Preseason Rankings
Winthrop
Big South
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#189
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#212
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#155
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#228
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.7% 17.7% 9.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.7
.500 or above 66.8% 73.8% 46.0%
.500 or above in Conference 74.9% 78.8% 62.9%
Conference Champion 19.6% 22.1% 12.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 3.1% 7.0%
First Four1.4% 1.2% 1.7%
First Round15.1% 17.2% 8.9%
Second Round1.3% 1.5% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Home) - 75.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 43 - 8
Quad 413 - 517 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 267   Arkansas Little Rock W 78-71 75%    
  Nov 11, 2024 74   @ Virginia Tech L 67-79 14%    
  Nov 15, 2024 247   William & Mary W 73-67 71%    
  Nov 16, 2024 209   Georgia Southern W 76-72 65%    
  Nov 17, 2024 256   NC Central W 74-67 72%    
  Nov 22, 2024 50   @ Louisville L 68-82 11%    
  Nov 25, 2024 352   LIU Brooklyn W 81-66 90%    
  Dec 03, 2024 289   @ Queens W 80-78 59%    
  Dec 07, 2024 291   Coastal Carolina W 78-69 77%    
  Dec 17, 2024 83   @ Florida St. L 70-81 17%    
  Dec 21, 2024 208   Mercer W 72-68 64%    
  Dec 29, 2024 20   @ Indiana L 65-82 8%    
  Jan 02, 2025 330   South Carolina Upstate W 76-64 85%    
  Jan 04, 2025 269   @ Radford W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 08, 2025 246   @ Gardner-Webb L 72-73 50%    
  Jan 11, 2025 195   Longwood W 72-68 61%    
  Jan 15, 2025 280   Charleston Southern W 75-67 74%    
  Jan 18, 2025 186   @ UNC Asheville L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 125   @ High Point L 73-79 30%    
  Jan 29, 2025 303   Presbyterian W 76-67 78%    
  Feb 01, 2025 246   Gardner-Webb W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 05, 2025 280   @ Charleston Southern W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 330   @ South Carolina Upstate W 73-67 69%    
  Feb 12, 2025 269   Radford W 71-64 73%    
  Feb 15, 2025 125   High Point L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 19, 2025 303   @ Presbyterian W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 26, 2025 195   @ Longwood L 69-71 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 186   UNC Asheville W 75-72 59%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.3 5.6 4.5 2.5 0.7 19.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.4 5.5 2.2 0.3 18.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.3 6.4 3.8 0.8 0.1 16.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.3 5.9 2.5 0.2 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.8 1.7 0.1 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.7 1.2 0.1 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.5 0.8 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 9th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.8 4.4 6.7 9.0 11.1 12.6 12.7 12.1 10.6 7.8 4.8 2.5 0.7 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
15-1 100.0% 2.5    2.4 0.1
14-2 93.0% 4.5    3.8 0.7 0.0
13-3 71.1% 5.6    3.7 1.7 0.1 0.0
12-4 40.8% 4.3    1.8 2.0 0.5 0.0
11-5 14.3% 1.7    0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 19.6% 19.6 12.7 5.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.7% 62.5% 60.8% 1.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.3%
15-1 2.5% 53.2% 53.0% 0.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.3%
14-2 4.8% 43.4% 43.3% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.7 0.1%
13-3 7.8% 34.1% 34.0% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 5.2 0.0%
12-4 10.6% 25.2% 25.2% 14.2 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.2 7.9
11-5 12.1% 19.5% 19.5% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.4 9.8
10-6 12.7% 13.3% 13.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 11.0
9-7 12.6% 9.6% 9.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 11.4
8-8 11.1% 6.0% 6.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 10.4
7-9 9.0% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 8.6
6-10 6.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.5
5-11 4.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.3
4-12 2.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-13 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-14 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 3.1 4.1 3.8 2.9 84.3 0.0%