Pre-tourney Rankings
Incarnate Word
Southland
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#262
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#269
Pace61.9#333
Improvement+1.9#111

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#208
First Shot-0.2#176
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#246
Layup/Dunks-3.9#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#20
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#98
Freethrows-2.7#325
Improvement-3.2#317

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#304
First Shot-4.9#320
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#130
Layups/Dunks-1.2#224
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#5
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#308
Freethrows-3.4#354
Improvement+5.1#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 413 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 164   @ California Baptist L 78-83 22%     0 - 1 -2.6 +11.1 -13.9
  Nov 12, 2024 360   Prairie View W 84-81 89%     1 - 1 -16.0 +0.4 -16.4
  Nov 16, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 92-64 92%     2 - 1 +6.6 +11.9 -4.1
  Nov 22, 2024 243   @ Northern Arizona L 74-75 36%     2 - 2 -2.7 +5.3 -8.0
  Nov 25, 2024 132   @ South Alabama L 63-84 17%     2 - 3 -16.4 -1.9 -16.1
  Nov 27, 2024 342   Western Illinois W 86-75 74%     3 - 3 -1.1 +11.3 -11.8
  Dec 05, 2024 245   Northwestern St. L 70-72 57%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -9.3 +3.6 -13.1
  Dec 07, 2024 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 65-53 79%     4 - 4 1 - 1 -2.0 -6.7 +5.8
  Dec 10, 2024 1   @ Duke L 46-72 1%     4 - 5 +2.4 -8.4 +7.4
  Jan 04, 2025 280   @ Stephen F. Austin W 55-49 45%     5 - 5 2 - 1 +1.8 -6.8 +9.6
  Jan 06, 2025 173   @ Lamar L 58-72 24%     5 - 6 2 - 2 -12.2 -5.2 -8.2
  Jan 11, 2025 283   @ Houston Christian L 76-81 45%     5 - 7 2 - 3 -9.3 +12.2 -22.1
  Jan 13, 2025 179   Nicholls St. L 82-88 43%     5 - 8 2 - 4 -9.8 +8.7 -18.6
  Jan 18, 2025 176   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-69 43%     5 - 9 2 - 5 -9.7 -13.3 +3.8
  Jan 20, 2025 266   UT Rio Grande Valley L 78-85 62%     5 - 10 2 - 6 -15.5 +4.3 -20.2
  Jan 25, 2025 214   @ SE Louisiana L 63-86 30%     5 - 11 2 - 7 -23.2 -9.6 -13.6
  Jan 27, 2025 353   @ New Orleans W 74-58 70%     6 - 11 3 - 7 +5.1 -5.8 +10.9
  Feb 01, 2025 283   Houston Christian W 74-64 66%     7 - 11 4 - 7 +0.2 +9.0 -7.2
  Feb 03, 2025 65   @ McNeese St. L 65-67 7%     7 - 12 4 - 8 +9.1 +9.8 -1.1
  Feb 08, 2025 214   SE Louisiana L 66-71 51%     7 - 13 4 - 9 -10.7 -6.1 -4.9
  Feb 10, 2025 353   New Orleans W 75-65 85%     8 - 13 5 - 9 -6.4 +2.0 -7.1
  Feb 15, 2025 176   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 55-69 24%     8 - 14 5 - 10 -12.2 -6.0 -8.8
  Feb 17, 2025 266   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 66-60 41%     9 - 14 6 - 10 +3.0 -4.4 +7.8
  Feb 22, 2025 280   Stephen F. Austin W 63-61 66%     10 - 14 7 - 10 -7.7 -3.1 -4.4
  Feb 24, 2025 173   Lamar W 73-61 43%     11 - 14 8 - 10 +8.3 +11.5 -1.6
  Mar 01, 2025 335   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-68 62%     12 - 14 9 - 10 -1.5 +9.9 -10.5
  Mar 03, 2025 245   @ Northwestern St. L 57-73 36%     12 - 15 9 - 11 -17.8 -8.2 -11.8
  Mar 09, 2025 214   SE Louisiana W 71-67 OT 40%     13 - 15 +1.1 -0.7 +1.9
  Mar 10, 2025 179   Nicholls St. L 70-74 OT 33%     13 - 16 -5.1 -6.4 +1.5
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%