IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.6	#212
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.6	#24
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.7	#231

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#200

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.1%	19.6%	11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.1	14.8

.500 or above	64.0%	83.1%	59.3%
.500 or above in Conference	75.1%	86.4%	72.4%
Conference Champion	17.1%	26.0%	14.9%
Last Place in Conference	2.4%	0.9%	2.8%

First Four	1.8%	1.5%	1.9%
First Round	12.3%	18.9%	10.6%
Second Round	0.8%	1.8%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Away) - 19.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 5	3 - 8
Quad 4	15 - 7	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	113	@ Yale	L	66-75	20%
Nov 09, 2024	18	@ St. John's	L	69-87	4%
Nov 15, 2024	253	Maine	W	73-68	68%
Nov 19, 2024	258	@ Navy	L	71-72	47%
Nov 23, 2024	143	@ Umass Lowell	L	74-81	27%
Nov 25, 2024	94	@ Saint Louis	L	74-86	15%
Dec 01, 2024	356	@ Stonehill	W	77-69	77%
Dec 06, 2024	241	@ Rider	L	74-76	44%
Dec 08, 2024	334	Sacred Heart	W	83-72	83%
Dec 17, 2024	348	Holy Cross	W	80-68	86%
Dec 21, 2024	304	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	74-72	56%
Dec 29, 2024	155	Hofstra	W	73-72	50%
Jan 03, 2025	214	@ St. Peter's	L	65-68	40%
Jan 05, 2025	235	@ Marist	L	67-69	43%
Jan 10, 2025	339	Siena	W	76-65	83%
Jan 12, 2025	210	@ Iona	L	73-76	40%
Jan 16, 2025	243	Merrimack	W	73-69	64%
Jan 18, 2025	270	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	75-76	49%
Jan 25, 2025	241	Rider	W	77-73	64%
Jan 31, 2025	237	Fairfield	W	78-74	63%
Feb 02, 2025	339	@ Siena	W	73-68	67%
Feb 06, 2025	297	Canisius	W	77-70	73%
Feb 08, 2025	308	Niagara	W	78-70	75%
Feb 14, 2025	334	@ Sacred Heart	W	80-75	66%
Feb 16, 2025	210	Iona	W	76-73	60%
Feb 23, 2025	331	@ Manhattan	W	77-73	64%
Feb 28, 2025	214	St. Peter's	W	68-65	60%
Mar 02, 2025	243	@ Merrimack	L	70-72	44%
Mar 06, 2025	270	Mount St. Mary's	W	78-72	67%
Mar 08, 2025	237	@ Fairfield	L	75-77	43%
Projected Record						16 - 14	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	1.2	2.9	4.4	4.0	2.8	1.3	0.4		17.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.7	4.0	4.3	2.5	0.7	0.1	0.0			13.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	1.7	4.2	3.6	1.4	0.3	0.0					11.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	1.5	4.1	3.5	1.0	0.1	0.0						10.4	4th
5th										0.1	1.1	3.8	3.4	0.9	0.1								9.4	5th
6th									0.0	0.7	3.1	3.6	0.9	0.1									8.3	6th
7th								0.0	0.5	2.5	3.1	1.1	0.1										7.2	7th
8th							0.0	0.3	1.9	2.9	1.2	0.1											6.3	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	1.3	2.4	1.3	0.1												5.2	9th
10th					0.0	0.2	0.9	1.7	1.1	0.2	0.0												4.0	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	0.8	1.3	0.9	0.2	0.0													3.3	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0														2.3	12th
13th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0															1.3	13th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.1	2.0	2.9	4.4	6.0	7.5	8.8	10.3	10.5	10.6	9.9	8.6	7.1	4.8	2.9	1.3	0.4			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
19-1	99.8%	1.3		1.3	0.0
18-2	96.2%	2.8		2.5	0.3
17-3	84.8%	4.0		3.2	0.8	0.0
16-4	61.4%	4.4		2.6	1.5	0.2	0.0
15-5	33.2%	2.9		1.0	1.3	0.5	0.0
14-6	12.0%	1.2		0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.8%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	17.1%	17.1		11.3	4.4	1.2	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.4%		61.0%	61.0%		11.7					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.1
19-1	1.3%		52.5%	52.5%		12.8								0.0			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.6
18-2	2.9%		45.3%	45.3%		13.4											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	1.6
17-3	4.8%		36.5%	36.5%		13.9												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.0	3.0
16-4	7.1%		28.1%	28.1%		14.4													0.0	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.2	5.1
15-5	8.6%		23.4%	23.4%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.5	6.6
14-6	9.9%		17.2%	17.2%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	0.6	8.2
13-7	10.6%		12.7%	12.7%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	9.3
12-8	10.5%		9.9%	9.9%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	9.5
11-9	10.3%		4.9%	4.9%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	9.8
10-10	8.8%		3.0%	3.0%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	8.5
9-11	7.5%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	7.4
8-12	6.0%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.1	5.9
7-13	4.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
6-14	2.9%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.9
5-15	2.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
4-16	1.1%																							1.1
3-17	0.6%																							0.6
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		13.1%	13.1%	0.0%	14.6					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.8	2.9	3.8	3.8	86.9		0.0%