Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue
Big Ten
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.5#17
Expected Predictive Rating+15.9#24
Pace64.0#288
Improvement-1.5#255

Offense
Total Offense+12.2#7
First Shot+10.3#9
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#76
Layup/Dunks+0.6#156
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#79
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#38
Freethrows+2.6#41
Improvement+0.8#148

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#70
First Shot+4.0#63
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#164
Layups/Dunks+3.0#70
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#240
Freethrows+3.0#20
Improvement-2.3#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 23.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 91.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round74.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen37.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight13.0% n/a n/a
Final Four4.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 10
Quad 29 - 116 - 11
Quad 32 - 018 - 11
Quad 44 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 176   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 90-73 96%     1 - 0 +13.3 +12.4 +0.2
  Nov 08, 2024 222   Northern Kentucky W 72-50 97%     2 - 0 +15.9 +6.0 +12.7
  Nov 11, 2024 78   Yale W 92-84 87%     3 - 0 +12.3 +16.2 -4.1
  Nov 15, 2024 5   Alabama W 87-78 42%     4 - 0 +27.6 +23.4 +4.6
  Nov 19, 2024 27   @ Marquette L 58-76 45%     4 - 1 -0.3 -4.1 +3.3
  Nov 23, 2024 171   Marshall W 80-45 96%     5 - 1 +31.7 +9.3 +24.0
  Nov 28, 2024 109   North Carolina St. W 71-61 88%     6 - 1 +13.9 +13.9 +1.8
  Nov 29, 2024 29   Mississippi W 80-78 57%     7 - 1 +16.7 +23.6 -6.8
  Dec 05, 2024 58   @ Penn St. L 70-81 64%     7 - 2 0 - 1 +1.7 +1.3 +0.6
  Dec 08, 2024 12   Maryland W 83-78 51%     8 - 2 1 - 1 +21.2 +19.9 +1.3
  Dec 14, 2024 22   Texas A&M L 66-70 52%     8 - 3 +12.1 +7.2 +4.6
  Dec 21, 2024 3   Auburn L 69-87 24%     8 - 4 +5.8 +8.0 -2.8
  Dec 29, 2024 247   Toledo W 83-64 98%     9 - 4 +11.7 +3.9 +8.5
  Jan 02, 2025 85   @ Minnesota W 81-61 76%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +29.2 +29.2 +3.9
  Jan 05, 2025 49   Northwestern W 79-61 78%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +26.4 +16.1 +11.4
  Jan 09, 2025 66   @ Rutgers W 68-50 70%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +29.0 +6.0 +24.9
  Jan 12, 2025 57   Nebraska W 104-68 81%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +43.3 +34.6 +8.5
  Jan 15, 2025 107   @ Washington W 69-58 82%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +17.7 +5.1 +13.5
  Jan 18, 2025 34   @ Oregon W 65-58 49%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +23.6 +1.1 +22.5
  Jan 21, 2025 40   Ohio St. L 70-73 73%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +7.1 +6.8 +0.1
  Jan 24, 2025 24   Michigan W 91-64 64%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +39.7 +23.9 +15.3
  Jan 31, 2025 46   Indiana W 81-76 77%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +13.7 +15.4 -1.6
  Feb 04, 2025 61   @ Iowa W 90-81 66%     18 - 5 10 - 2 +21.2 +19.4 +1.9
  Feb 07, 2025 60   USC W 90-72 82%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +24.9 +14.3 +9.8
  Feb 11, 2025 24   @ Michigan L 73-75 43%     19 - 6 11 - 3 +16.2 +12.0 +4.1
  Feb 15, 2025 14   Wisconsin L 84-94 55%     19 - 7 11 - 4 +5.1 +23.5 -19.1
  Feb 18, 2025 7   @ Michigan St. L 66-75 28%     19 - 8 11 - 5 +13.4 +17.1 -5.2
  Feb 23, 2025 46   @ Indiana L 58-73 59%     19 - 9 11 - 6 -0.8 -1.6 -0.6
  Feb 28, 2025 25   UCLA W 76-66 65%     20 - 9 12 - 6 +22.4 +21.5 +2.5
  Mar 04, 2025 66   Rutgers W 100-71 85%     21 - 9 13 - 6 +34.5 +36.5 +0.5
  Mar 07, 2025 20   @ Illinois L 80-88 40%     21 - 10 13 - 7 +11.1 +11.6 -0.3
  Mar 13, 2025 60   USC W 76-71 74%     22 - 10 +14.6 +15.6 -0.3
  Mar 14, 2025 24   Michigan L 68-86 54%     22 - 11 -2.5 +8.3 -12.0
Projected Record 22 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.2 0.1 4.6 18.5 38.1 30.0 8.5 0.3 0.0 100.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.2 0.1 4.6 18.5 38.1 30.0 8.5 0.3 0.0 100.0%