Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.0#11
Expected Predictive Rating+16.8#18
Pace70.5#111
Improvement-3.8#322

Offense
Total Offense+8.7#21
First Shot+6.8#36
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#75
Layup/Dunks+4.6#40
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#270
Freethrows+2.4#54
Improvement-4.6#345

Defense
Total Defense+10.3#7
First Shot+7.9#14
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#26
Layups/Dunks+5.7#27
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#103
Freethrows+2.7#34
Improvement+0.8#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 6.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 89.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round91.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen60.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight26.5% n/a n/a
Final Four12.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.0% n/a n/a
National Champion1.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b7 - 29 - 7
Quad 27 - 216 - 9
Quad 33 - 019 - 9
Quad 45 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 83-44 100.0%    1 - 0 +7.7 -7.8 +13.4
  Nov 11, 2024 233   UMKC W 82-56 98%     2 - 0 +19.4 +13.1 +7.8
  Nov 18, 2024 316   IU Indianapolis W 87-52 99%     3 - 0 +22.9 +1.6 +21.2
  Nov 25, 2024 3   Auburn L 81-83 32%     3 - 1 +21.8 +16.3 +5.6
  Nov 26, 2024 77   Dayton W 89-84 86%     4 - 1 +12.2 +19.9 -7.6
  Nov 27, 2024 76   Colorado W 99-71 86%     5 - 1 +35.5 +27.5 +6.8
  Dec 04, 2024 27   Marquette W 81-70 74%     6 - 1 +23.2 +14.4 +8.8
  Dec 08, 2024 260   Jackson St. W 100-58 99%     7 - 1 +33.9 +19.0 +12.4
  Dec 12, 2024 61   @ Iowa W 89-80 74%     8 - 1 +21.2 +15.9 +5.2
  Dec 15, 2024 146   Nebraska Omaha W 83-51 96%     9 - 1 +30.1 +7.0 +23.4
  Dec 22, 2024 333   Morgan St. W 99-72 99%     10 - 1 +13.5 +12.9 -0.8
  Dec 30, 2024 76   @ Colorado W 79-69 80%     11 - 1 1 - 0 +20.2 +15.4 +5.1
  Jan 04, 2025 26   Baylor W 74-55 74%     12 - 1 2 - 0 +31.4 +11.0 +21.9
  Jan 07, 2025 69   Utah W 82-59 89%     13 - 1 3 - 0 +28.5 +12.3 +16.3
  Jan 11, 2025 8   @ Texas Tech W 85-84 OT 38%     14 - 1 4 - 0 +23.2 +13.2 +9.9
  Jan 15, 2025 18   Kansas W 74-57 70%     15 - 1 5 - 0 +30.7 +7.8 +22.5
  Jan 18, 2025 47   @ West Virginia L 57-64 68%     15 - 2 5 - 1 +7.1 -2.1 +8.8
  Jan 21, 2025 71   Central Florida W 108-83 89%     16 - 2 6 - 1 +30.4 +22.5 +4.7
  Jan 25, 2025 75   @ Arizona St. W 76-61 79%     17 - 2 7 - 1 +25.3 +9.0 +16.4
  Jan 27, 2025 13   @ Arizona L 75-86 OT 41%     17 - 3 7 - 2 +10.3 +2.5 +9.0
  Feb 01, 2025 59   Kansas St. L 61-80 87%     17 - 4 7 - 3 -12.1 -5.7 -6.3
  Feb 03, 2025 18   @ Kansas L 52-69 49%     17 - 5 7 - 4 +2.2 -3.5 +3.6
  Feb 08, 2025 74   TCU W 82-52 90%     18 - 5 8 - 4 +34.8 +19.8 +16.8
  Feb 11, 2025 71   @ Central Florida W 77-65 78%     19 - 5 9 - 4 +22.9 +8.9 +14.1
  Feb 15, 2025 48   Cincinnati W 81-70 84%     20 - 5 10 - 4 +19.4 +16.2 +3.5
  Feb 18, 2025 76   Colorado W 79-65 90%     21 - 5 11 - 4 +18.7 +12.1 +6.9
  Feb 22, 2025 4   @ Houston L 59-68 25%     21 - 6 11 - 5 +17.0 +8.1 +7.6
  Feb 25, 2025 93   @ Oklahoma St. L 68-74 84%     21 - 7 11 - 6 +2.4 -1.6 +4.2
  Mar 01, 2025 13   Arizona W 84-67 62%     22 - 7 12 - 6 +32.8 +14.0 +18.1
  Mar 04, 2025 19   BYU L 85-88 2OT 70%     22 - 8 12 - 7 +10.7 +0.4 +10.8
  Mar 08, 2025 59   @ Kansas St. W 73-57 74%     23 - 8 13 - 7 +28.4 +9.1 +19.4
  Mar 12, 2025 48   Cincinnati W 76-56 77%     24 - 8 +31.2 +17.6 +15.3
  Mar 13, 2025 19   BYU L 92-96 60%     24 - 9 +12.4 +25.4 -13.0
Projected Record 24 - 9 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.6 0.2 5.9 42.8 40.7 9.6 0.7 0.0 100.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.6 0.2 5.9 42.8 40.7 9.6 0.7 0.0 100.0%