Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.3#20
Expected Predictive Rating+15.6#29
Pace76.7#16
Improvement-4.7#337

Offense
Total Offense+10.5#14
First Shot+8.2#20
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#52
Layup/Dunks-1.2#223
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#15
Freethrows+2.5#49
Improvement+1.3#126

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#43
First Shot+4.1#61
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#55
Layups/Dunks+6.5#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-9.5#364
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#19
Freethrows+2.3#47
Improvement-5.9#358
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 7.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 76.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round69.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen32.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight12.0% n/a n/a
Final Four4.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b5 - 28 - 10
Quad 27 - 215 - 12
Quad 30 - 015 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 320   Eastern Illinois W 112-67 99%     1 - 0 +32.7 +19.6 +5.8
  Nov 08, 2024 232   SIU Edwardsville W 90-58 97%     2 - 0 +25.4 +18.0 +8.2
  Nov 13, 2024 182   Oakland W 66-54 96%     3 - 0 +7.9 -8.7 +16.8
  Nov 20, 2024 5   Alabama L 87-100 31%     3 - 1 +8.4 +9.4 +0.8
  Nov 23, 2024 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 87-40 99.6%    4 - 1 +28.1 +1.8 +24.6
  Nov 25, 2024 254   Arkansas Little Rock W 92-34 98%     5 - 1 +50.3 +20.5 +31.1
  Nov 28, 2024 38   Arkansas W 90-77 62%     6 - 1 +26.1 +22.8 +2.9
  Dec 06, 2024 49   @ Northwestern L 66-70 OT 60%     6 - 2 0 - 1 +9.9 -3.9 +14.0
  Dec 10, 2024 14   Wisconsin W 86-80 55%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +21.1 +14.8 +6.0
  Dec 14, 2024 6   Tennessee L 64-66 44%     7 - 3 +15.9 +5.3 +10.5
  Dec 22, 2024 15   Missouri W 80-77 47%     8 - 3 +20.1 +6.6 +13.4
  Dec 29, 2024 362   Chicago St. W 117-64 99.6%    9 - 3 +33.3 +23.1 +4.4
  Jan 02, 2025 34   @ Oregon W 109-77 49%     10 - 3 2 - 1 +48.6 +33.4 +11.9
  Jan 05, 2025 107   @ Washington W 81-77 82%     11 - 3 3 - 1 +10.7 +7.1 +3.4
  Jan 08, 2025 58   Penn St. W 91-52 81%     12 - 3 4 - 1 +46.2 +10.2 +31.3
  Jan 11, 2025 60   USC L 72-82 81%     12 - 4 4 - 2 -3.1 -5.7 +3.3
  Jan 14, 2025 46   @ Indiana W 94-69 58%     13 - 4 5 - 2 +39.2 +20.8 +16.1
  Jan 19, 2025 7   @ Michigan St. L 78-80 28%     13 - 5 5 - 3 +20.4 +14.7 +5.7
  Jan 23, 2025 12   Maryland L 70-91 50%     13 - 6 5 - 4 -4.8 -1.9 -0.3
  Jan 26, 2025 49   Northwestern W 83-74 78%     14 - 6 6 - 4 +17.4 +17.1 +0.5
  Jan 30, 2025 57   @ Nebraska L 74-80 OT 63%     14 - 7 6 - 5 +6.8 -0.4 +7.9
  Feb 02, 2025 40   Ohio St. W 87-79 72%     15 - 7 7 - 5 +18.1 +15.2 +2.6
  Feb 05, 2025 66   @ Rutgers L 73-82 69%     15 - 8 7 - 6 +2.0 +5.4 -3.6
  Feb 08, 2025 85   @ Minnesota W 95-74 75%     16 - 8 8 - 6 +30.2 +40.4 -7.3
  Feb 11, 2025 25   UCLA W 83-78 65%     17 - 8 9 - 6 +17.4 +20.0 -2.4
  Feb 15, 2025 7   Michigan St. L 65-79 48%     17 - 9 9 - 7 +2.9 +4.7 -2.4
  Feb 18, 2025 14   @ Wisconsin L 74-95 34%     17 - 10 9 - 8 -0.4 +8.0 -7.7
  Feb 22, 2025 1   Duke L 67-110 19%     17 - 11 -17.4 +2.1 -17.5
  Feb 25, 2025 61   Iowa W 81-61 82%     18 - 11 10 - 8 +26.7 +10.4 +17.2
  Mar 02, 2025 24   @ Michigan W 93-73 43%     19 - 11 11 - 8 +38.2 +31.1 +7.2
  Mar 07, 2025 17   Purdue W 88-80 60%     20 - 11 12 - 8 +21.7 +15.0 +6.4
  Mar 13, 2025 61   Iowa W 106-94 75%     21 - 11 +21.4 +26.7 -6.0
  Mar 14, 2025 12   Maryland L 65-88 40%     21 - 12 -4.0 +1.2 -4.6
Projected Record 21 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.8 0.0 1.0 6.7 28.4 40.2 22.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.8 0.0 1.0 6.7 28.4 40.2 22.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%