Pre-tourney Rankings
Marquette
Big East
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.0#27
Expected Predictive Rating+15.6#28
Pace69.1#144
Improvement-6.0#351

Offense
Total Offense+7.6#32
First Shot+6.7#38
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#131
Layup/Dunks+7.2#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#61
Freethrows-0.7#231
Improvement-2.1#279

Defense
Total Defense+7.4#26
First Shot+8.1#13
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#247
Layups/Dunks+1.9#102
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#73
Freethrows+3.5#8
Improvement-3.9#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 10.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.6% n/a n/a
Second Round58.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.3% n/a n/a
Final Four2.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b5 - 26 - 8
Quad 27 - 213 - 10
Quad 35 - 018 - 10
Quad 45 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 324   Stony Brook W 102-62 99%     1 - 0 +27.4 +21.4 +6.2
  Nov 08, 2024 82   George Mason W 82-63 85%     2 - 0 +23.0 +11.7 +10.5
  Nov 11, 2024 217   Central Michigan W 70-62 96%     3 - 0 +2.1 -9.5 +11.2
  Nov 15, 2024 12   @ Maryland W 78-74 26%     4 - 0 +25.7 +20.2 +5.7
  Nov 19, 2024 17   Purdue W 76-58 55%     5 - 0 +31.7 +8.5 +23.8
  Nov 23, 2024 33   Georgia W 80-69 54%     6 - 0 +24.9 +14.9 +10.0
  Nov 27, 2024 330   Stonehill W 94-59 99%     7 - 0 +21.6 +16.0 +6.6
  Nov 30, 2024 339   Western Carolina W 94-62 99%     8 - 0 +17.5 +3.3 +10.1
  Dec 04, 2024 11   @ Iowa St. L 70-81 26%     8 - 1 +10.7 +9.0 +1.7
  Dec 07, 2024 14   Wisconsin W 88-74 50%     9 - 1 +29.1 +27.0 +3.0
  Dec 14, 2024 77   @ Dayton L 63-71 69%     9 - 2 +2.0 +1.7 -0.8
  Dec 18, 2024 73   Butler W 80-70 83%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +15.0 +15.0 +1.0
  Dec 21, 2024 39   @ Xavier W 72-70 47%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +17.7 +7.5 +10.2
  Dec 31, 2024 92   @ Providence W 78-50 74%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +36.4 +17.5 +22.3
  Jan 03, 2025 35   Creighton W 79-71 65%     13 - 2 4 - 0 +18.9 +9.5 +9.2
  Jan 07, 2025 84   Georgetown W 74-66 85%     14 - 2 5 - 0 +11.9 +3.6 +8.2
  Jan 14, 2025 110   @ DePaul W 85-83 OT 79%     15 - 2 6 - 0 +8.5 +9.2 -0.8
  Jan 18, 2025 39   Xavier L 57-59 68%     15 - 3 6 - 1 +8.2 -8.3 +16.4
  Jan 21, 2025 169   @ Seton Hall W 76-59 88%     16 - 3 7 - 1 +19.2 +10.5 +9.1
  Jan 24, 2025 51   Villanova W 87-74 74%     17 - 3 8 - 1 +21.3 +16.0 +5.2
  Jan 28, 2025 73   @ Butler W 78-69 67%     18 - 3 9 - 1 +19.5 +12.3 +7.7
  Feb 01, 2025 30   Connecticut L 69-77 62%     18 - 4 9 - 2 +3.8 +3.0 +0.3
  Feb 04, 2025 9   @ St. John's L 64-70 26%     18 - 5 9 - 3 +15.8 +8.6 +7.0
  Feb 08, 2025 35   @ Creighton L 67-77 45%     18 - 6 9 - 4 +6.4 +12.6 -7.8
  Feb 11, 2025 110   DePaul W 68-58 90%     19 - 6 10 - 4 +11.0 -6.6 +17.4
  Feb 18, 2025 169   Seton Hall W 80-56 95%     20 - 6 11 - 4 +20.7 +17.4 +5.6
  Feb 21, 2025 51   @ Villanova L 66-81 55%     20 - 7 11 - 5 -1.2 +9.1 -13.0
  Feb 25, 2025 92   Providence W 82-52 87%     21 - 7 12 - 5 +32.9 +11.8 +22.0
  Mar 01, 2025 84   @ Georgetown W 76-61 70%     22 - 7 13 - 5 +24.4 +12.3 +12.6
  Mar 05, 2025 30   @ Connecticut L 66-72 41%     22 - 8 13 - 6 +11.3 +7.9 +2.6
  Mar 08, 2025 9   St. John's L 84-86 OT 45%     22 - 9 13 - 7 +14.3 +15.3 -0.8
  Mar 13, 2025 39   Xavier W 89-87 58%     23 - 9 +14.9 +20.5 -5.6
  Mar 14, 2025 9   St. John's L 63-79 35%     23 - 10 +3.1 -2.6 +7.3
Projected Record 23 - 10 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 99.6% 99.6% 7.4 0.1 1.9 8.5 39.0 43.2 6.7 0.1 0.4 99.6%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 7.4 0.1 1.9 8.5 39.0 43.2 6.7 0.1 0.4 99.6%