Preseason Rankings
Big South
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
125 High Point 30.6%   14   0 - 0 0 - 0 19 - 8 11 - 5 +2.3      +4.6 57 -2.4 253 70.2 123 0.0 1 0.0 1
186 UNC Asheville 16.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 12 10 - 6 -0.9      +0.8 149 -1.7 232 69.2 147 0.0 1 0.0 1
189 Winthrop 15.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 12 9 - 7 -1.0      +0.5 155 -1.6 228 67.4 212 0.0 1 0.0 1
195 Longwood 14.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 11 9 - 7 -1.6      -1.1 210 -0.5 181 66.7 237 0.0 1 0.0 1
246 Gardner-Webb 7.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 16 8 - 8 -4.0      -3.0 269 -1.1 205 72.5 72 0.0 1 0.0 1
269 Radford 5.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -5.2      -2.7 259 -2.5 260 61.1 348 0.0 1 0.0 1
280 Charleston Southern 5.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 18 7 - 9 -5.7      -2.9 267 -2.8 270 67.0 223 0.0 1 0.0 1
303 Presbyterian 3.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 19 6 - 10 -7.3      -3.8 292 -3.6 296 68.2 182 0.0 1 0.0 1
330 South Carolina Upstate 1.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 21 5 - 11 -10.0      -6.1 339 -3.8 307 67.6 208 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 2.5 41.6 21.4 13.6 9.2 6.0 4.1 2.3 1.3 0.5
UNC Asheville 3.6 20.4 18.4 15.7 13.6 11.0 8.3 6.4 4.1 2.1
Winthrop 3.6 19.6 18.5 16.0 13.6 11.2 8.6 6.3 4.1 2.2
Longwood 3.8 17.5 17.4 15.8 13.5 11.7 9.4 7.2 4.9 2.7
Gardner-Webb 4.8 8.7 11.1 12.7 13.4 13.7 13.2 11.9 9.3 6.0
Radford 5.3 6.0 8.4 10.6 12.4 13.7 14.0 14.0 12.3 8.7
Charleston Southern 5.5 5.1 7.7 9.8 11.4 13.2 14.2 14.5 13.9 10.3
Presbyterian 6.2 2.9 5.1 7.2 9.1 11.4 13.8 15.9 18.2 16.4
South Carolina Upstate 7.1 1.0 2.1 3.6 5.4 7.7 10.9 15.5 21.8 32.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.7 4.3 6.5 8.9 11.4 13.3 14.6 13.7 11.4 7.5 3.0
UNC Asheville 10 - 6 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.5 6.6 8.7 10.8 12.4 12.8 12.2 10.6 8.1 5.1 2.4 0.8
Winthrop 9 - 7 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.8 4.4 6.7 9.0 11.1 12.6 12.7 12.1 10.6 7.8 4.8 2.5 0.7
Longwood 9 - 7 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.3 5.1 7.4 9.7 11.2 12.5 12.6 11.8 9.6 6.9 4.2 2.0 0.6
Gardner-Webb 8 - 8 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.1 6.4 9.1 11.2 12.3 12.4 11.4 10.3 8.1 5.5 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.2
Radford 7 - 9 0.4 1.4 3.3 5.9 8.5 10.7 12.2 12.7 12.0 10.5 8.6 6.1 3.8 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
Charleston Southern 7 - 9 0.5 1.9 4.0 6.8 9.3 11.2 12.5 12.6 11.6 9.8 7.5 5.6 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
Presbyterian 6 - 10 1.1 3.3 6.6 9.7 11.8 13.3 12.6 11.6 9.9 7.6 5.5 3.6 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 3.2 8.0 12.0 14.2 14.5 13.4 11.2 8.6 6.0 4.0 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 41.6% 30.8 8.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
UNC Asheville 20.4% 13.2 5.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Winthrop 19.6% 12.7 5.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Longwood 17.5% 11.0 5.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb 8.7% 5.1 2.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
Radford 6.0% 3.3 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 5.1% 2.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 2.9% 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 1.0% 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 30.6% 30.5% 0.1% 14   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 5.0 7.6 7.4 5.6 3.0 69.4 0.1%
UNC Asheville 16.0% 16.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.4 4.2 3.8 2.5 84.0 0.0%
Winthrop 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 3.1 4.1 3.8 2.9 84.3 0.0%
Longwood 14.5% 14.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 3.6 3.7 3.1 85.5 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.2 2.6 92.1 0.0%
Radford 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.4 94.1 0.0%
Charleston Southern 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 2.0 95.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.7 96.8 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 98.6 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 30.6% 1.3% 30.0% 4.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 16.0% 1.3% 15.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 15.7% 1.4% 15.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 14.5% 1.5% 13.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 7.9% 1.6% 7.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 5.9% 1.5% 5.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 5.0% 1.5% 4.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 3.2% 1.2% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 94.6% 0.9 5.4 94.5 0.1
2nd Round 9.5% 0.1 90.5 9.4 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.3% 0.0 97.7 2.3 0.0
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0