Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#148
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#151
Pace64.4#282
Improvement-2.2#276

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#137
First Shot+2.5#104
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#256
Layup/Dunks-2.3#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#39
Freethrows-1.5#276
Improvement-1.4#249

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#192
First Shot+2.1#110
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#345
Layups/Dunks+1.6#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#107
Freethrows+1.5#82
Improvement-0.9#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 35 - 55 - 11
Quad 414 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 272   @ Portland W 94-53 66%     1 - 0 +37.5 +14.0 +22.3
  Nov 13, 2024 259   Fresno St. W 91-86 80%     2 - 0 -3.0 +2.5 -6.3
  Nov 17, 2024 151   @ San Jose St. W 64-59 40%     3 - 0 +8.3 +6.3 +3.0
  Nov 20, 2024 158   UTEP L 76-79 62%     3 - 1 -5.5 +5.9 -11.5
  Nov 26, 2024 290   Eastern Washington W 67-51 85%     4 - 1 +5.7 -3.5 +11.0
  Nov 29, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 81-48 99%     5 - 1 +1.7 +11.2 -2.8
  Dec 05, 2024 42   UC San Diego L 76-84 20%     5 - 2 0 - 1 +1.4 +11.3 -10.1
  Dec 07, 2024 236   @ UC Davis L 60-71 59%     5 - 3 0 - 2 -12.5 -5.8 -7.4
  Dec 14, 2024 334   Green Bay W 83-66 91%     6 - 3 +3.0 -2.2 +4.3
  Dec 18, 2024 157   @ Loyola Marymount L 58-60 41%     6 - 4 +1.0 -8.3 +9.2
  Dec 22, 2024 230   @ Missouri St. L 56-68 56%     6 - 5 -13.0 -2.7 -13.0
  Jan 02, 2025 219   @ Hawaii W 64-61 54%     7 - 5 1 - 2 +2.6 +2.3 +0.7
  Jan 09, 2025 242   Cal St. Bakersfield W 78-66 77%     8 - 5 2 - 2 +4.8 +4.3 +1.2
  Jan 11, 2025 177   @ Cal Poly W 75-72 46%     9 - 5 3 - 2 +4.7 +6.7 -1.8
  Jan 16, 2025 150   UC Riverside W 66-63 61%     10 - 5 4 - 2 +0.8 -3.1 +4.2
  Jan 18, 2025 236   UC Davis L 60-64 77%     10 - 6 4 - 3 -11.0 -1.3 -10.5
  Jan 23, 2025 42   @ UC San Diego L 63-77 10%     10 - 7 4 - 4 +0.9 +0.4 +0.1
  Jan 25, 2025 351   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 83-75 85%     11 - 7 5 - 4 -2.5 +10.0 -12.2
  Jan 30, 2025 115   Cal St. Northridge L 71-78 51%     11 - 8 5 - 5 -6.6 +1.4 -8.3
  Feb 01, 2025 289   Long Beach St. W 85-54 85%     12 - 8 6 - 5 +20.7 +10.2 +11.9
  Feb 06, 2025 242   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 81-75 59%     13 - 8 7 - 5 +4.3 +16.6 -11.4
  Feb 08, 2025 219   Hawaii W 76-72 74%     14 - 8 8 - 5 -1.9 -0.5 -1.5
  Feb 13, 2025 72   @ UC Irvine L 60-62 17%     14 - 9 8 - 6 +8.6 -1.0 +9.5
  Feb 15, 2025 150   @ UC Riverside L 69-81 40%     14 - 10 8 - 7 -8.7 +2.8 -12.6
  Feb 20, 2025 351   Cal St. Fullerton W 86-56 93%     15 - 10 9 - 7 +14.0 +15.5 +1.1
  Feb 22, 2025 289   @ Long Beach St. W 58-56 70%     16 - 10 10 - 7 -2.8 -10.9 +8.4
  Feb 27, 2025 177   Cal Poly W 96-77 67%     17 - 10 11 - 7 +15.2 +9.5 +3.8
  Mar 01, 2025 115   @ Cal St. Northridge L 77-103 31%     17 - 11 11 - 8 -20.1 +4.5 -23.6
  Mar 08, 2025 72   UC Irvine L 88-97 33%     17 - 12 11 - 9 -3.9 +16.3 -19.7
  Mar 12, 2025 242   Cal St. Bakersfield W 71-66 69%     18 - 12 +0.6 -1.2 +2.1
  Mar 13, 2025 115   Cal St. Northridge W 78-72 40%     19 - 12 +9.2 +2.1 +6.7
  Mar 14, 2025 42   UC San Diego L 51-69 14%     19 - 13 -5.8 -5.3 -3.9
Projected Record 19 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%