Preseason Rankings
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#291
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.2#76
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#273
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#290
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.3% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 15.0
.500 or above 19.9% 25.9% 8.3%
.500 or above in Conference 19.9% 24.1% 11.8%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 26.4% 21.8% 35.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Home) - 65.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 48 - 610 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 311   Western Michigan W 77-73 66%    
  Nov 09, 2024 137   @ East Carolina L 65-76 15%    
  Nov 13, 2024 49   @ North Carolina St. L 65-84 4%    
  Nov 22, 2024 360   IU Indianapolis W 77-68 79%    
  Nov 23, 2024 338   @ Alabama A&M W 75-74 54%    
  Nov 30, 2024 330   South Carolina Upstate W 75-69 71%    
  Dec 04, 2024 301   @ Campbell L 71-73 42%    
  Dec 07, 2024 189   @ Winthrop L 69-78 23%    
  Dec 17, 2024 312   @ N.C. A&T L 73-74 45%    
  Dec 21, 2024 134   @ Arkansas St. L 71-82 16%    
  Jan 02, 2025 156   Louisiana L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 04, 2025 296   Louisiana Monroe W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 08, 2025 139   @ Appalachian St. L 66-77 18%    
  Jan 11, 2025 204   @ Georgia St. L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 16, 2025 209   Georgia Southern L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 18, 2025 194   Marshall L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 22, 2025 209   @ Georgia Southern L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 25, 2025 227   @ Old Dominion L 73-79 30%    
  Jan 30, 2025 107   @ James Madison L 68-82 13%    
  Feb 01, 2025 194   @ Marshall L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 05, 2025 223   South Alabama L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 13, 2025 139   Appalachian St. L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 15, 2025 107   James Madison L 71-79 26%    
  Feb 20, 2025 236   @ Southern Miss L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 129   @ Troy L 69-81 17%    
  Feb 26, 2025 204   Georgia St. L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 28, 2025 227   Old Dominion L 75-76 48%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 2.7 0.7 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.4 1.4 0.1 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.1 0.8 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 3.3 4.8 1.6 0.1 10.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 3.9 5.3 2.5 0.2 12.9 12th
13th 0.3 1.8 4.9 5.5 2.9 0.4 0.0 15.7 13th
14th 1.4 4.0 5.2 4.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 17.6 14th
Total 1.4 4.3 7.1 10.4 12.2 12.7 12.3 10.9 8.8 7.1 5.1 3.5 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 91.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 77.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 45.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 22.0% 22.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 20.9% 20.9% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 16.9% 16.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 18.3% 18.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.3% 12.2% 12.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1
12-6 1.9% 8.3% 8.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
11-7 3.5% 5.0% 5.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.4
10-8 5.1% 1.8% 1.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
9-9 7.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.0
8-10 8.8% 0.7% 0.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
7-11 10.9% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 10.9
6-12 12.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 12.3
5-13 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.7
4-14 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.2
3-15 10.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.4
2-16 7.1% 7.1
1-17 4.3% 4.3
0-18 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%