Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.6#337
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#317
Pace67.4#199
Improvement-4.0#327

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#345
First Shot-8.3#357
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#158
Layup/Dunks-7.5#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#340
Freethrows-1.7#284
Improvement-1.3#248

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#280
First Shot-2.7#264
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#268
Layups/Dunks-1.0#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#26
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#305
Freethrows-0.5#226
Improvement-2.6#306
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 112 - 15
Quad 45 - 97 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 104   @ Loyola Chicago L 65-87 5%     0 - 1 -15.2 -4.2 -10.5
  Nov 10, 2024 312   Niagara W 84-78 OT 51%     1 - 1 -5.9 -1.7 -4.7
  Nov 16, 2024 247   Toledo L 67-82 34%     1 - 2 -22.3 -17.6 -4.2
  Nov 20, 2024 269   @ Ball St. W 70-59 22%     2 - 2 +7.6 -2.4 +10.5
  Nov 23, 2024 63   @ Wake Forest L 57-67 3%     2 - 3 +1.8 -4.7 +6.1
  Nov 26, 2024 250   Tulsa L 44-63 25%     2 - 4 -23.7 -26.3 +0.9
  Nov 27, 2024 154   Rhode Island L 75-81 13%     2 - 5 -5.6 +1.7 -7.2
  Nov 30, 2024 275   @ Eastern Michigan W 98-89 OT 22%     3 - 5 +5.4 +9.8 -5.5
  Dec 05, 2024 163   Purdue Fort Wayne W 79-78 21%     4 - 5 1 - 0 -2.0 +5.5 -7.4
  Dec 07, 2024 229   Wright St. L 72-80 31%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -14.4 -4.2 -10.6
  Dec 14, 2024 145   @ Davidson L 51-86 9%     4 - 7 -31.4 -19.1 -13.7
  Dec 18, 2024 222   @ Northern Kentucky L 60-73 15%     4 - 8 1 - 2 -13.6 -9.7 -4.5
  Dec 22, 2024 14   @ Wisconsin L 53-76 1%     4 - 9 -2.4 -8.5 +5.1
  Dec 29, 2024 199   @ Youngstown St. L 64-73 13%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -8.5 -12.6 +5.0
  Jan 02, 2025 138   Robert Morris W 78-76 OT 17%     5 - 10 2 - 3 +0.6 +1.8 -1.4
  Jan 04, 2025 142   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 56-64 18%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -9.7 -17.0 +7.2
  Jan 09, 2025 316   @ IU Indianapolis L 61-95 31%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -40.6 -17.2 -25.6
  Jan 11, 2025 163   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 67-90 10%     5 - 13 2 - 6 -20.5 -1.6 -20.2
  Jan 18, 2025 182   Oakland L 59-65 24%     5 - 14 2 - 7 -10.1 -6.9 -4.2
  Jan 22, 2025 168   @ Cleveland St. L 50-65 10%     5 - 15 2 - 8 -12.8 -15.4 +1.3
  Jan 25, 2025 229   @ Wright St. L 50-67 16%     5 - 16 2 - 9 -17.9 -20.3 +0.1
  Jan 30, 2025 222   Northern Kentucky W 68-57 30%     6 - 16 3 - 9 +4.9 -5.1 +10.3
  Feb 01, 2025 334   Green Bay W 67-57 59%     7 - 16 4 - 9 -4.0 -7.9 +4.8
  Feb 05, 2025 138   @ Robert Morris L 56-71 8%     7 - 17 4 - 10 -10.9 -9.4 -2.9
  Feb 08, 2025 199   Youngstown St. L 72-87 26%     7 - 18 4 - 11 -20.0 +2.9 -23.8
  Feb 16, 2025 182   @ Oakland L 83-93 OT 12%     7 - 19 4 - 12 -8.6 +0.4 -7.9
  Feb 19, 2025 316   IU Indianapolis L 71-80 52%     7 - 20 4 - 13 -21.1 -10.3 -11.3
  Feb 21, 2025 168   Cleveland St. L 65-73 22%     7 - 21 4 - 14 -11.3 -5.3 -6.3
  Feb 27, 2025 334   @ Green Bay L 71-76 38%     7 - 22 4 - 15 -13.5 -5.3 -8.4
  Mar 01, 2025 142   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-89 8%     7 - 23 4 - 16 -18.2 -5.5 -12.1
  Mar 04, 2025 222   @ Northern Kentucky L 75-99 15%     7 - 24 -24.6 -1.3 -22.1
Projected Record 7 - 24 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16 100.0% 100.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%