IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Howard
Mid-Eastern
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.1	#249
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.1	#152
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.6	#191

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#292

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	25.2%	36.6%	25.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.5	15.4

.500 or above	63.0%	92.3%	62.8%
.500 or above in Conference	87.1%	96.5%	87.0%
Conference Champion	33.1%	58.2%	33.0%
Last Place in Conference	1.4%	0.0%	1.4%

First Four	10.7%	4.3%	10.7%
First Round	20.1%	34.7%	20.0%
Second Round	0.8%	2.3%	0.8%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	1.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.7%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Kansas (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 3	2 - 7
Quad 4	14 - 6	15 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	2	@ Kansas	L	62-88	1%
Nov 08, 2024	58	@ Missouri	L	65-81	7%
Nov 13, 2024	309	Tennessee St.	W	75-71	63%
Nov 18, 2024	275	@ Florida International	L	75-77	44%
Nov 24, 2024	266	Boston University	W	71-70	53%
Nov 25, 2024	272	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	81-83	44%
Nov 30, 2024	270	Mount St. Mary's	W	75-71	64%
Dec 08, 2024	27	@ Cincinnati	L	63-82	5%
Dec 14, 2024	157	UNC Wilmington	L	71-72	45%
Dec 17, 2024	154	Drexel	L	69-70	45%
Dec 28, 2024	322	@ Hampton	W	77-75	58%
Jan 01, 2025	113	@ Yale	L	64-75	19%
Jan 04, 2025	340	Delaware St.	W	77-67	80%
Jan 06, 2025	359	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	73-65	75%
Jan 11, 2025	320	Morgan St.	W	81-73	74%
Jan 13, 2025	363	Coppin St.	W	77-60	93%
Jan 25, 2025	251	@ Norfolk St.	L	70-73	41%
Feb 01, 2025	256	NC Central	W	74-70	63%
Feb 03, 2025	307	South Carolina St.	W	77-71	71%
Feb 15, 2025	340	@ Delaware St.	W	74-70	63%
Feb 17, 2025	359	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	76-62	88%
Feb 22, 2025	320	@ Morgan St.	W	78-76	56%
Feb 24, 2025	363	@ Coppin St.	W	74-63	82%
Mar 01, 2025	256	@ NC Central	L	71-73	43%
Mar 03, 2025	307	@ South Carolina St.	W	75-74	52%
Mar 06, 2025	251	Norfolk St.	W	73-70	60%
Projected Record						14 - 12	9 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.5	3.8	8.9	10.5	6.9	2.6		33.1	1st
2nd								0.0	1.0	5.4	9.3	5.6	1.1				22.5	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.2	5.5	7.2	2.7	0.2					16.9	3rd
4th					0.0	0.0	1.2	4.6	4.9	1.2	0.0						11.9	4th
5th				0.0	0.1	1.0	3.4	3.1	0.6	0.0							8.2	5th
6th			0.0	0.1	0.8	2.0	1.5	0.2	0.0								4.6	6th
7th			0.1	0.5	0.9	0.5	0.1										2.1	7th
8th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0											0.7	8th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.9	3.6	6.2	9.1	12.1	14.5	15.8	14.6	11.6	6.9	2.6			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	2.6		2.6
13-1	100.0%	6.9		6.6	0.3
12-2	90.2%	10.5		8.1	2.3	0.1
11-3	60.5%	8.9		4.2	4.0	0.7	0.0
10-4	24.1%	3.8		1.0	1.8	0.9	0.1	0.0
9-5	3.6%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	33.1%	33.1		22.5	8.6	1.8	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	2.6%		66.3%	66.3%		13.9									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.9
13-1	6.9%		55.8%	55.8%		14.7												0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.4	0.9	3.1
12-2	11.6%		46.2%	46.2%		15.2													0.0	0.2	0.7	2.0	2.4	6.2
11-3	14.6%		34.5%	34.5%		15.6													0.0	0.0	0.3	1.2	3.5	9.6
10-4	15.8%		25.6%	25.6%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.4	3.5	11.7
9-5	14.5%		17.0%	17.0%		16.0															0.0	0.1	2.3	12.0
8-6	12.1%		11.9%	11.9%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.4	10.6
7-7	9.1%		8.3%	8.3%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.8	8.3
6-8	6.2%		5.7%	5.7%		16.0																	0.4	5.8
5-9	3.6%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																	0.1	3.5
4-10	1.9%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.8
3-11	0.9%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.9
2-12	0.3%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.3
1-13	0.1%																							0.1
0-14	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		25.2%	25.2%	0.0%	15.4									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.3	1.1	2.7	5.6	15.5	74.8		0.0%