Preseason Rankings
N.C. A&T
Colonial Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#312
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.0#157
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#288
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#326
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 3.7% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.1 14.8
.500 or above 12.6% 39.7% 12.0%
.500 or above in Conference 24.0% 46.1% 23.6%
Conference Champion 0.9% 3.5% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 21.6% 8.5% 21.8%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.8% 3.7% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 2.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 49 - 910 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 41   @ Wake Forest L 63-85 2%    
  Nov 12, 2024 150   @ George Washington L 71-83 15%    
  Nov 17, 2024 325   @ The Citadel L 68-70 44%    
  Nov 20, 2024 320   Morgan St. W 78-74 63%    
  Nov 25, 2024 337   @ Buffalo L 73-74 49%    
  Nov 29, 2024 137   @ East Carolina L 63-76 13%    
  Dec 03, 2024 322   @ Hampton L 74-76 43%    
  Dec 07, 2024 188   UNC Greensboro L 67-71 36%    
  Dec 12, 2024 74   @ Virginia Tech L 63-82 5%    
  Dec 14, 2024 110   @ Liberty L 61-76 10%    
  Dec 17, 2024 291   Coastal Carolina W 74-73 55%    
  Dec 21, 2024 15   @ Arkansas L 63-88 2%    
  Dec 28, 2024 256   NC Central L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 02, 2025 288   Elon W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 154   Drexel L 65-71 32%    
  Jan 09, 2025 187   Delaware L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 11, 2025 247   @ William & Mary L 67-74 28%    
  Jan 16, 2025 216   Monmouth L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 20, 2025 322   Hampton W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 23, 2025 124   @ Towson L 58-72 13%    
  Jan 25, 2025 260   @ Stony Brook L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 30, 2025 157   UNC Wilmington L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 06, 2025 117   @ College of Charleston L 69-83 12%    
  Feb 08, 2025 301   @ Campbell L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 13, 2025 288   @ Elon L 70-75 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 117   College of Charleston L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 20, 2025 301   Campbell W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 22, 2025 260   Stony Brook L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 27, 2025 220   @ Northeastern L 66-74 25%    
  Mar 01, 2025 155   @ Hofstra L 64-75 17%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.7 1.8 0.2 7.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.0 4.0 0.8 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.8 1.6 0.1 0.0 10.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 3.9 4.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 12.0 12th
13th 0.1 1.3 4.2 5.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 13.1 13th
14th 1.0 3.1 4.5 3.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 14.0 14th
Total 1.0 3.2 5.8 8.8 11.2 12.1 12.4 11.6 10.0 8.1 6.0 4.1 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 88.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 66.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 31.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 15.3% 15.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 19.5% 19.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 14.7% 14.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.8% 13.5% 13.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.6% 9.1% 9.1% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
12-6 2.8% 5.7% 5.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.6
11-7 4.1% 2.4% 2.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
10-8 6.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9
9-9 8.1% 0.8% 0.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0
8-10 10.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 9.9
7-11 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.6
6-12 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
5-13 12.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.1
4-14 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.2
3-15 8.8% 8.8
2-16 5.8% 5.8
1-17 3.2% 3.2
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%