Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota
Summit League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#235
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#184
Pace83.4#3
Improvement+1.2#142

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#135
First Shot-0.8#196
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#50
Layup/Dunks+1.1#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#332
Freethrows+3.7#21
Improvement-3.9#335

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#326
First Shot-2.7#267
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#344
Layups/Dunks-1.8#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#272
Freethrows-0.2#197
Improvement+5.1#9
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M - Commerce (Home) - 83.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 413 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 240   Southern W 93-79 62%     1 - 0 +6.9 +9.7 -4.4
  Nov 06, 2024 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 86-76 83%    
  Nov 12, 2024 61   @ Iowa L 77-96 7%     1 - 1 -6.8 +2.1 -8.1
  Nov 20, 2024 293   @ Western Michigan W 80-76 53%     2 - 1 -0.9 +2.0 -3.1
  Nov 22, 2024 338   @ Southern Indiana L 83-92 68%     2 - 2 -17.8 +1.0 -18.3
  Nov 27, 2024 57   @ Nebraska L 79-96 7%     2 - 3 -4.2 +7.0 -9.8
  Dec 04, 2024 211   Idaho St. W 94-80 56%     3 - 3 +8.4 +21.6 -12.6
  Dec 07, 2024 243   @ Northern Arizona L 82-95 41%     3 - 4 -14.7 +1.7 -15.4
  Dec 10, 2024 175   Wyoming W 82-81 49%     4 - 4 -2.7 +2.5 -5.3
  Dec 14, 2024 342   Western Illinois W 89-66 84%     5 - 4 +8.1 +10.7 -1.9
  Dec 19, 2024 291   @ Utah Tech L 87-92 53%     5 - 5 -9.9 +7.8 -17.5
  Dec 21, 2024 56   @ Santa Clara L 81-98 7%     5 - 6 -4.0 +5.9 -8.3
  Jan 02, 2025 233   @ UMKC L 54-68 39%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -15.1 -12.0 -4.4
  Jan 04, 2025 298   Denver W 91-84 74%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -3.6 +8.9 -12.9
  Jan 11, 2025 131   @ St. Thomas L 104-119 20%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -10.3 +20.9 -29.8
  Jan 16, 2025 319   Oral Roberts W 92-82 78%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -2.3 +1.3 -4.6
  Jan 18, 2025 141   North Dakota St. L 77-103 41%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -27.6 -4.0 -22.8
  Jan 23, 2025 263   @ North Dakota W 102-93 45%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +6.2 +11.1 -6.1
  Jan 25, 2025 135   @ South Dakota St. L 71-90 21%     8 - 10 3 - 4 -14.6 -4.9 -8.6
  Jan 29, 2025 146   Nebraska Omaha W 91-87 42%     9 - 10 4 - 4 +2.1 +8.1 -6.3
  Feb 06, 2025 298   @ Denver W 86-79 54%     10 - 10 5 - 4 +1.9 +4.5 -3.2
  Feb 08, 2025 319   @ Oral Roberts W 75-74 61%     11 - 10 6 - 4 -5.8 -10.1 +4.2
  Feb 13, 2025 233   UMKC W 79-72 60%     12 - 10 7 - 4 +0.4 -0.7 +0.6
  Feb 16, 2025 135   South Dakota St. L 91-94 39%     12 - 11 7 - 5 -4.1 +9.0 -12.8
  Feb 19, 2025 131   St. Thomas W 85-80 38%     13 - 11 8 - 5 +4.2 +10.7 -6.3
  Feb 22, 2025 146   @ Nebraska Omaha L 85-93 23%     13 - 12 8 - 6 -4.4 +3.4 -7.0
  Feb 26, 2025 141   @ North Dakota St. L 78-82 22%     13 - 13 8 - 7 -0.1 -1.8 +1.9
  Mar 01, 2025 263   North Dakota W 92-79 66%     14 - 13 9 - 7 +4.7 -0.5 +3.5
  Mar 07, 2025 141   North Dakota St. W 85-84 31%     15 - 13 +2.1 +2.5 -0.4
  Mar 08, 2025 146   Nebraska Omaha L 75-100 32%     15 - 14 -24.1 -8.5 -12.9
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 83.3%
Lose Out 16.7%