Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.8#23
Expected Predictive Rating+17.3#13
Pace71.3#88
Improvement+1.3#138

Offense
Total Offense+8.1#25
First Shot+7.1#31
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#124
Layup/Dunks+1.0#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#37
Freethrows+2.8#39
Improvement+0.0#190

Defense
Total Defense+7.7#22
First Shot+5.9#29
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#50
Layups/Dunks+1.1#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#168
Freethrows+4.2#2
Improvement+1.3#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 19.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 75.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round70.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen31.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight10.9% n/a n/a
Final Four3.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 24 - 6
Quad 211 - 115 - 7
Quad 37 - 022 - 7
Quad 45 - 027 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 331   Morehead St. W 93-45 99%     1 - 0 +34.6 +9.2 +22.5
  Nov 09, 2024 6   Tennessee L 55-77 42%     1 - 1 -4.1 -5.6 +0.6
  Nov 19, 2024 341   Bellarmine W 100-68 99%     2 - 1 +17.1 +10.8 +4.7
  Nov 22, 2024 161   Winthrop W 76-61 95%     3 - 1 +12.2 -7.6 +18.2
  Nov 27, 2024 46   Indiana W 89-61 67%     4 - 1 +39.4 +20.2 +18.4
  Nov 28, 2024 47   West Virginia W 79-70 OT 67%     5 - 1 +20.4 +12.6 +7.4
  Nov 29, 2024 37   Oklahoma L 64-69 60%     5 - 2 +8.3 +3.1 +4.6
  Dec 03, 2024 29   Mississippi L 63-86 65%     5 - 3 -11.1 -1.4 -10.7
  Dec 08, 2024 1   Duke L 65-76 25%     5 - 4 0 - 1 +11.9 +4.3 +7.1
  Dec 11, 2024 158   UTEP W 77-74 95%     6 - 4 +0.5 +4.4 -3.9
  Dec 14, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 85-93 36%     6 - 5 +11.6 +15.2 -3.3
  Dec 21, 2024 87   @ Florida St. W 90-76 74%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +23.2 +26.3 -2.7
  Dec 28, 2024 194   Eastern Kentucky W 78-76 96%     8 - 5 -2.7 +1.0 -3.7
  Jan 01, 2025 31   North Carolina W 83-70 67%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +24.4 +8.8 +14.7
  Jan 04, 2025 99   @ Virginia W 70-50 79%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +27.3 +11.8 +18.9
  Jan 07, 2025 21   Clemson W 74-64 59%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +23.4 +12.7 +11.4
  Jan 11, 2025 62   @ Pittsburgh W 82-78 64%     12 - 5 5 - 1 +16.2 +14.7 +1.5
  Jan 14, 2025 103   @ Syracuse W 85-61 80%     13 - 5 6 - 1 +30.9 +15.7 +15.5
  Jan 18, 2025 99   Virginia W 81-67 90%     14 - 5 7 - 1 +15.8 +8.1 +7.7
  Jan 21, 2025 45   @ SMU W 98-73 56%     15 - 5 8 - 1 +39.2 +35.1 +5.2
  Jan 28, 2025 63   Wake Forest W 72-59 81%     16 - 5 9 - 1 +19.3 +8.8 +11.2
  Feb 01, 2025 91   @ Georgia Tech L 70-77 76%     16 - 6 9 - 2 +1.5 +1.8 -0.2
  Feb 05, 2025 170   @ Boston College W 84-58 89%     17 - 6 10 - 2 +28.2 +10.4 +17.1
  Feb 08, 2025 174   Miami (FL) W 88-78 95%     18 - 6 11 - 2 +6.3 +7.6 -1.3
  Feb 12, 2025 109   @ North Carolina St. W 91-66 81%     19 - 6 12 - 2 +31.6 +24.1 +8.0
  Feb 16, 2025 95   @ Notre Dame W 75-60 77%     20 - 6 13 - 2 +23.0 +11.6 +12.5
  Feb 22, 2025 87   Florida St. W 89-81 87%     21 - 6 14 - 2 +11.7 +16.4 -5.0
  Feb 25, 2025 136   @ Virginia Tech W 71-66 86%     22 - 6 15 - 2 +9.2 -2.0 +11.0
  Mar 01, 2025 62   Pittsburgh W 79-68 81%     23 - 6 16 - 2 +17.7 +8.8 +9.0
  Mar 05, 2025 108   California W 85-68 91%     24 - 6 17 - 2 +18.2 +9.7 +8.2
  Mar 08, 2025 79   Stanford W 68-48 86%     25 - 6 18 - 2 +24.3 +5.3 +21.4
  Mar 13, 2025 79   Stanford W 75-73 80%     26 - 6 +9.1 +11.8 -2.5
  Mar 14, 2025 21   Clemson W 76-73 49%     27 - 6 +19.2 +8.4 +10.6
  Mar 15, 2025 1   Duke L 62-73 18%     27 - 7 +14.6 +6.4 +7.1
Projected Record 27 - 7 18 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0%
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.6 0.1 4.1 15.3 28.4 27.8 21.3 2.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.6 0.1 4.1 15.3 28.4 27.8 21.3 2.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%