Preseason Rankings
Penn
Ivy League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#166
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.4#296
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#118
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#241
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.7% 11.9% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.1 13.9
.500 or above 58.3% 64.5% 34.5%
.500 or above in Conference 61.6% 64.8% 49.1%
Conference Champion 13.4% 14.9% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 7.2% 13.7%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.5%
First Round10.5% 11.8% 5.6%
Second Round1.5% 1.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 79.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 45 - 10
Quad 49 - 214 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 343   @ NJIT W 74-65 79%    
  Nov 07, 2024 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-58 95%    
  Nov 12, 2024 199   @ Lafayette L 66-67 45%    
  Nov 15, 2024 90   Saint Joseph's L 70-74 36%    
  Nov 19, 2024 37   @ Villanova L 59-73 11%    
  Nov 29, 2024 258   Navy W 72-64 75%    
  Nov 30, 2024 253   Maine W 71-63 75%    
  Dec 01, 2024 288   Elon W 76-67 80%    
  Dec 09, 2024 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-73 19%    
  Dec 20, 2024 241   Rider W 75-68 72%    
  Dec 22, 2024 96   @ George Mason L 62-71 22%    
  Dec 29, 2024 67   @ Penn St. L 68-79 17%    
  Jan 11, 2025 313   @ Dartmouth W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 18, 2025 172   Cornell W 79-76 61%    
  Jan 20, 2025 182   @ Harvard L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 25, 2025 230   Columbia W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 31, 2025 181   Brown W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 113   Yale L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 07, 2025 104   Princeton L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 14, 2025 113   @ Yale L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 15, 2025 181   @ Brown L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 21, 2025 313   Dartmouth W 72-61 82%    
  Feb 22, 2025 182   Harvard W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 28, 2025 172   @ Cornell L 76-79 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 230   @ Columbia W 74-73 51%    
  Mar 08, 2025 104   @ Princeton L 66-74 26%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.2 3.5 1.6 0.4 13.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 5.5 5.3 2.2 0.4 15.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 6.6 5.1 1.3 0.0 15.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 7.6 4.5 0.7 0.0 15.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.8 6.8 4.2 0.4 14.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.6 2.9 0.3 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.7 3.8 1.8 0.2 9.3 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.5 0.5 0.0 4.8 8th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.3 4.7 7.3 10.4 12.6 14.5 13.2 12.0 9.5 6.5 3.8 1.6 0.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
13-1 100.0% 1.6    1.6 0.1
12-2 90.3% 3.5    2.8 0.7 0.0
11-3 65.2% 4.2    2.4 1.7 0.2
10-4 30.4% 2.9    0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1
9-5 6.2% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 13.4% 13.4 8.1 4.0 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.4% 61.9% 53.4% 8.6% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 18.3%
13-1 1.6% 51.0% 47.1% 3.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 7.3%
12-2 3.8% 39.7% 38.7% 1.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 1.6%
11-3 6.5% 30.5% 30.4% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.5 0.1%
10-4 9.5% 24.2% 24.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 7.2
9-5 12.0% 17.7% 17.7% 14.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 9.9
8-6 13.2% 10.0% 10.0% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 11.9
7-7 14.5% 2.0% 2.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.2
6-8 12.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 12.6
5-9 10.4% 10.4
4-10 7.3% 7.3
3-11 4.7% 4.7
2-12 2.3% 2.3
1-13 1.0% 1.0
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 10.7% 10.5% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.1 2.5 1.5 0.5 89.3 0.2%