Pre-tourney Rankings
Wisconsin
Big Ten
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.9#14
Expected Predictive Rating+17.5#11
Pace68.4#170
Improvement+0.9#158

Offense
Total Offense+10.4#15
First Shot+10.1#11
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#172
Layup/Dunks+1.5#129
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#26
Freethrows+5.5#2
Improvement-2.6#300

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#23
First Shot+6.6#22
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#108
Layups/Dunks+4.3#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#33
Freethrows+0.5#150
Improvement+3.5#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 2.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 71.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round87.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen53.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight20.3% n/a n/a
Final Four8.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game3.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b5 - 28 - 8
Quad 210 - 118 - 9
Quad 32 - 020 - 9
Quad 46 - 026 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 321   Holy Cross W 85-61 99%     1 - 0 +11.6 +8.8 +3.9
  Nov 07, 2024 186   Montana St. W 79-67 97%     2 - 0 +7.7 +10.0 -1.5
  Nov 10, 2024 180   Appalachian St. W 87-56 97%     3 - 0 +27.1 +16.8 +10.5
  Nov 15, 2024 13   Arizona W 103-88 58%     4 - 0 +30.8 +21.0 +7.5
  Nov 18, 2024 266   UT Rio Grande Valley W 87-84 98%     5 - 0 -5.5 +9.6 -15.1
  Nov 22, 2024 71   Central Florida W 86-70 82%     6 - 0 +24.1 +6.9 +15.7
  Nov 24, 2024 62   Pittsburgh W 81-75 79%     7 - 0 +15.4 +13.5 +2.1
  Nov 30, 2024 362   Chicago St. W 74-53 99.7%    8 - 0 +1.3 -2.8 +5.3
  Dec 03, 2024 24   Michigan L 64-67 69%     8 - 1 0 - 1 +9.7 +1.1 +8.5
  Dec 07, 2024 27   @ Marquette L 74-88 50%     8 - 2 +3.7 +14.8 -11.9
  Dec 10, 2024 20   @ Illinois L 80-86 45%     8 - 3 0 - 2 +13.1 +10.2 +3.2
  Dec 14, 2024 73   Butler W 83-74 83%     9 - 3 +16.8 +13.5 +3.5
  Dec 22, 2024 337   Detroit Mercy W 76-53 99%     10 - 3 +8.7 +1.7 +8.1
  Jan 03, 2025 61   Iowa W 116-85 85%     11 - 3 1 - 2 +37.7 +32.8 +2.5
  Jan 06, 2025 66   @ Rutgers W 75-63 74%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +23.0 +6.4 +16.7
  Jan 10, 2025 85   Minnesota W 80-59 90%     13 - 3 3 - 2 +24.7 +15.5 +10.7
  Jan 14, 2025 40   Ohio St. W 70-68 77%     14 - 3 4 - 2 +12.1 +3.5 +8.7
  Jan 18, 2025 60   @ USC W 84-69 70%     15 - 3 5 - 2 +27.4 +15.3 +12.1
  Jan 21, 2025 25   @ UCLA L 83-85 50%     15 - 4 5 - 3 +15.9 +24.3 -8.5
  Jan 26, 2025 57   Nebraska W 83-55 84%     16 - 4 6 - 3 +35.3 +14.0 +21.2
  Jan 29, 2025 12   @ Maryland L 68-76 35%     16 - 5 6 - 4 +13.7 +9.4 +4.1
  Feb 01, 2025 49   @ Northwestern W 75-69 65%     17 - 5 7 - 4 +19.9 +19.8 +0.9
  Feb 04, 2025 46   Indiana W 76-64 81%     18 - 5 8 - 4 +20.7 +13.0 +8.3
  Feb 08, 2025 61   @ Iowa W 74-63 71%     19 - 5 9 - 4 +23.2 +7.3 +16.6
  Feb 15, 2025 17   @ Purdue W 94-84 45%     20 - 5 10 - 4 +29.2 +33.8 -3.8
  Feb 18, 2025 20   Illinois W 95-74 66%     21 - 5 11 - 4 +34.6 +24.0 +10.0
  Feb 22, 2025 34   Oregon L 73-77 OT 74%     21 - 6 11 - 5 +7.1 -0.4 +7.9
  Feb 25, 2025 107   Washington W 88-62 93%     22 - 6 12 - 5 +27.2 +23.5 +6.0
  Mar 02, 2025 7   @ Michigan St. L 62-71 33%     22 - 7 12 - 6 +13.4 -0.6 +14.4
  Mar 05, 2025 85   @ Minnesota W 74-67 79%     23 - 7 13 - 6 +16.2 +13.7 +3.2
  Mar 08, 2025 58   Penn St. L 75-86 84%     23 - 8 13 - 7 -3.8 +1.5 -4.9
  Mar 13, 2025 49   Northwestern W 70-63 74%     24 - 8 +18.1 +7.8 +10.7
  Mar 14, 2025 25   UCLA W 86-70 60%     25 - 8 +31.2 +26.6 +5.6
  Mar 15, 2025 7   Michigan St. W 77-74 43%     26 - 8 +22.6 +16.6 +6.0
  Mar 16, 2025 24   Michigan L 53-59 59%     26 - 9 +9.5 -8.8 +18.0
Projected Record 26 - 9 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.0 0.0 2.1 25.7 44.1 23.2 4.6 0.3 100.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.0 0.0 2.1 25.7 44.1 23.2 4.6 0.3 100.0%