Pre-tourney Rankings
SMU
Atlantic Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.5#45
Expected Predictive Rating+10.6#54
Pace71.2#92
Improvement-1.8#264

Offense
Total Offense+7.0#39
First Shot+4.8#62
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#57
Layup/Dunks+4.1#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#174
Freethrows+3.1#30
Improvement-2.8#310

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#65
First Shot+3.7#69
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#116
Layups/Dunks+4.9#40
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#223
Freethrows-0.6#230
Improvement+0.9#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four13.5% n/a n/a
First Round6.8% n/a n/a
Second Round2.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 26 - 56 - 10
Quad 312 - 018 - 10
Quad 45 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 273   Tarleton St. W 96-62 96%     1 - 0 +25.0 +19.4 +3.8
  Nov 07, 2024 325   Florida A&M W 102-73 98%     2 - 0 +16.3 +10.9 +2.4
  Nov 11, 2024 159   UNC Greensboro W 81-68 90%     3 - 0 +10.5 +3.5 +6.4
  Nov 15, 2024 73   @ Butler L 70-81 54%     3 - 1 -0.5 +0.0 -0.6
  Nov 18, 2024 360   Prairie View W 110-69 99%     4 - 1 +22.0 +13.3 +3.2
  Nov 22, 2024 32   Mississippi St. L 79-84 51%     4 - 2 +6.3 +9.9 -3.6
  Nov 26, 2024 164   California Baptist W 79-77 86%     5 - 2 +1.7 +14.3 -12.4
  Nov 27, 2024 119   Washington St. W 77-60 80%     6 - 2 +19.6 +11.8 +9.6
  Dec 03, 2024 284   Alabama St. W 101-72 97%     7 - 2 +19.2 +20.4 -2.4
  Dec 07, 2024 99   Virginia W 63-51 82%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +13.8 -3.1 +18.2
  Dec 14, 2024 86   LSU W 74-64 69%     9 - 2 +16.4 +3.1 +12.9
  Dec 21, 2024 170   @ Boston College W 103-77 81%     10 - 2 2 - 0 +28.2 +29.2 -1.6
  Dec 29, 2024 226   Longwood W 98-82 94%     11 - 2 +9.8 +12.6 -4.2
  Jan 04, 2025 1   Duke L 62-89 14%     11 - 3 2 - 1 -4.1 +3.3 -9.4
  Jan 07, 2025 31   @ North Carolina L 67-82 30%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +1.9 -3.3 +6.2
  Jan 11, 2025 91   Georgia Tech W 93-71 79%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +25.0 +17.0 +6.4
  Jan 15, 2025 99   @ Virginia W 54-52 66%     13 - 4 4 - 2 +9.3 -8.5 +18.1
  Jan 18, 2025 174   @ Miami (FL) W 117-74 82%     14 - 4 5 - 2 +44.8 +40.6 +4.4
  Jan 21, 2025 23   Louisville L 73-98 44%     14 - 5 5 - 3 -11.9 +9.6 -22.6
  Jan 25, 2025 109   @ North Carolina St. W 63-57 68%     15 - 5 6 - 3 +12.6 -0.9 +14.0
  Jan 29, 2025 108   California W 76-65 83%     16 - 5 7 - 3 +12.2 +0.7 +11.2
  Feb 01, 2025 79   Stanford W 85-61 75%     17 - 5 8 - 3 +28.3 +15.2 +13.4
  Feb 05, 2025 136   @ Virginia Tech W 81-75 76%     18 - 5 9 - 3 +10.2 +19.8 -8.9
  Feb 11, 2025 62   Pittsburgh W 83-63 68%     19 - 5 10 - 3 +26.7 +15.2 +12.2
  Feb 15, 2025 63   Wake Forest L 66-77 69%     19 - 6 10 - 4 -4.7 +4.1 -9.7
  Feb 19, 2025 95   @ Notre Dame W 97-73 63%     20 - 6 11 - 4 +32.0 +25.2 +6.2
  Feb 22, 2025 21   Clemson L 69-79 43%     20 - 7 11 - 5 +3.4 +12.1 -10.0
  Feb 26, 2025 108   @ California W 81-77 68%     21 - 7 12 - 5 +10.7 +6.4 +4.1
  Mar 01, 2025 79   @ Stanford L 68-73 56%     21 - 8 12 - 6 +4.8 +9.0 -4.9
  Mar 04, 2025 103   Syracuse W 77-75 83%     22 - 8 13 - 6 +3.4 +8.8 -5.2
  Mar 08, 2025 87   @ Florida St. L 69-76 59%     22 - 9 13 - 7 +2.2 +1.6 +0.6
  Mar 12, 2025 103   Syracuse W 73-53 76%     23 - 9 +24.2 +7.0 +18.7
  Mar 13, 2025 21   Clemson L 54-57 33%     23 - 10 +13.2 -6.4 +19.4
Projected Record 23 - 10 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 13.8% 13.8% 11.6 0.0 0.1 5.3 8.4 86.2 13.8%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 13.8% 0.0% 13.8% 11.6 0.0 0.1 5.3 8.4 86.2 13.8%