Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#236
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#191
Pace67.5#196
Improvement-1.4#253

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#326
First Shot-3.2#269
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#334
Layup/Dunks-5.0#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#312
Freethrows+3.1#32
Improvement+2.1#91

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#110
First Shot+2.9#83
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#260
Layups/Dunks+1.0#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#157
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#65
Freethrows-1.4#276
Improvement-3.5#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 8
Quad 34 - 55 - 13
Quad 48 - 413 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 107   @ Washington L 73-79 15%     0 - 1 +0.7 -7.9 +9.5
  Nov 07, 2024 267   @ Idaho W 79-75 46%     1 - 1 +0.7 -1.7 +2.2
  Nov 17, 2024 79   @ Stanford L 65-79 10%     1 - 2 -4.2 -5.3 +1.6
  Nov 20, 2024 88   @ Grand Canyon W 75-68 11%     2 - 2 +15.8 +3.6 +11.8
  Nov 25, 2024 191   Norfolk St. L 55-76 51%     2 - 3 -25.5 -20.5 -5.2
  Nov 30, 2024 89   @ Oregon St. L 57-90 12%     2 - 4 -24.4 -11.5 -15.2
  Dec 05, 2024 177   Cal Poly W 77-66 48%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +7.2 -10.8 +16.5
  Dec 07, 2024 148   UC Santa Barbara W 71-60 41%     4 - 4 2 - 0 +8.9 +0.4 +9.2
  Dec 14, 2024 336   @ Sacramento St. W 69-62 67%     5 - 4 -1.7 -3.9 +2.4
  Dec 18, 2024 267   Idaho W 74-66 67%     6 - 4 -0.8 -7.3 +6.4
  Dec 21, 2024 216   @ Pepperdine L 46-85 35%     6 - 5 -39.2 -28.3 -10.9
  Jan 02, 2025 242   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 64-75 40%     6 - 6 2 - 1 -12.7 -7.0 -6.4
  Jan 04, 2025 115   @ Cal St. Northridge L 61-73 17%     6 - 7 2 - 2 -6.1 -12.4 +7.1
  Jan 09, 2025 351   Cal St. Fullerton W 63-53 86%     7 - 7 3 - 2 -6.0 -15.7 +9.6
  Jan 11, 2025 289   Long Beach St. L 73-84 72%     7 - 8 3 - 3 -21.3 -1.8 -20.1
  Jan 16, 2025 177   @ Cal Poly W 65-54 28%     8 - 8 4 - 3 +12.7 -0.1 +14.3
  Jan 18, 2025 148   @ UC Santa Barbara W 64-60 23%     9 - 8 5 - 3 +7.4 +3.5 +4.7
  Jan 23, 2025 219   Hawaii W 68-66 56%     10 - 8 6 - 3 -3.9 +1.0 -4.7
  Jan 30, 2025 150   @ UC Riverside L 58-60 23%     10 - 9 6 - 4 +1.3 -4.4 +5.4
  Feb 01, 2025 72   @ UC Irvine L 66-73 9%     10 - 10 6 - 5 +3.6 +1.7 +1.9
  Feb 06, 2025 289   @ Long Beach St. W 73-65 OT 52%     11 - 10 7 - 5 +3.2 -6.3 +9.1
  Feb 08, 2025 351   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 65-49 72%     12 - 10 8 - 5 +5.5 -8.1 +14.2
  Feb 13, 2025 150   UC Riverside W 75-74 42%     13 - 10 9 - 5 -1.2 +1.5 -2.6
  Feb 15, 2025 42   @ UC San Diego L 60-85 5%     13 - 11 9 - 6 -10.1 -0.5 -11.2
  Feb 20, 2025 242   Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-71 61%     13 - 12 9 - 7 -12.2 -8.0 -4.5
  Feb 22, 2025 115   Cal St. Northridge L 62-65 33%     13 - 13 9 - 8 -2.6 -3.3 +0.4
  Mar 01, 2025 219   @ Hawaii L 70-78 35%     13 - 14 9 - 9 -8.4 -2.5 -5.9
  Mar 06, 2025 72   UC Irvine L 59-88 19%     13 - 15 9 - 10 -23.9 -5.7 -19.3
  Mar 08, 2025 42   UC San Diego L 57-68 11%     13 - 16 9 - 11 -1.6 -2.4 -0.6
  Mar 12, 2025 177   Cal Poly L 76-86 38%     13 - 17 -11.0 -1.3 -9.5
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%