Preseason Rankings
South Carolina
Southeastern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#64
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.2#354
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#71
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#51
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 6.2% 6.5% 1.6%
Top 6 Seed 12.9% 13.5% 4.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.8% 35.2% 13.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 32.7% 34.0% 13.3%
Average Seed 7.3 7.3 8.0
.500 or above 59.8% 61.9% 28.2%
.500 or above in Conference 33.7% 34.8% 17.2%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.1% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 16.0% 15.1% 29.1%
First Four3.9% 4.0% 2.4%
First Round31.8% 33.1% 12.4%
Second Round18.5% 19.2% 6.9%
Sweet Sixteen7.4% 7.7% 2.6%
Elite Eight3.1% 3.2% 1.2%
Final Four1.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Championship Game0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 93.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 10
Quad 24 - 38 - 13
Quad 33 - 110 - 14
Quad 46 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 254   North Florida W 76-60 94%    
  Nov 08, 2024 307   South Carolina St. W 77-58 96%    
  Nov 12, 2024 124   Towson W 65-56 80%    
  Nov 16, 2024 20   @ Indiana L 64-71 26%    
  Nov 21, 2024 208   Mercer W 72-58 90%    
  Nov 25, 2024 28   Xavier L 70-73 39%    
  Dec 03, 2024 114   @ Boston College W 67-65 58%    
  Dec 07, 2024 137   East Carolina W 69-59 81%    
  Dec 14, 2024 330   South Carolina Upstate W 76-55 97%    
  Dec 17, 2024 43   Clemson W 66-65 54%    
  Dec 22, 2024 269   Radford W 71-54 92%    
  Dec 30, 2024 303   Presbyterian W 76-57 94%    
  Jan 04, 2025 33   @ Mississippi St. L 63-69 31%    
  Jan 08, 2025 5   Alabama L 71-78 28%    
  Jan 11, 2025 10   Auburn L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 15, 2025 89   @ Vanderbilt L 66-67 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 55   @ Oklahoma L 64-68 37%    
  Jan 22, 2025 25   Florida L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 33   Mississippi St. W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 28, 2025 61   @ Georgia L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 01, 2025 19   Texas A&M L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 08, 2025 16   @ Kentucky L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 12, 2025 40   Mississippi W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 25   @ Florida L 69-76 30%    
  Feb 18, 2025 54   @ LSU L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 17   Texas L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 25, 2025 58   @ Missouri L 65-69 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 15   Arkansas L 69-71 43%    
  Mar 04, 2025 61   Georgia W 69-66 59%    
  Mar 08, 2025 14   @ Tennessee L 62-71 24%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 2.3 0.6 0.0 4.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.8 1.1 0.1 4.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 5.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 3.3 0.8 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.7 1.9 0.1 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.2 0.4 0.0 7.0 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 4.2 1.2 0.0 7.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.1 2.5 0.2 8.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.5 0.6 0.0 8.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.8 3.2 3.7 1.3 0.1 9.0 14th
15th 0.2 1.1 3.2 3.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 9.9 15th
16th 0.6 2.1 3.0 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 9.7 16th
Total 0.6 2.3 4.1 6.6 9.1 10.3 11.4 11.3 10.7 9.4 7.9 6.0 4.4 2.9 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 88.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 68.0% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 36.7% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 34.8% 65.2% 1.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 33.8% 66.2% 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.4% 100.0% 24.3% 75.7% 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.8% 100.0% 19.2% 80.8% 2.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.7% 99.9% 15.1% 84.7% 3.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-5 2.9% 99.8% 9.9% 89.9% 4.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-6 4.4% 98.7% 6.6% 92.0% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.6%
11-7 6.0% 95.8% 3.6% 92.2% 6.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 95.6%
10-8 7.9% 83.9% 1.7% 82.2% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.3 83.6%
9-9 9.4% 63.8% 1.0% 62.8% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.4 63.4%
8-10 10.7% 34.2% 0.5% 33.7% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.0 33.8%
7-11 11.3% 11.3% 0.3% 11.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 10.0 11.1%
6-12 11.4% 2.0% 0.1% 1.9% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.2 1.9%
5-13 10.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3 0.2%
4-14 9.1% 9.1
3-15 6.6% 6.6
2-16 4.1% 4.1
1-17 2.3% 2.3
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 33.8% 1.7% 32.2% 7.3 0.7 1.2 2.0 2.4 3.0 3.7 3.9 4.3 4.0 4.0 3.8 0.8 0.0 66.2 32.7%