Preseason Rankings
New Hampshire
America East
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#305
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace76.1#31
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#327
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#245
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 5.3% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 19.7% 42.1% 17.2%
.500 or above in Conference 32.7% 48.7% 30.9%
Conference Champion 2.5% 5.4% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 18.6% 10.4% 19.6%
First Four1.1% 1.3% 1.1%
First Round2.3% 4.7% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 10.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 11
Quad 49 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 116   @ Massachusetts L 68-81 10%    
  Nov 09, 2024 1   @ Connecticut L 55-86 0.2%   
  Nov 12, 2024 237   Fairfield L 74-75 46%    
  Nov 15, 2024 181   @ Brown L 68-78 19%    
  Nov 16, 2024 334   Sacred Heart W 77-74 61%    
  Nov 17, 2024 348   Holy Cross W 75-70 66%    
  Nov 23, 2024 235   @ Marist L 63-70 27%    
  Nov 25, 2024 230   @ Columbia L 73-80 27%    
  Dec 01, 2024 159   @ Fordham L 68-79 18%    
  Dec 03, 2024 313   Dartmouth W 70-66 63%    
  Dec 08, 2024 182   Harvard L 70-74 38%    
  Dec 22, 2024 356   @ Stonehill W 74-70 62%    
  Dec 30, 2024 45   @ Iowa L 71-92 4%    
  Jan 04, 2025 111   Vermont L 63-71 25%    
  Jan 09, 2025 259   Albany W 81-80 51%    
  Jan 11, 2025 318   Binghamton W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 16, 2025 272   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 80-85 34%    
  Jan 18, 2025 343   @ NJIT W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 23, 2025 169   Bryant L 78-82 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 143   @ Umass Lowell L 70-82 16%    
  Jan 30, 2025 253   @ Maine L 66-72 32%    
  Feb 06, 2025 272   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 83-82 53%    
  Feb 08, 2025 343   NJIT W 75-68 72%    
  Feb 13, 2025 111   @ Vermont L 60-74 12%    
  Feb 15, 2025 143   Umass Lowell L 73-79 33%    
  Feb 20, 2025 318   @ Binghamton L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 22, 2025 259   @ Albany L 78-84 32%    
  Feb 27, 2025 253   Maine W 69-68 50%    
  Mar 04, 2025 169   @ Bryant L 75-85 20%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.9 4.2 1.4 0.1 10.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.5 4.9 1.3 0.1 13.7 5th
6th 0.3 2.5 6.6 5.1 1.2 0.0 15.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.8 7.0 4.4 0.9 0.0 16.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.8 5.8 3.1 0.6 0.0 15.8 8th
9th 0.6 2.5 3.8 3.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 11.8 9th
Total 0.6 2.6 5.2 8.6 11.3 12.9 13.5 12.5 10.6 8.4 5.8 3.8 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 89.5% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-3 65.9% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.0
12-4 33.5% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 8.8% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 35.7% 23.8% 11.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.6%
15-1 0.1% 36.8% 36.8% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 21.4% 21.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.1% 21.3% 21.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-4 2.3% 17.3% 17.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.9
11-5 3.8% 10.4% 10.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 3.4
10-6 5.8% 7.5% 7.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.4
9-7 8.4% 4.4% 4.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.1
8-8 10.6% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.3
7-9 12.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.3
6-10 13.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.3
5-11 12.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.9
4-12 11.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.3
3-13 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.6
2-14 5.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.2
1-15 2.6% 2.6
0-16 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 97.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%