Pre-tourney Rankings
Youngstown St.
Horizon
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#199
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#177
Pace71.8#74
Improvement+3.3#58

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#240
First Shot-3.0#264
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#157
Layup/Dunks-4.3#326
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#171
Freethrows+2.9#37
Improvement+6.7#7

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#165
First Shot+1.2#135
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#256
Layups/Dunks-2.2#266
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#81
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#30
Freethrows-2.0#311
Improvement-3.4#322
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 37 - 57 - 8
Quad 412 - 519 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 362   @ Chicago St. W 80-60 87%     1 - 0 +5.8 -1.4 +6.4
  Nov 11, 2024 40   @ Ohio St. L 47-81 6%     1 - 1 -18.4 -19.0 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2024 103   @ Syracuse L 95-104 2OT 19%     1 - 2 -2.1 +3.9 -4.0
  Nov 21, 2024 251   Monmouth W 72-62 60%     2 - 2 +5.1 -7.8 +12.5
  Nov 22, 2024 239   Presbyterian L 42-67 58%     2 - 3 -29.3 -31.7 +1.5
  Nov 23, 2024 280   @ Stephen F. Austin L 57-64 58%     2 - 4 -11.2 -10.3 -1.3
  Nov 27, 2024 293   Western Michigan L 62-73 78%     2 - 5 -21.4 -13.5 -8.4
  Dec 04, 2024 138   @ Robert Morris W 72-58 27%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +18.1 -2.3 +19.6
  Dec 07, 2024 182   Oakland W 66-50 57%     4 - 5 2 - 0 +11.9 -0.1 +14.3
  Dec 14, 2024 247   Toledo W 93-87 69%     5 - 5 -1.3 +8.2 -9.7
  Dec 18, 2024 229   @ Wright St. W 80-70 45%     6 - 5 3 - 0 +9.1 +3.6 +5.5
  Dec 21, 2024 349   @ South Carolina Upstate W 72-64 77%     7 - 5 -2.1 -16.0 +12.8
  Dec 29, 2024 337   Detroit Mercy W 73-64 87%     8 - 5 4 - 0 -5.3 -11.2 +5.1
  Jan 01, 2025 316   @ IU Indianapolis W 77-61 66%     9 - 5 5 - 0 +9.4 -0.1 +10.6
  Jan 04, 2025 163   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 81-90 32%     9 - 6 5 - 1 -6.5 -1.6 -3.7
  Jan 08, 2025 222   Northern Kentucky W 72-61 65%     10 - 6 6 - 1 +4.9 +0.4 +5.0
  Jan 11, 2025 168   Cleveland St. L 72-80 54%     10 - 7 6 - 2 -11.3 +0.4 -11.8
  Jan 17, 2025 142   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 64-79 28%     10 - 8 6 - 3 -11.2 -6.7 -4.5
  Jan 19, 2025 334   @ Green Bay W 73-69 73%     11 - 8 7 - 3 -4.5 -0.7 -3.6
  Jan 22, 2025 138   Robert Morris L 70-72 47%     11 - 9 7 - 4 -3.4 +1.3 -4.9
  Jan 30, 2025 229   Wright St. W 88-86 66%     12 - 9 8 - 4 -4.4 +0.7 -5.2
  Feb 01, 2025 316   IU Indianapolis L 79-84 82%     12 - 10 8 - 5 -17.1 -2.3 -15.0
  Feb 06, 2025 182   @ Oakland W 84-75 36%     13 - 10 9 - 5 +10.4 +5.4 +4.4
  Feb 08, 2025 337   @ Detroit Mercy W 87-72 74%     14 - 10 10 - 5 +6.2 +17.5 -10.4
  Feb 12, 2025 163   Purdue Fort Wayne W 93-71 53%     15 - 10 11 - 5 +19.0 +18.8 +0.5
  Feb 16, 2025 168   @ Cleveland St. W 68-60 33%     16 - 10 12 - 5 +10.2 +4.4 +6.5
  Feb 21, 2025 142   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-84 48%     16 - 11 12 - 6 -11.7 +1.0 -12.7
  Feb 23, 2025 334   Green Bay W 81-77 86%     17 - 11 13 - 6 -10.0 -3.7 -6.5
  Mar 01, 2025 222   @ Northern Kentucky L 79-88 44%     17 - 12 13 - 7 -9.6 +6.6 -16.3
  Mar 06, 2025 163   Purdue Fort Wayne W 72-67 53%     18 - 12 +2.0 -9.4 +11.0
  Mar 10, 2025 168   Cleveland St. W 56-54 44%     19 - 12 +1.4 -5.1 +6.8
  Mar 11, 2025 138   Robert Morris L 78-89 37%     19 - 13 -9.7 +8.8 -18.8
Projected Record 19 - 13 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%