Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#51
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#64
Pace60.0#354
Improvement+0.2#186

Offense
Total Offense+7.9#29
First Shot+8.2#21
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#211
Layup/Dunks-1.7#240
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#71
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#8
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement-4.0#336

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#92
First Shot+2.1#113
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#97
Layups/Dunks+4.1#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#331
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#253
Freethrows+1.7#72
Improvement+4.2#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.3% n/a n/a
First Round5.0% n/a n/a
Second Round1.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 7
Quad 25 - 47 - 11
Quad 35 - 212 - 13
Quad 47 - 119 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 286   Lafayette W 75-63 96%     1 - 0 +1.9 +1.1 +1.1
  Nov 06, 2024 294   Columbia L 80-90 97%     1 - 1 -20.5 +2.5 -23.3
  Nov 08, 2024 352   NJIT W 91-54 99%     2 - 1 +20.7 +26.9 -0.3
  Nov 12, 2024 80   @ Saint Joseph's L 76-83 55%     2 - 2 +2.7 +3.2 +0.0
  Nov 15, 2024 99   Virginia L 60-70 73%     2 - 3 -5.5 -4.6 -2.1
  Nov 19, 2024 281   Penn W 93-49 96%     3 - 3 +34.3 +20.6 +17.2
  Nov 24, 2024 12   Maryland L 75-76 22%     3 - 4 +18.0 +22.4 -4.6
  Nov 27, 2024 304   Rider W 72-48 97%     4 - 4 +12.9 +5.3 +11.9
  Dec 03, 2024 48   Cincinnati W 68-60 60%     5 - 4 +16.4 +15.5 +2.5
  Dec 07, 2024 162   Temple W 94-65 85%     6 - 4 +28.8 +28.6 +3.3
  Dec 11, 2024 314   Fairleigh Dickinson W 86-72 97%     7 - 4 +2.1 +17.5 -14.1
  Dec 17, 2024 169   Seton Hall W 79-67 90%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +8.7 +14.5 -5.0
  Dec 21, 2024 35   @ Creighton L 79-86 30%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +9.4 +24.0 -15.5
  Jan 01, 2025 73   @ Butler W 73-65 52%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +18.5 +11.5 +8.0
  Jan 04, 2025 110   DePaul W 100-56 83%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +45.0 +34.3 +13.9
  Jan 08, 2025 30   Connecticut W 68-66 47%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +13.8 +10.8 +3.3
  Jan 11, 2025 9   @ St. John's L 68-80 16%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +9.8 +15.3 -6.4
  Jan 14, 2025 39   @ Xavier L 63-69 33%     11 - 7 4 - 3 +9.7 +3.2 +5.9
  Jan 17, 2025 92   Providence W 75-73 78%     12 - 7 5 - 3 +4.9 +5.9 -0.9
  Jan 20, 2025 84   Georgetown L 63-64 75%     12 - 8 5 - 4 +2.9 +2.1 +0.7
  Jan 24, 2025 27   @ Marquette L 74-87 26%     12 - 9 5 - 5 +4.7 +10.1 -5.4
  Feb 01, 2025 35   Creighton L 60-62 50%     12 - 10 5 - 6 +8.9 -5.9 +14.7
  Feb 05, 2025 110   @ DePaul W 59-49 67%     13 - 10 6 - 6 +16.5 -1.9 +20.0
  Feb 09, 2025 39   Xavier W 80-68 53%     14 - 10 7 - 6 +22.2 +19.3 +3.9
  Feb 12, 2025 9   St. John's W 73-71 30%     15 - 10 8 - 6 +18.3 +22.8 -4.2
  Feb 15, 2025 92   @ Providence L 62-75 60%     15 - 11 8 - 7 -4.6 -1.8 -4.0
  Feb 18, 2025 30   @ Connecticut L 59-66 27%     15 - 12 8 - 8 +10.3 +1.0 +8.1
  Feb 21, 2025 27   Marquette W 81-66 45%     16 - 12 9 - 8 +27.2 +28.3 +1.5
  Feb 26, 2025 169   @ Seton Hall W 59-54 80%     17 - 12 10 - 8 +7.2 -0.1 +8.0
  Mar 01, 2025 73   Butler W 80-70 72%     18 - 12 11 - 8 +15.0 +13.2 +2.7
  Mar 04, 2025 84   @ Georgetown L 73-75 56%     18 - 13 11 - 9 +7.4 +14.5 -7.3
  Mar 12, 2025 169   Seton Hall W 67-55 86%     19 - 13 +11.4 +5.3 +7.4
  Mar 13, 2025 30   Connecticut L 56-73 37%     19 - 14 -2.5 -2.7 -3.0
Projected Record 19 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 10.4% 10.4% 11.6 0.1 3.9 6.5 0.0 89.6 10.4%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.4% 0.0% 10.4% 11.6 0.1 3.9 6.5 0.0 89.6 10.4%