IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.0	#330
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.6	#208
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.1	#339

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.8	#307

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.4%	2.9%	1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	14.7	15.5

.500 or above	4.1%	18.7%	3.8%
.500 or above in Conference	14.9%	31.3%	14.7%
Conference Champion	1.0%	4.3%	0.9%
Last Place in Conference	43.1%	24.1%	43.4%

First Four	0.8%	0.5%	0.8%
First Round	1.0%	2.9%	1.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 1.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 13
Quad 4	6 - 9	7 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	49	@ North Carolina St.	L	59-82	2%
Nov 08, 2024	74	@ Virginia Tech	L	60-81	3%
Nov 13, 2024	41	@ Wake Forest	L	60-84	2%
Nov 15, 2024	157	UNC Wilmington	L	65-72	26%
Nov 22, 2024	170	@ East Tennessee St.	L	62-75	13%
Nov 23, 2024	289	Queens	L	75-78	38%
Nov 26, 2024	45	@ Iowa	L	66-89	2%
Nov 30, 2024	291	@ Coastal Carolina	L	69-75	29%
Dec 07, 2024	238	@ Western Carolina	L	64-73	21%
Dec 14, 2024	64	@ South Carolina	L	55-76	3%
Dec 18, 2024	307	South Carolina St.	W	71-70	52%
Dec 21, 2024	198	Youngstown St.	L	68-73	32%
Jan 02, 2025	189	@ Winthrop	L	64-76	15%
Jan 08, 2025	303	Presbyterian	W	70-69	51%
Jan 11, 2025	269	Radford	L	65-67	43%
Jan 15, 2025	186	@ UNC Asheville	L	65-77	16%
Jan 18, 2025	246	@ Gardner-Webb	L	66-75	23%
Jan 22, 2025	125	High Point	L	69-78	22%
Jan 25, 2025	195	@ Longwood	L	63-74	17%
Jan 29, 2025	280	Charleston Southern	L	68-69	46%
Feb 01, 2025	269	@ Radford	L	62-70	26%
Feb 05, 2025	303	@ Presbyterian	L	66-72	32%
Feb 08, 2025	189	Winthrop	L	67-73	31%
Feb 12, 2025	186	UNC Asheville	L	68-74	31%
Feb 15, 2025	246	Gardner-Webb	L	69-72	40%
Feb 22, 2025	280	@ Charleston Southern	L	65-72	28%
Feb 26, 2025	125	@ High Point	L	66-81	11%
Mar 01, 2025	195	Longwood	L	66-71	33%
Projected Record						7 - 21	5 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0			1.0	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0				2.1	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.5	1.4	1.3	0.4	0.0						3.6	3rd
4th							0.0	0.8	2.3	1.8	0.5	0.0							5.4	4th
5th						0.1	1.0	3.6	2.6	0.5	0.0								7.7	5th
6th					0.2	1.7	4.8	3.5	0.7	0.0									10.9	6th
7th			0.0	0.5	3.1	6.6	4.5	0.8	0.0										15.5	7th
8th		0.2	1.9	6.2	8.1	4.5	0.9	0.0											21.8	8th
9th	3.2	7.8	10.0	7.4	3.1	0.5	0.0												32.1	9th

Total	3.2	8.0	12.0	14.2	14.5	13.4	11.2	8.6	6.0	4.0	2.6	1.3	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0				Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-2	92.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
13-3	78.1%	0.2		0.2	0.1	0.0
12-4	47.8%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
11-5	16.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
10-6	3.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1	0.0%		49.4%	49.4%		13.4														0.0	0.0			0.0
14-2	0.1%		31.4%	31.4%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
13-3	0.3%		24.0%	24.0%		14.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
12-4	0.6%		12.4%	12.4%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
11-5	1.3%		9.9%	9.9%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	1.2
10-6	2.6%		6.7%	6.7%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	2.4
9-7	4.0%		5.3%	5.3%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.2	3.8
8-8	6.0%		4.1%	4.1%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	5.8
7-9	8.6%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																0.0	0.2	8.4
6-10	11.2%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.2	11.1
5-11	13.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	13.3
4-12	14.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	14.5
3-13	14.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	14.2
2-14	12.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.0
1-15	8.0%																							8.0
0-16	3.2%																							3.2

Total	100%		1.4%	1.4%	0.0%	15.5													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.9	98.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.9%