Pre-tourney Rankings
Nevada
Mountain West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#83
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#105
Pace61.7#336
Improvement-6.3#355

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#83
First Shot+4.5#66
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#242
Layup/Dunks-0.2#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#35
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#161
Freethrows+1.0#114
Improvement-3.5#325

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#93
First Shot+1.4#128
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#63
Layups/Dunks+3.4#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#241
Freethrows-0.6#227
Improvement-2.8#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 61 - 7
Quad 22 - 63 - 13
Quad 34 - 37 - 16
Quad 410 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 178   Sam Houston St. W 91-75 84%     1 - 0 +12.2 +15.4 -2.9
  Nov 09, 2024 107   Washington W 63-53 70%     2 - 0 +11.2 -5.2 +17.0
  Nov 13, 2024 285   Weber St. W 88-58 93%     3 - 0 +20.1 +18.0 +4.8
  Nov 16, 2024 56   Santa Clara W 85-59 47%     4 - 0 +33.5 +20.8 +14.5
  Nov 21, 2024 52   Vanderbilt L 71-73 34%     4 - 1 +9.0 +3.5 +5.4
  Nov 22, 2024 36   Virginia Commonwealth W 64-61 25%     5 - 1 +16.6 +8.2 +8.9
  Nov 24, 2024 93   Oklahoma St. W 90-78 54%     6 - 1 +17.6 +22.9 -5.1
  Dec 02, 2024 119   Washington St. L 57-68 74%     6 - 2 -11.1 -16.5 +5.1
  Dec 07, 2024 157   @ Loyola Marymount L 64-68 64%     6 - 3 -1.0 +2.9 -4.4
  Dec 11, 2024 135   South Dakota St. W 77-63 77%     7 - 3 +12.9 +15.6 -0.3
  Dec 14, 2024 282   Texas Southern W 105-73 93%     8 - 3 +22.2 +28.0 -6.8
  Dec 21, 2024 44   Colorado St. L 64-66 41%     8 - 4 0 - 1 +7.1 +1.2 +5.7
  Dec 28, 2024 175   @ Wyoming L 63-66 68%     8 - 5 0 - 2 -1.2 -0.5 -1.1
  Dec 31, 2024 53   Utah St. L 64-69 45%     8 - 6 0 - 3 +2.9 -3.1 +5.5
  Jan 03, 2025 41   @ New Mexico L 81-82 OT 21%     8 - 7 0 - 4 +14.2 +10.5 +3.9
  Jan 11, 2025 259   @ Fresno St. W 77-66 OT 81%     9 - 7 1 - 4 +8.5 -0.4 +8.2
  Jan 14, 2025 296   Air Force W 68-62 94%     10 - 7 2 - 4 -4.5 -1.9 -1.9
  Jan 18, 2025 151   San Jose St. W 75-64 80%     11 - 7 3 - 4 +8.8 +13.5 -2.8
  Jan 22, 2025 53   @ Utah St. L 69-90 26%     11 - 8 3 - 5 -7.6 +3.8 -13.1
  Jan 25, 2025 55   San Diego St. L 50-69 46%     11 - 9 3 - 6 -11.3 -2.7 -13.5
  Jan 29, 2025 50   @ Boise St. L 56-66 25%     11 - 10 3 - 7 +3.8 -4.8 +7.6
  Feb 01, 2025 94   UNLV W 71-65 66%     12 - 10 4 - 7 +8.5 +3.8 +4.9
  Feb 04, 2025 296   @ Air Force W 74-60 86%     13 - 10 5 - 7 +9.0 +9.8 +1.1
  Feb 10, 2025 259   Fresno St. W 94-69 91%     14 - 10 6 - 7 +17.0 +18.3 -1.3
  Feb 14, 2025 151   @ San Jose St. W 73-58 63%     15 - 10 7 - 7 +18.3 +11.7 +8.7
  Feb 18, 2025 44   @ Colorado St. L 71-79 22%     15 - 11 7 - 8 +6.6 +9.6 -3.6
  Feb 22, 2025 50   Boise St. L 69-70 44%     15 - 12 7 - 9 +7.3 +5.6 +1.6
  Feb 25, 2025 175   Wyoming W 84-61 84%     16 - 12 8 - 9 +19.3 +17.1 +3.9
  Feb 28, 2025 94   @ UNLV L 55-68 45%     16 - 13 8 - 10 -5.0 -2.1 -5.1
  Mar 04, 2025 41   New Mexico L 67-71 38%     16 - 14 8 - 11 +5.7 +0.2 +5.6
  Mar 08, 2025 55   @ San Diego St. L 61-80 27%     16 - 15 8 - 12 -5.8 +2.1 -9.1
  Mar 12, 2025 259   Fresno St. W 86-71 87%     17 - 15 +9.7 +14.5 -4.3
  Mar 13, 2025 44   Colorado St. L 59-67 31%     17 - 16 +3.9 -1.9 +4.9
Projected Record 17 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%