Preseason Rankings
Northeast
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
285 Wagner 29.7%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 10 11 - 5 -6.0      -6.1 341 +0.2 163 57.0 363 0.0 1 0.0 1
304 Central Connecticut St. 22.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 13 10 - 6 -7.4      -4.6 308 -2.8 268 66.9 225 0.0 1 0.0 1
332 Chicago St. 12.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 19 9 - 7 -10.3      -6.5 345 -3.8 305 63.9 312 0.0 1 0.0 1
335 Le Moyne 10.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 17 8 - 8 -10.8      -5.5 330 -5.2 341 67.7 201 0.0 1 0.0 1
347 Fairleigh Dickinson 8.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 18 8 - 8 -12.0      -5.2 324 -6.8 357 78.5 16 0.0 1 0.0 1
352 LIU Brooklyn 6.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 20 7 - 9 -12.8      -7.3 350 -5.5 345 74.3 50 0.0 1 0.0 1
354 St. Francis (PA) 5.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 18 7 - 9 -13.6      -7.1 349 -6.5 354 64.5 293 0.0 1 0.0 1
356 Stonehill 4.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 20 7 - 9 -14.1      -9.0 359 -5.1 336 69.6 139 0.0 1 0.0 1
362 Mercyhurst 1.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 6 - 22 5 - 11 -17.9      -10.6 361 -7.3 362 68.6 169 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Wagner 2.6 39.7 21.5 14.0 9.1 6.3 4.2 2.8 1.6 0.7
Central Connecticut St. 3.1 29.0 21.3 15.5 11.5 8.3 6.1 4.3 2.7 1.3
Chicago St. 4.1 14.2 15.3 15.3 14.3 12.4 10.3 8.4 6.3 3.5
Le Moyne 4.3 12.4 14.0 14.5 13.9 12.7 11.1 9.6 7.3 4.4
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.8 8.6 11.4 12.7 13.2 13.4 12.8 12.0 9.6 6.4
LIU Brooklyn 5.2 6.7 9.3 11.4 12.5 13.1 13.7 13.5 11.8 8.1
St. Francis (PA) 5.5 5.5 8.0 9.9 11.5 12.8 13.8 14.1 13.5 10.7
Stonehill 5.7 4.4 7.1 9.1 10.8 12.7 13.6 14.8 15.1 12.4
Mercyhurst 7.1 1.1 2.2 3.7 5.3 7.4 10.5 14.8 21.5 33.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Wagner 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 3.0 4.7 7.0 9.2 11.9 13.3 13.9 13.4 10.8 6.8 2.8
Central Connecticut St. 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.9 4.6 6.6 8.8 11.0 12.9 13.3 12.7 10.9 7.6 4.3 1.4
Chicago St. 9 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.2 6.2 8.5 10.4 12.4 12.9 12.0 10.5 8.2 5.8 3.2 1.3 0.4
Le Moyne 8 - 8 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.9 4.9 7.3 9.1 11.2 12.3 12.7 11.5 9.7 7.3 4.9 2.8 1.1 0.3
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 8 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.3 6.5 8.9 11.1 12.2 12.7 11.5 10.1 7.9 5.6 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2
LIU Brooklyn 7 - 9 0.4 1.3 2.9 5.4 7.9 10.3 12.1 12.6 12.0 11.1 8.9 6.3 4.5 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
St. Francis (PA) 7 - 9 0.5 1.8 4.0 6.5 9.2 11.0 12.5 12.4 11.6 10.0 7.7 5.7 3.6 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1
Stonehill 7 - 9 0.6 2.3 4.6 7.6 10.1 11.9 12.4 12.4 11.1 9.3 7.0 4.9 3.1 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.1
Mercyhurst 5 - 11 3.4 8.1 12.1 14.1 14.8 13.2 10.9 8.4 6.0 4.0 2.5 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wagner 39.7% 29.4 8.4 1.6 0.2 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 29.0% 20.3 7.0 1.5 0.2 0.0
Chicago St. 14.2% 9.0 3.9 1.0 0.2 0.0
Le Moyne 12.4% 7.7 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 8.6% 5.2 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 6.7% 3.9 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 5.5% 3.1 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
Stonehill 4.4% 2.4 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
Mercyhurst 1.1% 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wagner 29.7% 29.7% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.0 23.6 70.3 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 22.1% 22.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 20.6 77.9 0.0%
Chicago St. 12.0% 12.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.3 88.0 0.0%
Le Moyne 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.3 89.3 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.8 91.9 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.0 93.8 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.1 94.8 0.0%
Stonehill 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 4.5 95.4 0.0%
Mercyhurst 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0 1.3 98.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wagner 29.7% 19.0% 19.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 22.1% 18.7% 12.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 12.0% 10.3% 6.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 10.7% 9.6% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 8.1% 7.3% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 6.2% 5.8% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 5.2% 4.9% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 4.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 1.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 53.5% 0.5 46.5 53.5
2nd Round 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0