Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado St.
Mountain West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.9#44
Expected Predictive Rating+11.7#50
Pace65.4#251
Improvement+9.8#2

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#43
First Shot+7.2#28
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#221
Layup/Dunks+5.8#21
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#120
Freethrows-0.5#207
Improvement+7.3#4

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#52
First Shot+2.4#102
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#11
Layups/Dunks+0.8#143
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#230
Freethrows+0.6#138
Improvement+2.5#65
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round35.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b3 - 43 - 5
Quad 27 - 210 - 7
Quad 34 - 214 - 9
Quad 411 - 025 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 263   North Dakota W 82-56 96%     1 - 0 +17.7 -3.5 +19.6
  Nov 08, 2024 261   Tennessee St. W 87-79 OT 96%     2 - 0 -0.1 -1.8 +0.5
  Nov 12, 2024 298   Denver W 74-65 97%     3 - 0 -1.6 -1.5 +0.0
  Nov 16, 2024 29   Mississippi L 69-84 39%     3 - 1 -0.3 +11.3 -13.4
  Nov 22, 2024 150   UC Riverside L 75-77 OT 90%     3 - 2 -4.2 -7.7 +3.7
  Nov 28, 2024 107   Washington L 67-73 78%     3 - 3 -2.1 -3.6 +1.5
  Nov 29, 2024 74   TCU W 76-72 OT 66%     4 - 3 +11.6 +1.3 +9.8
  Dec 04, 2024 157   Loyola Marymount W 83-54 90%     5 - 3 +26.5 +12.4 +14.6
  Dec 07, 2024 76   @ Colorado L 55-72 56%     5 - 4 -6.8 -11.4 +4.8
  Dec 14, 2024 36   Virginia Commonwealth L 68-76 43%     5 - 5 +5.6 +6.2 -1.1
  Dec 17, 2024 167   Radford W 78-68 91%     6 - 5 +6.7 +10.5 -2.6
  Dec 21, 2024 83   @ Nevada W 66-64 59%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +11.4 +4.0 +7.6
  Dec 28, 2024 41   New Mexico L 68-76 58%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +1.7 +3.6 -2.0
  Dec 31, 2024 151   @ San Jose St. W 72-50 79%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +25.3 -0.5 +25.5
  Jan 07, 2025 259   Fresno St. W 91-64 96%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +19.0 +12.5 +5.6
  Jan 11, 2025 94   UNLV W 84-62 81%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +24.5 +21.7 +4.6
  Jan 14, 2025 55   @ San Diego St. L 60-75 45%     10 - 7 4 - 2 -1.8 -0.4 -2.0
  Jan 18, 2025 175   @ Wyoming W 79-63 83%     11 - 7 5 - 2 +17.8 +16.2 +3.1
  Jan 22, 2025 50   Boise St. W 75-72 63%     12 - 7 6 - 2 +11.3 +14.4 -2.7
  Jan 25, 2025 259   @ Fresno St. W 69-64 90%     13 - 7 7 - 2 +2.5 +4.9 -1.8
  Jan 28, 2025 296   Air Force W 79-58 97%     14 - 7 8 - 2 +10.5 +8.0 +4.1
  Feb 05, 2025 41   @ New Mexico L 65-87 37%     14 - 8 8 - 3 -6.8 +5.9 -14.1
  Feb 08, 2025 55   San Diego St. W 68-63 66%     15 - 8 9 - 3 +12.7 +13.4 +0.1
  Feb 11, 2025 53   @ Utah St. L 85-93 44%     15 - 9 9 - 4 +5.4 +16.7 -11.5
  Feb 15, 2025 175   Wyoming W 88-53 92%     16 - 9 10 - 4 +31.3 +24.7 +10.5
  Feb 18, 2025 83   Nevada W 79-71 78%     17 - 9 11 - 4 +11.9 +13.3 -0.8
  Feb 22, 2025 94   @ UNLV W 61-53 65%     18 - 9 12 - 4 +16.0 +0.4 +16.3
  Feb 25, 2025 296   @ Air Force W 77-55 93%     19 - 9 13 - 4 +17.0 +6.5 +11.6
  Mar 01, 2025 53   Utah St. W 93-66 65%     20 - 9 14 - 4 +34.9 +29.6 +8.2
  Mar 04, 2025 151   San Jose St. W 83-56 90%     21 - 9 15 - 4 +24.8 +12.0 +13.9
  Mar 07, 2025 50   @ Boise St. W 83-73 42%     22 - 9 16 - 4 +23.8 +24.6 +0.2
  Mar 13, 2025 83   Nevada W 67-59 69%     23 - 9 +14.7 +4.9 +10.7
  Mar 14, 2025 53   Utah St. W 83-72 55%     24 - 9 +21.7 +14.7 +7.5
  Mar 15, 2025 50   Boise St. W 69-56 53%     25 - 9 +24.1 +12.0 +14.1
Projected Record 25 - 9 16 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 10.5 0.9 10.0 34.4 49.4 5.3
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.5 0.9 10.0 34.4 49.4 5.3