IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.4	#272
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	80.6	#5
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.3	#177

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.1	#337

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.0%	10.5%	4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.0	14.2	15.1

.500 or above	35.5%	66.8%	33.5%
.500 or above in Conference	48.3%	68.7%	47.0%
Conference Champion	4.9%	11.5%	4.5%
Last Place in Conference	11.1%	5.0%	11.5%

First Four	1.3%	1.2%	1.3%
First Round	4.4%	9.9%	4.1%
Second Round	0.2%	0.9%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Penn St. (Away) - 6.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 9
Quad 4	11 - 7	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	67	@ Penn St.	L	74-91	6%
Nov 14, 2024	363	Coppin St.	W	83-67	93%
Nov 16, 2024	214	St. Peter's	W	72-71	51%
Nov 23, 2024	266	Boston University	W	78-75	59%
Nov 25, 2024	249	Howard	W	83-81	56%
Nov 27, 2024	320	Morgan St.	W	87-81	71%
Dec 02, 2024	101	@ Georgetown	L	74-88	11%
Dec 07, 2024	124	@ Towson	L	66-77	17%
Dec 18, 2024	80	@ Georgia Tech	L	73-89	9%
Dec 21, 2024	235	@ Marist	L	70-75	34%
Dec 29, 2024	252	@ American	L	72-76	37%
Jan 04, 2025	318	@ Binghamton	W	78-77	51%
Jan 09, 2025	343	@ NJIT	W	79-76	60%
Jan 16, 2025	305	New Hampshire	W	85-80	66%
Jan 18, 2025	253	Maine	W	76-74	57%
Jan 23, 2025	259	@ Albany	L	86-89	39%
Jan 25, 2025	111	@ Vermont	L	67-79	16%
Jan 30, 2025	169	Bryant	L	86-88	43%
Feb 01, 2025	143	Umass Lowell	L	81-84	38%
Feb 06, 2025	305	@ New Hampshire	L	82-83	47%
Feb 08, 2025	253	@ Maine	L	73-77	38%
Feb 13, 2025	318	Binghamton	W	81-75	70%
Feb 15, 2025	169	@ Bryant	L	83-91	25%
Feb 20, 2025	143	@ Umass Lowell	L	78-87	22%
Feb 22, 2025	343	NJIT	W	82-73	78%
Feb 27, 2025	259	Albany	W	89-86	58%
Mar 01, 2025	111	Vermont	L	70-76	31%
Projected Record						12 - 15	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	1.6	1.1	0.4	0.1		4.9	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	1.7	3.2	2.6	0.8	0.2				8.8	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.8	3.3	4.8	2.7	0.6	0.0					12.1	3rd
4th							0.0	1.2	4.8	5.6	2.4	0.3	0.0						14.3	4th
5th					0.0	0.1	1.6	5.7	5.9	1.9	0.1								15.3	5th
6th					0.2	2.2	6.0	5.1	1.2	0.1	0.0								14.9	6th
7th			0.0	0.4	2.5	5.6	3.7	0.8	0.0										13.0	7th
8th		0.0	0.7	2.8	3.8	2.3	0.4	0.0											10.1	8th
9th	0.3	1.2	2.1	2.0	0.9	0.2	0.0												6.6	9th

Total	0.3	1.2	2.8	5.1	7.5	10.3	11.8	12.8	12.8	11.2	9.0	6.7	4.4	2.4	1.2	0.4	0.1			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
14-2	87.5%	1.1		0.9	0.2	0.0
13-3	64.6%	1.6		0.9	0.6	0.1
12-4	28.0%	1.2		0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0
11-5	7.8%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
10-6	0.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	4.9%	4.9		2.7	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		61.0%	61.0%		12.2									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
15-1	0.4%		44.5%	44.5%		13.2												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-2	1.2%		33.3%	33.3%		13.6												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.8
13-3	2.4%		25.6%	25.6%		14.1													0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	1.8
12-4	4.4%		17.6%	17.6%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	3.6
11-5	6.7%		12.6%	12.6%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	5.9
10-6	9.0%		7.2%	7.2%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	8.4
9-7	11.2%		4.9%	4.9%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	10.7
8-8	12.8%		3.4%	3.4%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	12.4
7-9	12.8%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																0.0	0.3	12.5
6-10	11.8%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																0.0	0.1	11.6
5-11	10.3%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	10.3
4-12	7.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
3-13	5.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
2-14	2.8%																							2.8
1-15	1.2%																							1.2
0-16	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		5.0%	5.0%	0.0%	15.0									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	1.4	2.2	95.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%