Preseason Rankings
Maine
America East
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#253
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.7#289
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#309
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#167
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 13.0% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 13.4 14.8
.500 or above 35.7% 72.4% 35.5%
.500 or above in Conference 53.9% 78.6% 53.7%
Conference Champion 6.3% 16.8% 6.2%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 1.4% 8.6%
First Four1.3% 0.7% 1.3%
First Round5.9% 12.6% 5.9%
Second Round0.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 63 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 4   @ Duke L 53-79 1%    
  Nov 10, 2024 181   @ Brown L 63-70 26%    
  Nov 15, 2024 212   @ Quinnipiac L 68-73 32%    
  Nov 20, 2024 133   @ Richmond L 60-70 19%    
  Nov 24, 2024 348   Holy Cross W 71-61 82%    
  Nov 29, 2024 288   Elon W 68-66 57%    
  Nov 30, 2024 166   @ Penn L 63-71 25%    
  Dec 01, 2024 258   Navy W 64-63 51%    
  Dec 08, 2024 159   @ Fordham L 63-71 25%    
  Dec 11, 2024 128   @ Duquesne L 59-69 20%    
  Dec 14, 2024 297   @ Canisius L 65-66 48%    
  Dec 21, 2024 260   @ Stony Brook L 65-68 41%    
  Dec 29, 2024 266   Boston University W 66-63 61%    
  Jan 04, 2025 169   @ Bryant L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 09, 2025 318   Binghamton W 69-62 72%    
  Jan 11, 2025 259   Albany W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 16, 2025 343   @ NJIT W 67-63 63%    
  Jan 18, 2025 272   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 23, 2025 143   @ Umass Lowell L 65-74 23%    
  Jan 30, 2025 305   New Hampshire W 72-66 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 111   @ Vermont L 56-67 18%    
  Feb 06, 2025 343   NJIT W 70-60 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 272   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-73 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 111   Vermont L 59-64 33%    
  Feb 20, 2025 259   @ Albany L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 22, 2025 318   @ Binghamton W 66-65 53%    
  Feb 27, 2025 305   @ New Hampshire L 68-69 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 169   Bryant L 72-73 46%    
  Mar 04, 2025 143   Umass Lowell L 68-71 41%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 6.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.8 3.1 1.1 0.1 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.6 5.4 3.2 0.8 0.0 13.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 5.0 6.3 2.6 0.3 0.0 15.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.5 5.8 1.9 0.2 15.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.6 4.9 1.3 0.1 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.9 3.5 0.7 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.1 3.4 2.0 0.5 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 4.9 9th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.1 4.0 6.4 9.0 11.3 12.2 12.9 12.2 10.2 8.0 5.5 3.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
14-2 92.1% 1.3    1.1 0.2 0.0
13-3 63.9% 2.0    1.1 0.8 0.1
12-4 29.9% 1.6    0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0
11-5 7.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 3.6 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 48.6% 48.6% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.6% 40.2% 40.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.4% 36.8% 36.6% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.3%
13-3 3.1% 24.4% 24.4% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.3
12-4 5.5% 18.6% 18.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 4.5
11-5 8.0% 14.2% 14.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 6.8
10-6 10.2% 9.3% 9.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 9.3
9-7 12.2% 6.2% 6.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 11.5
8-8 12.9% 4.0% 4.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 12.4
7-9 12.2% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 11.9
6-10 11.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 11.1
5-11 9.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.0
4-12 6.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.4
3-13 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.0
2-14 2.1% 2.1
1-15 0.9% 0.9
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.1 93.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%