Preseason Rankings
High Point
Big South
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#125
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.2#123
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#57
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#253
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.6% 30.8% 17.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.5 14.7
.500 or above 89.7% 90.0% 65.8%
.500 or above in Conference 90.3% 90.5% 78.6%
Conference Champion 41.6% 41.8% 22.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 1.1% 3.8%
First Four1.3% 1.3% 3.6%
First Round30.0% 30.2% 16.3%
Second Round4.5% 4.6% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Home) - 98.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 35 - 45 - 6
Quad 415 - 320 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 83-59 99%    
  Nov 09, 2024 319   Jackson St. W 83-69 90%    
  Nov 12, 2024 256   NC Central W 80-70 82%    
  Nov 15, 2024 88   UAB L 77-79 45%    
  Nov 18, 2024 252   American W 76-66 81%    
  Nov 24, 2024 207   Missouri St. W 77-72 66%    
  Dec 03, 2024 188   @ UNC Greensboro W 73-72 51%    
  Dec 06, 2024 86   North Texas L 66-68 45%    
  Dec 14, 2024 139   Appalachian St. W 74-73 53%    
  Dec 21, 2024 140   @ Southern Illinois L 70-72 43%    
  Dec 29, 2024 251   Norfolk St. W 79-69 79%    
  Jan 02, 2025 269   Radford W 76-66 81%    
  Jan 04, 2025 186   @ UNC Asheville W 78-77 51%    
  Jan 08, 2025 280   @ Charleston Southern W 77-72 66%    
  Jan 11, 2025 246   Gardner-Webb W 81-72 78%    
  Jan 15, 2025 195   @ Longwood W 75-74 53%    
  Jan 18, 2025 303   Presbyterian W 82-69 85%    
  Jan 22, 2025 330   @ South Carolina Upstate W 78-69 78%    
  Jan 25, 2025 189   Winthrop W 79-73 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 303   @ Presbyterian W 79-72 71%    
  Feb 05, 2025 269   @ Radford W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 08, 2025 186   UNC Asheville W 80-74 70%    
  Feb 12, 2025 195   Longwood W 78-71 72%    
  Feb 15, 2025 189   @ Winthrop W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 19, 2025 280   Charleston Southern W 80-69 82%    
  Feb 22, 2025 246   @ Gardner-Webb W 78-75 61%    
  Feb 26, 2025 330   South Carolina Upstate W 81-66 89%    
Projected Record 19 - 8 11 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.3 7.0 10.6 10.8 7.5 3.0 41.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.3 7.1 6.8 3.1 0.5 21.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.6 3.6 0.9 0.1 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.9 1.3 0.1 6.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 0.7 0.0 4.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.7 4.3 6.5 8.9 11.4 13.3 14.6 13.7 11.4 7.5 3.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 3.0    3.0
15-1 100.0% 7.5    7.4 0.2
14-2 95.3% 10.8    9.5 1.3 0.0
13-3 77.2% 10.6    7.3 3.1 0.2 0.0
12-4 47.9% 7.0    3.1 3.0 0.8 0.1
11-5 17.0% 2.3    0.5 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 41.6% 41.6 30.8 8.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 3.0% 73.2% 71.3% 1.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.8 6.6%
15-1 7.5% 59.2% 58.8% 0.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.1 0.9%
14-2 11.4% 51.2% 51.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.5 0.1%
13-3 13.7% 40.5% 40.5% 13.6 0.0 0.7 2.0 2.0 0.8 0.1 8.1
12-4 14.6% 33.1% 33.1% 14.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.4 0.3 9.8
11-5 13.3% 24.7% 24.7% 14.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.6 10.0
10-6 11.4% 19.3% 19.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 9.2
9-7 8.9% 12.8% 12.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 7.8
8-8 6.5% 9.8% 9.8% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 5.9
7-9 4.3% 7.5% 7.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.9
6-10 2.7% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.7
5-11 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-12 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-13 0.3% 0.3
2-14 0.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 30.6% 30.5% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 5.0 7.6 7.4 5.6 3.0 69.4 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 6.4 0.2 2.8 5.0 18.4 12.2 25.1 9.1 7.0 6.4 3.3 5.7 4.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 28.4% 9.4 1.5 7.5 6.0 6.0 7.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 27.0% 11.1 25.7 1.4