Preseason Rankings
Dartmouth
Ivy League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#313
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.7#315
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#340
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#240
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.2% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 8.0% 10.4% 2.6%
.500 or above in Conference 12.1% 14.3% 6.9%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 54.7% 50.5% 64.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Home) - 69.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 45 - 67 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 334   Sacred Heart W 71-66 69%    
  Nov 13, 2024 259   Albany L 72-73 49%    
  Nov 16, 2024 266   @ Boston University L 61-67 29%    
  Nov 19, 2024 235   @ Marist L 57-65 25%    
  Nov 29, 2024 114   @ Boston College L 59-74 10%    
  Dec 03, 2024 305   @ New Hampshire L 66-70 37%    
  Dec 08, 2024 203   @ Illinois-Chicago L 62-71 21%    
  Dec 11, 2024 66   @ Notre Dame L 52-72 5%    
  Dec 14, 2024 143   @ Umass Lowell L 63-75 15%    
  Dec 18, 2024 335   Le Moyne W 69-63 68%    
  Dec 21, 2024 111   Vermont L 57-66 23%    
  Jan 11, 2025 166   Penn L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 18, 2025 104   Princeton L 61-71 19%    
  Jan 20, 2025 113   @ Yale L 56-71 11%    
  Jan 25, 2025 181   @ Brown L 61-71 19%    
  Jan 31, 2025 172   @ Cornell L 68-79 18%    
  Feb 01, 2025 230   @ Columbia L 65-73 26%    
  Feb 08, 2025 182   Harvard L 63-67 36%    
  Feb 14, 2025 230   Columbia L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 15, 2025 172   Cornell L 71-76 35%    
  Feb 21, 2025 166   @ Penn L 61-72 18%    
  Feb 22, 2025 104   Princeton L 61-71 20%    
  Feb 28, 2025 113   Yale L 59-68 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 181   Brown L 64-68 36%    
  Mar 08, 2025 182   @ Harvard L 60-70 20%    
Projected Record 7 - 18 4 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 1.7 0.7 0.1 3.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 2.9 0.9 0.1 5.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.3 1.4 0.1 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.7 6.0 1.9 0.1 13.7 6th
7th 0.4 3.6 8.2 7.7 2.3 0.1 22.3 7th
8th 6.8 13.1 13.3 7.3 1.9 0.1 42.4 8th
Total 6.8 13.5 16.9 16.5 14.7 11.5 8.1 5.5 3.3 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-2 94.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
11-3 71.8% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
10-4 37.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
9-5 10.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.1% 26.9% 26.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.1% 38.7% 38.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.3% 19.5% 19.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
10-4 1.0% 15.0% 15.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
9-5 1.8% 13.2% 13.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6
8-6 3.3% 8.0% 8.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.0
7-7 5.5% 3.6% 3.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.3
6-8 8.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
5-9 11.5% 11.5
4-10 14.7% 14.7
3-11 16.5% 16.5
2-12 16.9% 16.9
1-13 13.5% 13.5
0-14 6.8% 6.8
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%