Pre-tourney Rankings
USC
Big Ten
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#60
Expected Predictive Rating+8.2#71
Pace69.7#127
Improvement+1.5#126

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#35
First Shot+10.6#6
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#336
Layup/Dunks+5.7#23
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#26
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#243
Freethrows+3.3#27
Improvement+3.8#27

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#103
First Shot+0.9#145
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#73
Layups/Dunks-1.0#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#79
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#127
Freethrows-0.7#242
Improvement-2.3#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 73 - 13
Quad 24 - 27 - 15
Quad 33 - 210 - 17
Quad 46 - 016 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 116   Chattanooga W 77-51 81%     1 - 0 +26.2 +4.5 +23.2
  Nov 07, 2024 211   Idaho St. W 75-69 92%     2 - 0 +0.4 +2.2 -1.5
  Nov 13, 2024 223   Texas Arlington W 98-95 92%     3 - 0 -3.2 +8.2 -11.8
  Nov 17, 2024 108   California L 66-71 79%     3 - 1 -3.8 -3.6 -0.6
  Nov 20, 2024 151   San Jose St. W 82-68 86%     4 - 1 +11.8 +15.7 -2.5
  Nov 24, 2024 328   Grambling St. W 80-69 97%     5 - 1 -2.1 +6.9 -8.6
  Nov 28, 2024 28   St. Mary's L 36-71 31%     5 - 2 -20.2 -22.4 -2.5
  Nov 29, 2024 41   New Mexico L 73-83 39%     5 - 3 +2.5 +6.5 -3.7
  Dec 04, 2024 34   Oregon L 60-68 44%     5 - 4 0 - 1 +3.1 -5.5 +8.5
  Dec 07, 2024 107   @ Washington W 85-61 61%     6 - 4 1 - 1 +30.7 +16.5 +14.5
  Dec 15, 2024 186   Montana St. W 89-63 90%     7 - 4 +21.7 +7.8 +12.0
  Dec 18, 2024 115   Cal St. Northridge W 90-69 81%     8 - 4 +21.4 +15.1 +5.7
  Dec 22, 2024 240   Southern W 82-51 93%     9 - 4 +23.9 +4.6 +17.6
  Jan 04, 2025 24   Michigan L 74-85 38%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +1.7 +7.0 -5.0
  Jan 08, 2025 46   @ Indiana L 69-82 33%     9 - 6 1 - 3 +1.2 +3.1 -1.7
  Jan 11, 2025 20   @ Illinois W 82-72 19%     10 - 6 2 - 3 +29.1 +9.9 +18.4
  Jan 14, 2025 61   Iowa W 99-89 61%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +16.7 +20.7 -4.4
  Jan 18, 2025 14   Wisconsin L 69-84 30%     11 - 7 3 - 4 +0.1 +2.7 -2.7
  Jan 22, 2025 57   @ Nebraska W 78-73 38%     12 - 7 4 - 4 +17.8 +14.1 +3.9
  Jan 27, 2025 25   UCLA L 76-82 39%     12 - 8 4 - 5 +6.4 +15.6 -9.7
  Feb 01, 2025 7   Michigan St. W 70-64 24%     13 - 8 5 - 5 +22.9 +10.1 +13.0
  Feb 04, 2025 49   @ Northwestern L 75-77 34%     13 - 9 5 - 6 +11.9 +19.4 -7.8
  Feb 07, 2025 17   @ Purdue L 72-90 18%     13 - 10 5 - 7 +1.2 +1.8 +0.2
  Feb 11, 2025 58   Penn St. W 92-67 60%     14 - 10 6 - 7 +32.2 +23.9 +8.7
  Feb 15, 2025 85   Minnesota L 66-69 72%     14 - 11 6 - 8 +0.7 +1.9 -1.4
  Feb 20, 2025 12   @ Maryland L 71-88 13%     14 - 12 6 - 9 +4.7 +6.6 -1.0
  Feb 23, 2025 66   @ Rutgers L 85-95 44%     14 - 13 6 - 10 +1.0 +15.3 -14.2
  Feb 26, 2025 40   Ohio St. L 82-87 48%     14 - 14 6 - 11 +5.1 +16.4 -11.4
  Mar 01, 2025 34   @ Oregon L 61-82 25%     14 - 15 6 - 12 -4.4 -2.9 -1.6
  Mar 05, 2025 107   Washington W 92-61 79%     15 - 15 7 - 12 +32.2 +23.5 +10.0
  Mar 08, 2025 25   @ UCLA L 63-90 22%     15 - 16 7 - 13 -9.1 +0.0 -9.3
  Mar 12, 2025 66   Rutgers W 97-89 2OT 55%     16 - 16 +16.3 +9.3 +5.5
  Mar 13, 2025 17   Purdue L 71-76 26%     16 - 17 +11.5 +11.9 -1.1
Projected Record 16 - 17 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%