utah W 70-36 94%     15 - 3 7 - 0 +39.5 +12.2 +33.3
  Jan 25, 2025 18   @ Kansas W 92-86 2OT 65%     16 - 3 8 - 0 +25.2 +19.1 +5.4
  Jan 29, 2025 47   @ West Virginia W 63-49 81%     17 - 3 9 - 0 +28.1 +17.3 +14.5
  Feb 01, 2025 8   Texas Tech L 81-82 OT 74%     17 - 4 9 - 1 +15.7 +12.4 +3.3
  Feb 04, 2025 93   Oklahoma St. W 72-63 96%     18 - 4 10 - 1 +11.9 +12.8 +0.3
  Feb 08, 2025 76   @ Colorado W 69-59 88%     19 - 4 11 - 1 +20.2 +18.4 +4.0
  Feb 10, 2025 26   Baylor W 76-65 84%     20 - 4 12 - 1 +23.4 +23.7 +2.1
  Feb 15, 2025 13   @ Arizona W 62-58 58%     21 - 4 13 - 1 +25.3 +5.3 +20.5
  Feb 18, 2025 75   @ Arizona St. W 80-65 88%     22 - 4 14 - 1 +25.3 +22.8 +4.5
  Feb 22, 2025 11   Iowa St. W 68-59 75%     23 - 4 15 - 1 +25.2 +13.6 +12.8
  Feb 24, 2025 8   @ Texas Tech W 69-61 54%     24 - 4 16 - 1 +30.2 +13.0 +18.2
  Mar 01, 2025 48   Cincinnati W 73-64 91%     25 - 4 17 - 1 +17.4 +13.8 +4.5
  Mar 03, 2025 18   Kansas W 65-59 82%     26 - 4 18 - 1 +19.7 +5.6 +14.6
  Mar 08, 2025 26   @ Baylor W 65-61 70%     27 - 4 19 - 1 +21.9 +12.4 +10.3
  Mar 13, 2025 76   Colorado W 77-68 92%     28 - 4 +16.5 +12.0 +4.7
  Mar 14, 2025 19   BYU W 74-54 74%     29 - 4 +36.4 +13.4 +25.2
  Mar 15, 2025 13   Arizona W 72-64 68%     30 - 4 +26.5 +10.8 +16.2
Projected Record 30 - 4 19 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.3 72.7 27.1 0.2
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.3 72.7 27.1 0.2