Preseason Rankings
Oklahoma
Southeastern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#55
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.9#197
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#61
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#38
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.3% 2.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 7.3% 7.4% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 14.9% 15.0% 2.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.3% 37.5% 11.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.9% 36.1% 11.6%
Average Seed 7.1 7.1 8.3
.500 or above 70.6% 70.9% 34.0%
.500 or above in Conference 39.3% 39.6% 16.2%
Conference Champion 2.4% 2.4% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 11.5% 25.8%
First Four3.8% 3.8% 2.5%
First Round35.3% 35.6% 10.2%
Second Round21.6% 21.7% 5.9%
Sweet Sixteen9.0% 9.1% 1.3%
Elite Eight3.8% 3.8% 0.3%
Final Four1.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Championship Game0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Lindenwood (Home) - 99.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 24 - 37 - 12
Quad 33 - 110 - 13
Quad 47 - 017 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 349   Lindenwood W 82-57 99%    
  Nov 11, 2024 333   Northwestern St. W 82-59 98%    
  Nov 16, 2024 290   Stetson W 80-61 96%    
  Nov 21, 2024 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 81-55 99%    
  Nov 27, 2024 48   Providence L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 03, 2024 80   Georgia Tech W 74-69 67%    
  Dec 07, 2024 324   Alcorn St. W 82-60 97%    
  Dec 14, 2024 87   Oklahoma St. W 71-69 59%    
  Dec 18, 2024 30   Michigan L 71-73 42%    
  Dec 22, 2024 341   Central Arkansas W 84-60 98%    
  Dec 29, 2024 344   Prairie View W 85-61 98%    
  Jan 04, 2025 5   @ Alabama L 73-85 16%    
  Jan 08, 2025 19   Texas A&M L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 61   @ Georgia L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 15, 2025 17   Texas L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 64   South Carolina W 68-64 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 15   @ Arkansas L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 28, 2025 19   @ Texas A&M L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 89   Vanderbilt W 73-67 68%    
  Feb 04, 2025 10   @ Auburn L 69-79 21%    
  Feb 08, 2025 14   Tennessee L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 12, 2025 58   @ Missouri L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 54   LSU W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 18, 2025 25   @ Florida L 74-80 32%    
  Feb 22, 2025 33   Mississippi St. W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 26, 2025 16   Kentucky L 78-79 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 40   @ Mississippi L 70-74 36%    
  Mar 04, 2025 58   Missouri W 73-70 61%    
  Mar 08, 2025 17   @ Texas L 67-74 29%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.8 0.7 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 6.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.0 2.6 0.3 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 3.8 0.8 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.1 2.0 0.1 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.3 0.5 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.3 1.3 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 3.9 2.5 0.2 7.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 3.3 3.4 0.6 0.0 8.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.7 2.6 3.4 1.2 0.0 8.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.9 2.4 3.1 1.3 0.2 7.9 15th
16th 0.3 1.3 2.1 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.8 16th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.0 5.3 7.4 9.5 11.0 11.4 11.4 10.6 9.2 7.3 5.2 3.3 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 88.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 61.6% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 37.0% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.1% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 49.3% 50.7% 1.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 37.9% 62.1% 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.5% 100.0% 24.2% 75.8% 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.1% 100.0% 18.1% 81.9% 2.5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.0% 100.0% 15.4% 84.6% 3.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.3% 99.7% 12.3% 87.5% 4.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-6 5.2% 98.3% 6.3% 92.0% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.2%
11-7 7.3% 93.0% 3.7% 89.3% 6.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 92.7%
10-8 9.2% 79.4% 2.0% 77.4% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.9 79.0%
9-9 10.6% 60.1% 1.1% 59.0% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.2 0.2 4.2 59.6%
8-10 11.4% 30.1% 0.8% 29.3% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 8.0 29.5%
7-11 11.4% 9.0% 0.2% 8.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 10.4 8.8%
6-12 11.0% 1.7% 0.1% 1.6% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.8 1.6%
5-13 9.5% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 9.5 0.1%
4-14 7.4% 7.4
3-15 5.3% 5.3
2-16 3.0% 3.0
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 37.3% 2.1% 35.1% 7.1 0.8 1.5 2.3 2.7 3.5 4.1 4.3 4.8 4.6 4.3 3.7 0.7 0.0 62.7 35.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.3 65.5 34.5