Preseason Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#256
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.0#254
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#237
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#275
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.8% 32.6% 20.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.0 15.6
.500 or above 56.4% 82.2% 53.6%
.500 or above in Conference 83.8% 93.0% 82.8%
Conference Champion 28.0% 42.9% 26.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.4% 1.9%
First Four10.4% 8.8% 10.5%
First Round16.6% 28.2% 15.4%
Second Round0.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Away) - 9.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 7
Quad 413 - 715 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 96   @ George Mason L 59-73 10%    
  Nov 08, 2024 246   Gardner-Webb W 72-70 58%    
  Nov 12, 2024 125   @ High Point L 70-80 18%    
  Nov 15, 2024 209   Georgia Southern L 72-74 41%    
  Nov 16, 2024 247   William & Mary L 69-70 47%    
  Nov 17, 2024 189   @ Winthrop L 67-74 28%    
  Nov 22, 2024 204   @ Georgia St. L 69-75 30%    
  Dec 05, 2024 269   Radford W 68-65 61%    
  Dec 07, 2024 246   @ Gardner-Webb L 69-73 37%    
  Dec 10, 2024 65   @ West Virginia L 64-80 8%    
  Dec 14, 2024 195   @ Longwood L 66-72 29%    
  Dec 20, 2024 195   Longwood L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 28, 2024 312   @ N.C. A&T W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 72-61 81%    
  Jan 06, 2025 320   @ Morgan St. W 75-74 53%    
  Jan 11, 2025 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-60 87%    
  Jan 13, 2025 340   Delaware St. W 74-65 78%    
  Jan 25, 2025 307   South Carolina St. W 75-69 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 249   @ Howard L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 03, 2025 251   @ Norfolk St. L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 75-58 92%    
  Feb 17, 2025 320   Morgan St. W 78-71 71%    
  Feb 22, 2025 359   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-63 72%    
  Feb 24, 2025 340   @ Delaware St. W 71-68 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 249   Howard W 73-71 57%    
  Mar 03, 2025 251   Norfolk St. W 71-68 58%    
  Mar 06, 2025 307   @ South Carolina St. L 71-72 49%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.5 8.2 8.5 5.5 1.7 28.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 5.6 8.9 5.3 1.0 22.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 6.2 7.3 2.6 0.2 17.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.3 5.3 1.3 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.1 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.2 1.1 2.6 1.7 0.3 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 4.7 7.3 10.2 13.3 14.7 15.1 13.7 9.5 5.5 1.7 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.7    1.7
13-1 100.0% 5.5    5.3 0.2
12-2 89.0% 8.5    6.5 1.9 0.0
11-3 59.8% 8.2    3.9 3.7 0.6 0.0
10-4 23.5% 3.5    0.8 1.7 0.9 0.1 0.0
9-5 3.5% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 28.0% 28.0 18.3 7.7 1.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.7% 62.5% 62.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6
13-1 5.5% 51.1% 51.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.7 2.7
12-2 9.5% 43.6% 43.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.0 5.4
11-3 13.7% 34.1% 34.1% 15.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.3 9.1
10-4 15.1% 25.6% 25.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.4 11.2
9-5 14.7% 17.0% 17.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.4 12.2
8-6 13.3% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.0 1.4 11.9
7-7 10.2% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 9.5
6-8 7.3% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.3 7.0
5-9 4.7% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.2 4.5
4-10 2.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-11 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-12 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 21.8% 21.8% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.4 14.5 78.2 0.0%