IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Stonehill
Northeast
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-14.1	#356
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.6	#139
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-9.0	#359

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.1	#336

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.6%	10.8%	4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	12.1%	41.0%	11.9%
.500 or above in Conference	38.0%	64.5%	37.8%
Conference Champion	4.4%	11.4%	4.4%
Last Place in Conference	19.2%	7.3%	19.3%

First Four	4.4%	9.6%	4.4%
First Round	1.7%	4.5%	1.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 4	10 - 14	10 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	66	@ Notre Dame	L	52-78	1%
Nov 09, 2024	48	@ Providence	L	55-82	1%
Nov 14, 2024	295	@ Robert Morris	L	65-75	18%
Nov 15, 2024	346	New Orleans	L	73-75	42%
Nov 17, 2024	349	Lindenwood	L	68-70	44%
Nov 21, 2024	169	Bryant	L	70-81	17%
Nov 25, 2024	355	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	69-66	59%
Nov 27, 2024	26	@ Marquette	L	57-86	1%
Dec 01, 2024	212	Quinnipiac	L	69-77	23%
Dec 15, 2024	114	@ Boston College	L	59-79	4%
Dec 18, 2024	143	@ Umass Lowell	L	64-82	6%
Dec 22, 2024	305	New Hampshire	L	70-74	38%
Dec 29, 2024	199	@ Lafayette	L	58-73	9%
Jan 03, 2025	362	@ Mercyhurst	W	69-68	53%
Jan 05, 2025	354	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	65-69	38%
Jan 10, 2025	352	LIU Brooklyn	W	73-71	56%
Jan 12, 2025	332	@ Chicago St.	L	63-70	28%
Jan 20, 2025	335	@ Le Moyne	L	66-72	30%
Jan 24, 2025	332	Chicago St.	L	66-67	47%
Jan 26, 2025	347	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	76-75	53%
Jan 30, 2025	285	Wagner	L	58-63	33%
Feb 01, 2025	304	Central Connecticut St.	L	66-70	38%
Feb 08, 2025	352	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	70-74	36%
Feb 13, 2025	354	St. Francis (PA)	W	68-66	58%
Feb 15, 2025	362	Mercyhurst	W	72-65	71%
Feb 20, 2025	285	@ Wagner	L	55-66	18%
Feb 22, 2025	304	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	63-73	21%
Feb 27, 2025	347	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	73-78	34%
Mar 01, 2025	335	Le Moyne	L	69-70	49%
Projected Record						9 - 20	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.2	0.7	1.4	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.1		4.4	1st
2nd									0.0	0.4	2.0	2.7	1.5	0.3	0.0				7.1	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.7	3.2	3.6	1.4	0.2	0.0					9.1	3rd
4th							0.0	0.9	4.1	4.4	1.2	0.1							10.8	4th
5th						0.0	1.2	5.2	4.9	1.3	0.1								12.7	5th
6th					0.1	1.7	5.4	5.1	1.2	0.0									13.6	6th
7th			0.0	0.3	2.5	5.9	4.9	1.2	0.0										14.8	7th
8th		0.1	1.0	3.6	5.6	3.9	0.9	0.0											15.1	8th
9th	0.6	2.3	3.6	3.8	1.8	0.4	0.0												12.4	9th

Total	0.6	2.3	4.6	7.6	10.1	11.9	12.4	12.4	11.1	9.3	7.0	4.9	3.1	1.5	0.8	0.2	0.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
14-2	94.9%	0.7		0.6	0.1
13-3	78.0%	1.2		0.8	0.4	0.0
12-4	44.0%	1.4		0.6	0.6	0.1	0.0
11-5	13.7%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
10-6	2.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	4.4%	4.4		2.4	1.5	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		47.1%	47.1%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
15-1	0.2%		42.1%	42.1%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1
14-2	0.8%		34.4%	34.4%		15.9																0.0	0.2	0.5
13-3	1.5%		25.2%	25.2%		16.0																0.0	0.4	1.2
12-4	3.1%		20.3%	20.3%		16.0																	0.6	2.4
11-5	4.9%		13.7%	13.7%		16.0																0.0	0.7	4.2
10-6	7.0%		9.0%	9.0%		16.0																	0.6	6.4
9-7	9.3%		6.4%	6.4%		16.0																	0.6	8.7
8-8	11.1%		4.3%	4.3%		16.0																	0.5	10.6
7-9	12.4%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.4	12.1
6-10	12.4%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.3	12.2
5-11	11.9%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	11.8
4-12	10.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
3-13	7.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.6
2-14	4.6%																							4.6
1-15	2.3%																							2.3
0-16	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		4.6%	4.6%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.1	4.5	95.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%